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Is General Growth Properties the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if General Growth Properties (NYSE: GGP  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at General Growth Properties.

Factor What We Want to See Actual Pass or Fail?
Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% (3.3%) Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% (3.9%) Fail
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 63.0% Pass
  Net Margin > 15% (57.1%) Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 184.6% Fail
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.38 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% (17.3%) Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 NM NM
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 2.8% Pass
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% (21.3%) Fail
       
  Total Score   3 out of 9

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings. Total score = number of passes.

With just three points, General Growth Properties doesn't seem to be building on a strong foundation. But the real estate investment trust has done fairly well when you consider that it emerged from bankruptcy less than a year ago.

General Growth is a REIT that focuses largely on operating shopping malls. It's second only to Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG  ) in the mall space. General Growth got itself into trouble during the credit crisis, when despite having positive operating cash flow and equity on its balance sheet, it couldn't get new financing for its debt and therefore had to file for bankruptcy protection.

After a fight that involved renowned investor Bruce Berkowitz joining with Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM  ) and Pershing Square Capital Management that ended up beating out Simon Property's counteroffer, General Growth was one of the rare bankrupt companies that actually performed well for shareholders. Returns have been especially impressive when you account for the REIT's spinoff of Howard Hughes Corp. (NYSE: HHC  ) , which included some of the old General Growth's best assets that were handpicked for the new entity.

Until the recent market bloodbath, shares had performed quite well. But now that shares are cheaper, another positive sign has emerged: Insiders have shown some buying interest in the shares. General Growth's CEO and COO both bought substantial positions last week. That suggests that after a long tough period for commercial real estate, conditions may finally be getting better.

General Growth is far from perfect yet, with negative earnings and revenue. But over the long run, the REIT could well pull itself back up toward its former glory.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Click here to add General Growth Properties to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly.

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Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares of Howard Hughes Corp. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Brookfield Asset Management. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:03 PM
GGP $16.81 Down -0.17 -1.00%
General Growth Pro… CAPS Rating: **
SPG $148.12 Down -0.91 -0.61%
Simon Property Gro… CAPS Rating: *
HHC $60.19 Up +1.10 +1.86%
Howard Hughes CAPS Rating: ****
BAM $31.76 Up +0.16 +0.51%
Brookfield Asset M… CAPS Rating: *****

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