$1 Million May Not Be Enough

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The word "millionaire" has always had a beautiful ring to it. For many of us, myself included, it probably conjures feelings of financial security. But these days, it's not quite the financial silver bullet it used to be.

It depends
Having a million dollars means different things to different people. Imagine that you're 68 years old and about to retire, with $1 million as your nest egg. You're counting on those funds to carry you through your golden years. Our Rule Your Retirement newsletter argues that in order to make your nest egg last, you should conservatively plan to withdraw about 4% of it per year in retirement to live on. So 4% of $1,000,000 is about $40,000, or roughly $3,333 per month. Will that be enough? For many people, the answer is a resounding "yes!"

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 2007, the real median household income was $50,233. Retiring on $40,000 may not get you to the middle of America, but it would come fairly close.

That may sound good, but remember the old real estate agent refrain: "Location, location, location." Living in Manhattan can cost as much as double the national average, making $40,000 like less than $20,000 there. That sure doesn't sound like much to live on. A less expensive place in the middle of the country might have lower-than-average costs of living, which could make $40,000 the equivalent of more than $50,000 in an average location.

Then there are differences to consider between people. If you want your retirement to feature a lot of fishing at the lake down the road, and maybe some gardening and crossword puzzles, you might do just fine with that $40,000. But if you want to finally see the world and do a lot of traveling to visit grandchildren (with bags full of gifts), $40,000 may not be enough.

If you're young ...
Another critical consideration is age. If you're 65 and you have a million dollars, that's quite different from being 40 with a million smackers. A 40-year-old might leave that money to grow in the stock market for another 25 years. If it grows at 10% per year, on average, it can become nearly $11 million by retirement time. Retire on 4% of that each year, and you'll be enjoying more than $400,000 annually. Amazing, eh?

And if that's not enough, remember that you might earn even more than that if you're invested in the right places. Consider some strong historical performers:

Stock

20-Year Average Return

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)

22.7%

Altria Group (NYSE: MO)

14.4%

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)

13.6%

Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL)

19.8%

IBM (NYSE: IBM)

10.3%

Of course, not all well-known giants fare well in the long run. Ford (NYSE: F), for example, has gained an average of only 3% per year since 1989. Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), meanwhile, is priced at a third of where it traded 20 years ago. Not all stocks that do badly are lost causes -- but those examples do show that some seemingly great companies can falter. That's why it's important to select your investments well, and monitor them over time.

More considerations
If you've reached age 40 without amassing that million dollars, there's no need to grab the nearest sharpened pencil and try to commit hara-kiri. All is not lost.

Despite politicians' fear tactics, Social Security is likely to be with us, in some form or another, for a long time. You can probably expect to receive something from it in your golden years. Also, many retirees find that they spend less in retirement than they did while working. In addition, they're no longer forking over payroll taxes. And some of us even have pensions to rely on.

Despairing won't help you, but taking action definitely will. If you're not saving and investing regularly and aggressively, now might be the time to start. We'd be happy to help you via our Rule Your Retirement newsletter. Try it for free for a whole month -- you'll get full access to all past issues, including success stories from others who've retired early and are willing to share their secrets.

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This article was originally published on May 26, 2006. It has been updated by Dan Caplinger, who owns shares of Altria. Microsoft is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Johnson & Johnson is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call on Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

For more about Selena, view her bio and her profile. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 2:25 PM, Richard233 wrote:

    Nothing really new here, and it ignores both taxes and

    social welfare like social security and medicare.

    Stock market gains only really work if you are getting

    good dividends that are reinvested in a good tax saving

    manner. It also helps if you don't have the guys running

    your accounts in a manner designed to give THEM the

    most money, whether by churning or high fees.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 4:39 PM, spawn44 wrote:

    You buy microsoft, IBM, Johnson and Johnson, etc. I'll take my Ford shares anytime

  • Report this Comment On November 10, 2009, at 4:41 AM, thisislabor wrote:

    If you got a million dollars in the bank, buy half bank CD's and half utility stocks.

    then live off the interest and dividends. If you don't have a million dollars, do the same thing anyways at retirement. And leave the rest to your kids and teach them about investing and life and career management so that they don't have to spend their whole life rat racing either. - i dono just my thoughts.

  • Report this Comment On November 11, 2009, at 1:02 AM, dgmennie wrote:

    I would have to agree with Richard233. Unless you are among the very few born into big money or lucky enough to grab a six-figure income right out of college uninterrupted by layoffs, health concerns, or personal disasters (such as lawsuits, businesses failures, or divorce), very few 40-year-olds ever have $1 million in liquid assets that they can voluntarily dump into investments. Sure, who wouldn't like to "retire" with $400,000 rolling in every year from a fat portfolio? But life experience should tell you this is not anywhere close to reality.

    The fool could better concern itself with advising those with LESS THAN $1 Million at age 65+ on the best way to generate income while placing the modest nest egg at MINIMAL risk.

    All the other alternatives up for regular discussion seem to require an endless aquisition of funds with no realistic concept of what "enough" might be, or else taking what little you have, placing a few bets, and then watching everything quickly disappear whele those high-paid investment "experts" mumble "oops!" as they stumble over your carcass on the way to finding fresh victims.

    Bottom line: you don't want to work forever (and workplace age discrimination will force you out soon enough anyway) so what can you REALLY do to keep the wolf from the door? "Seeing the world and doing lots of traveling to visit grandchildren" will not be in the cards for most everyone. Get use to it.

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