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Sidestepping Europe's Woes

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The continent of Europe is known for magnificent architecture, classical art, and a rich cultural history. But despite these glories, in financial circles these days, Europe might as well be comedian Rodney Dangerfield: It gets no respect.

As the Greek debt crisis has grown in magnitude, world stock markets have taken a swift turn for the worse. Most fund managers are fleeing Europe, convinced that subpar economic growth is almost inevitable. However, some trend-bucking managers are still finding a few things to like across the Atlantic.

Bargains in the rubble
Manager Francis Claro of the Evergreen Global Opportunities Fund (EKGAX) believes concerns over the stability of European governments are exaggerated. While the region faces difficulty, he believes companies that can expand on niche product lines or export to emerging markets should still do well.

Claro's recent purchases of U.K. homebuilder Bovis Homes and Dutch temporary staffing company USG People are intended to capitalize on a rebounding housing and employment market. Claro and his team have also recently cut back on Chinese companies China Gas Holdings and Sinotrans Shipping. A near-term European rebound is unlikely to be strong enough to meaningfully benefit Claro's European choices, but as the area begins a slow recovery, there could be some strong medium-term potential.

The best defense
On the other side of the coin, John Hussman, who runs the $5.5 billion Hussman Strategic Growth Fund (HSGFX), sees stocks as generally overbought and overpriced. He's defensively positioned and has warned of higher levels of risk even in the domestic market. But Hussman has found a few European companies he thinks are worth the risk, and he has made a number of changes in light of recent market volatility.

Hussman purchased Swiss health-care company Novartis (NYSE: NVS  ) and added to his holdings in U.K.-based AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN  ) . Smaller purchases include Unilever (NYSE: UN  ) , communications company Portugal Telecomm (NYSE: PT  ) , and German software company SAP (NYSE: SAP  ) . Outside of Europe, Hussman added to his position in Israeli software company (and Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick) CheckPoint Software Technologies (Nasdaq: CHKP  ) . While I'm not as pessimistic on the domestic economy as Hussman is, I think his European stock selections are well-chosen, with the market share and foreign presence to ride out softness in European sales.

Investors shouldn't disregard (or disrespect) Europe completely, but they should exercise caution in the near future. Think about allocating any new money to other areas of the globe, including emerging markets or Japan. Opportunities do exist in Europe for long-term investors, but expect increased risk and volatility for some time.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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This article first appeared June 3 in the Rule Your Retirement newsletter. Whether you want to retire to a Greek island or a Scottish castle, use our tools and advice to help you get there.

Amanda Kish is the Fool's resident fund advisor for the Rule Your Retirement investment newsletter. CheckPoint is a Rule Breakers recommendation. Unilever is a Global Gains pick and an Income Investor pick. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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