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Will Coca-Cola Help You Retire Rich?

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Now more than ever, a comfortable retirement depends on secure, stable investments. Unfortunately, the right stocks for retirement won't just fall into your lap. In this series, I look at 10 measures to show what makes a great retirement-oriented stock.

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) is the best-known brand in the world, and with Interbrand estimating its brand value at a whopping $72 billion, the company milks every penny it can from it. With its global presence, it's hard to believe that the maker of such a simple product could have achieved such success. But investors can't afford to look backward at a company's success, and some question whether Coke has the growth left in it to keep being a good value for shareholders. Below, we'll revisit how Coca-Cola does on our 10-point scale.

The right stocks for retirees
With decades to go before you need to tap your investments, you can take greater risks, weighing the chance of big losses against the potential for mind-blowing returns. But as retirement approaches, you no longer have the luxury of waiting out a downturn.

Sure, you still want good returns, but you also need to manage your risk and protect yourself against bear markets, which can maul your finances at the worst possible time. The right stocks combine both of these elements in a single investment.

When scrutinizing a stock, retirees should look for:

  • Size. Most retirees would rather not take a flyer on unproven businesses. Bigger companies may lack their smaller counterparts' growth potential, but they do offer greater security.
  • Consistency. While many investors look for fast-growing companies, conservative investors want to see steady, consistent gains in revenue, free cash flow, and other key metrics. Slow growth won't make headlines, but it will help prevent the kind of ugly surprises that suddenly torpedo a stock's share price.
  • Stock stability. Conservative retirement investors prefer investments that move less dramatically than typical stocks, and they particularly want to avoid big losses. These investments will give up some gains during bull markets, but they won't fall as far or as fast during bear markets. Beta measures volatility, but we also want a track record of solid performance as well.
  • Valuation. No one can afford to pay too much for a stock, even if its prospects are good. Using normalized earnings multiples helps smooth out one-time effects, giving you a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. Most of all, retirees look for stocks that can provide income through dividends. Retirees want healthy payouts now and consistent dividend growth over time -- as long as it doesn't jeopardize the company's financial health.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Coca-Cola.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Size Market cap > $10 billion $155 billion Pass
Consistency Revenue growth > 0% in at least four of five past years 4 years Pass
  Free cash flow growth > 0% in at least four of past five years 4 years Pass
Stock stability Beta < 0.9 0.53 Pass
  Worst loss in past five years no greater than 20% (24.1%) Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 18 22.20 Fail
Dividends Current yield > 2% 2.8% Pass
  5-year dividend growth > 10% 8.9% Fail
  Streak of dividend increases >= 10 years 29 years Pass
  Payout ratio < 75% 50.2% Pass
       
  Total score   7 out of 10

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Coca-Cola last year, the company has kept its seven-point score. The drink giant doesn't quite squeak under our valuation guidelines, but it has a lot of what conservative investors like to see in a stock.

Coca-Cola has come a long way from its humble beginnings. After getting booted out of the Dow Industrials in 1935, it took Coke more than 50 years to earn its way back in. But along the way, it became an iconic product in American culture and took the world by storm. It's easy to conclude that Coke's fastest growth days are long behind it.

But Coke definitely hasn't stopped growing. A few years ago, the company bought the North American bottling operations of Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE  ) , making itself more vertically integrated, and paid Dr Pepper Snapple (NYSE: DPS  ) $715 million for the rights to distribute some of Dr Pepper's brands. And in its most recent quarter, the company posted 10% earnings growth after adjusting for extraordinary items. The Chinese emerging market was a big growth driver, with volumes up 13% there. Coke is looking to cut as much as $650 million in costs by 2015. And importantly, the company stood up to Monster Beverage (Nasdaq: MNST  ) and Red Bull with strong growth in its energy-drink segment, showing its ability to expand beyond its core offerings.

Still, Coke doesn't get a free ride. PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP  ) continues to be a solid threat, as its diversified drink and snack business gives it somewhat more room to be innovative. Moreover, both companies have warned that high sugar prices could slow their profit growth -- although sugar has come off its highs in recent months.

For retirees and other conservative investors, a solid dividend that's likely to hit its golden anniversary by celebrating 50 years of consecutive annual dividend increases this year is the key driver for the stock. Combine this with prospects for further emerging-market growth, and Coke deserves a place in many retirement portfolios, even at its mildly expensive valuation.

Keep searching
Finding exactly the right stock to retire with is a tough task, but it's not impossible. Searching for the best candidates will help improve your investing skills, and teach you how to separate the right stocks from the risky ones.

If you really want to retire rich, no one stock will get the job done. Instead, you need to know how to prepare for your golden years. The Motley Fool's latest special report will give you all the details you need to get a smart investing plan going, plus it reveals three smart stocks for a rich retirement. But don't waste another minute -- click here and read it today.

Add Coca-Cola to My Watchlist, which will aggregate our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares of Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Coca-Cola, Monster Beverage, and PepsiCo, as well as creating a diagonal call position in PepsiCo. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (4)

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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 09, 2012, at 2:47 PM, Jellywig wrote:

    Thanks Dan. Are there any stocks that pass more than the 7 metrics (I notice you don't own any KO)?

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Dan Caplinger
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Dan Caplinger has been a contract writer for the Motley Fool since 2006. As the Fool's Director of Investment Planning, Dan oversees much of the personal-finance and investment-planning content published daily on Fool.com. With a background as an estate-planning attorney and independent financial consultant, Dan's articles are based on more than 20 years of experience from all angles of the financial world.

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Related Tickers

9/19/2014 4:03 PM
KO $42.05 Up +0.26 +0.62%
Coca-Cola CAPS Rating: ****
CCE $46.27 Up +0.55 +1.20%
Coca-Cola Enterpri… CAPS Rating: ****
DPS $64.17 Up +0.81 +1.28%
Dr Pepper Snapple… CAPS Rating: ***
MNST $89.78 Down -0.66 -0.73%
Monster Beverage CAPS Rating: ***
PEP $93.79 Up +0.42 +0.45%
PepsiCo CAPS Rating: ****

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