Recs

14

Gold vs. Gold Miners: Which Is Better?

Over the past decade, few investments have performed as well as gold. Yet those who aren't as familiar with gold investing often find themselves confused by the different ways you can play the sector.

One of the most fundamental questions that investors have to answer is whether they want to invest directly in gold bullion or in companies that search for, dig up, and produce gold and other precious metals. As the experience of the past several months shows, those two ways of investing in gold can bring you much different returns and present vastly different risk/reward profiles.

Sticking with what glitters
For many gold investors, there's nothing quite like owning physical bullion. Whether you buy gold bars or various types of coins, the tactile quality of having gold you can hold in your hands appeals to the senses.

But with bullion investments come added costs. Typically, coin dealers charge premiums over spot price when you buy coins, and may only give you a discounted price when it comes time to sell. If you plan to hold onto your bullion for a long time, that may not be so important -- but if you expect to trade actively in response to changing prices, the transaction costs can really eat into your profits.

In addition to buying costs, you also have to figure out how to store your bullion. Insurance can be costly, and even a simple storage method like a safe-deposit box can add expense.

The costs of holding bullion led to the creation of bullion-ETFs SPDR Gold (NYSE: GLD  ) and iShares Silver (NYSE: SLV  ) . With each share roughly corresponding to a given number of ounces or fractions of an ounce of gold, silver, or some other precious metal, bullion ETFs own large quantities of bullion on which they pool costs. The expense ratio you pay goes in part toward those costs, but overall, they may be much cheaper than storing bullion yourself.

Buying the diggers
As Warren Buffett has said countless times, though, bullion produces no income. Therefore, many investors prefer gold miners, which like any other business seek out profit-making opportunities.

Obviously, because gold miners have huge asset bases of gold, the prevailing price of bullion has a dramatic impact on the value of their businesses. In general, you can expect prices of miners to move in the same direction as the price of gold.

But gold prices aren't the only thing that affects miners. Mining companies have costs for labor, equipment, fuel, and other parts of the production process. If those costs rise, then profits can fall even if the price of gold stays the same. As a result, mining stocks can fall in a rising gold market.

On the other hand, gold miners can give you much greater percentage returns than investing in bullion. Because of their operating costs, miners essentially provide leverage to investors compared to bullion investments. Ironically, companies such as Golden Star Resources (NYSE: GSS  ) and Jaguar Mining (NYSE: JAG  ) , which have relatively high cost structures, can end up performing the best in favorable environments -- but they also typically fall the furthest in bad markets.

But you have to be careful to look into how companies deal with their gold production. In years past, Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) hedged much of its gold production, meaning that it locked in prices that turned out to be far below the prevailing price of gold by the time its hedges came due. If a miner hedges, it won't be as sensitive to gold-price movements -- either up or down.

Which should you choose?
Choosing between bullion and mining stocks depends on your outlook as well as your temperament. If you think that gold is poised to rise and don't want to gamble on whether a miner will successfully dig the metal out of the ground, then bullion ETFs give you the purest exposure. But if you want the colossal gains possible when a miner strikes gold, then the right mining stocks will make you happier.

If you choose the latter route, we've got one gold stock that deserves your attention. Read the Motley Fool's latest special report on gold to discover the tiny gold stock digging up massive profits. It's free but only available for a limited time.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger sticks with gold coins. He doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. You can follow him on Twitter @DanCaplinger. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy is as good as gold.


Read/Post Comments (4) | Recommend This Article (14)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 13, 2012, at 12:22 PM, VietnamVet1 wrote:

    Both gold and the miners will skyrocket when the bill for QE and other deficit spending comes due in the form of hyperinflation.

  • Report this Comment On June 15, 2012, at 1:34 AM, reachmygoals1 wrote:

    Gold has a strong uptrend building up this month. World crisis, print more dollars, steroid market is no answer - gold will rise soon. JAG is deeply undervalued, trading at 50% of book value. Also, Bristol Investments holds a large holding of JAG and trying to assemble a board of directors that will benefit the shareholders. Last time, $9 buyout was on the table by one of China's top gold companies and JAG's board turned it down when stock was $6.

    Bristol Investment Partners LLC average size account is $18 million. The big clients will demand results. Who knows, maybe Bristol will force a buyout deal soon?

    http://investment-advisors.findthebest.com/q/23284/3355/What...

  • Report this Comment On June 15, 2012, at 4:37 PM, turnipseedtales wrote:

    The gold mining industry is filled with an unusual number of promoters, many of who are deceptive and occasionally fraudulent. Before investing in any gold mining company, I suggest you learn about the Bre-X scam. There are many "advisers" selling newsletters with the last hot picks based more on hype than facts. In addition, the large gold miners have consistently underperformed gold in the last decade.

    That said, investing in gold miners can be very profitable if you understand the business and develop reliable sources of information. If you don't have both, stay away.

    No disrespect to reachmygoals1, but I wouldn't invest in JAG, the mining and development costs are too high for my taste, and most of that is due to geology, not bad management.

  • Report this Comment On August 27, 2012, at 5:30 PM, fawce wrote:

    I'm interested in using the relationships between the commodity and the miners in a quant/aglorithmic investment style. I wrote one algorithm that trades around the spread between GLD and GDX, and another that attempts to to trade the spread between GLD and RGLD. You can check out my results (and code) for both:

    https://app.quantopian.com/posts/ernie-chans-gold-vs-gold-mi...

    https://app.quantopian.com/posts/epic-fail-for-stat-arb

Add your comment.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 1911451, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 12/22/2014 9:22:33 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Dan Caplinger
TMFGalagan

Dan Caplinger has been a contract writer for the Motley Fool since 2006. As the Fool's Director of Investment Planning, Dan oversees much of the personal-finance and investment-planning content published daily on Fool.com. With a background as an estate-planning attorney and independent financial consultant, Dan's articles are based on more than 20 years of experience from all angles of the financial world.

Today's Market

updated 2 days ago Sponsored by:
DOW 17,804.80 26.65 0.00%
S&P 500 2,070.65 9.42 0.00%
NASD 4,765.38 0.00 0.00%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

12/19/2014 4:06 PM
ABX $10.83 Down -0.26 +0.00%
Barrick Gold Corp. CAPS Rating: ***
JAGGD $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Jaguar Mining CAPS Rating: **

Advertisement