Recs

5

What to Do Now That the Correction's Here

May's huge stock-market declines came as a big shock to many investors. The big down day for stocks, last Friday served as an exclamation point on what has turned into a quick 10% correction for the Nasdaq in just the past month, and for the S&P since the beginning of April.

Those who follow this column may recall that about six weeks ago, before May's big market drop, I urged investors to figure out the answers to three questions before the next plunge. Those who heeded that call are now in a much better situation than they may have been otherwise, and while I certainly didn't know that a big decline for stocks would come so quickly, being prepared for whatever the market may throw at you is always a smart move.

Now what?
Now that the correction has actually happened, the obvious question is what to do. Before addressing that, though, you should consider what it's definitely not time to do:

  • Don't panic-sell. Back in April, when stocks were trading at multiyear highs, those who wanted to reduce their risk had a golden opportunity to lighten their exposure to stocks. Now, though, you'd no longer be selling high -- and it's much more important to take a measured approach to your investing strategy, rather than simply making a knee-jerk reaction.
  • Don't panic-buy. On the other hand, you shouldn't look at Friday's 275-point drop in the Dow as an automatic invitation to spend every last dollar of spare cash you have to get back into stocks. Although the market has dropped fast and furiously, anyone who hasn't completely forgotten the bear market of 2008 and 2009 knows that a 10% correction can be just the tip of the iceberg in uncertain times.
  • Don't stick your head in the sand. Four years ago, too many investors weren't equipped to handle a major decline and therefore checked out of paying attention to their investments at all. Although holding on throughout the market meltdown and the ensuing recovery turned out to be OK, a well-considered financial plan can give you much better results.

In other words, no matter what you do now, don't do it without thinking about it. Only by staying aware of what's going on and calmly, unemotionally analyzing what it means for your portfolio will you earn the best returns you can.

The smart move
By contrast, what you should do depends on your situation. If you didn't take the opportunity in April to reduce your risk and now find yourself needing to do so, then consider some of the more defensively oriented stocks that have held up reasonably well during the market's swoon. Flowers Foods (NYSE: FLO  ) , for instance, took advantage of the tough economic environment to make a strategic acquisition, buying Lepage Bakeries for $370 million -- while still having enough left over to boost its dividend by almost 7%. Similarly, Pilgrim's Pride (NYSE: PPC  ) has done well, as the chicken producer stands to gain from families economizing on food if the economy slips back into recession.

On the other hand, if you have money you want to invest, the buying opportunity you've waited for is starting to materialize. Take a look at the most beaten-down parts of the market and compare current values to your long-term assessment of the industries involved. One example is natural resources, where even huge players BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP  ) and Vale (NYSE: VALE  ) have gotten smacked down in anticipation that Chinese economic growth will slow, hurting demand for iron ore and other metals. But looking several years down the road, it's hard to think that emerging markets around the world will simply fade back into obscurity -- and if you think expansion will restart at some point, getting bargain prices to invest looks like a no-brainer.

Another play on Asian growth is in the casino industry. Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS  ) is down almost a third from its highs, but with plays in Macau and Singapore, the casino operator has plenty of potential if anything short of a complete Asian implosion occurs.

It's time to make money
For months, investors have helplessly watched as prices moved higher and higher, even as uncertainties mounted. But now, you finally have a chance to look for smart opportunities. Not every stock is a good bargain right now, but if you have money to put in the market, you should start looking. You may really like what you see.

If you'd like some more ideas of stocks to keep an eye on, The Motley Fool's special report on long-term investing has what you want. With general ideas on how to assess investment opportunities, along with three solid names to consider for your portfolio, you shouldn't miss out on what the report has to say. Let me invite you to click here and start reading your free copy right now.

Tune in every Monday and Wednesday for Dan's columns on retirement, investing, and personal finance. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger is finally looking to buy. He doesn't shares of the companies mentioned in this article. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Flowers Foods. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy tells it like it is.


Read/Post Comments (2) | Recommend This Article (5)

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  • Report this Comment On June 04, 2012, at 3:33 PM, cp757 wrote:

    Dan good advice on what to do now. I thought what you pointed out on LVS was very good about the Asian growth in the casino industry. Macau is a growing market and what an investor should look at is market share between all the competitors. To me the market share that most people look at is gross gaming revenue and that is important but its not the best way to look at it. When I look at the figures on the balance sheet its the EBITDA market share that's important. In Macau that is a very different number. Sands China had the highest EBITDA market share of any of the casinos in Macau at 27% and no other casino was even close. The second place casino was Wynn Macau at 10% less with 17% followed by Gallexy Entertainment at 16%, SJM at 15%, Melco at 14%, and MGM at 11%. It would take Gallexy and MGM combined to equal the profit Las Vegas Sands added to the bottom line. With Sands Cotai Central Opening, LVS will have the largest asset base in Macau. With more than 9 billion invested in Macau. LVS will have 27% of the 5,700 gaming tables in Macau in 2013, 31% of the slots and 40% of the 4 & 5 star Hotel Rooms in Macau by 2013. Singapore grew at a 66% rate and the government of Singapore built a 1 billion dollar project called Gardens by the Bay that will bring 5 million visitors a year. The EBITDA growth and the completion of property development spending drives significant increases in free cash flow. They have 4.93 billion in 2012, 6.158 billion in 2013, and 8.511 billion in 2014. This will increase the likelihood of an increase in dividend from 1 dollar a share to 2 dollars a share or even a higher special dividend as Michael A. Leven, president and chief operating officer said today at the Goldman Sachs conference call. Mr Leven also said the mass market in Macau is doing very well and he did not see Singapore adding another casino operator licence in 2017 giving LVS the highest market share in a duopoly for years to come.

  • Report this Comment On June 04, 2012, at 5:07 PM, Darwood11 wrote:

    Dan,

    I agree. I am not at all surprised by what is currently going on in the markets.

    I also decided that I'm not currently interested in buying indexes or other "automatic" investments at this time.

    At present I'm considering re-evaluating some of my stocks which may not do well in an adverse environment and purchasing stocks in some choice companies which seem attractive. I've already sold some in anticipation. This also seems a good time for my 2012 Roth IRA investment.

    My spouse continues her "automatic" 401(K) monthly investments, but I'll use this opportunity for her 2012 Roth IRA.

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Dan Caplinger
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Dan Caplinger has been a contract writer for the Motley Fool since 2006. As the Fool's Director of Investment Planning, Dan oversees much of the personal-finance and investment-planning content published daily on Fool.com. With a background as an estate-planning attorney and independent financial consultant, Dan's articles are based on more than 20 years of experience from all angles of the financial world.

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