Foolish Forecast: Chatting Up Chattem

Recs

5

Consumer products company Chattem (Nasdaq: CHTT) will report Q1 2007 financial results on Thursday, March 22. Here's a look at whether its gold will bond to its shares or leave another icy-hot patch for investors.

What analysts say:

  • Buy, sell, or waffle? There's definitely a bit of cramping going on amongst the 12 analysts covering Chattem, for whom Pamprin might be the prescription. Their mood has turned dour, as two now recommend selling the stock, six say hold, and four (undoubtedly feeling a Dexatrim rush) say buy.
  • Revenues. Revenues are expected to jump 21% to $101.4 million, as the company acquired five new products from Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ).
  • Earnings. Profits, however, are expected to be at $0.61 per share, down from $0.75 a year ago.

What management says:
Chattem markets a large portfolio of popular consumer products -- everything from Gold Bond medicated powder to Bull Frog sunblock. Although acquisitions continue to be a large part of its growth strategy, it actually makes 60% of the products it sells and reports it "touches" -- packaging or distributing -- 85% of them. The products end up being some of the top sellers in their respective categories.

Despite a rocky start to the launch of its Icy-Hot Pro-therapy product, which sustained losses of $0.40 per share last year, it is expecting breakeven performance this year for that product, while its other products should continue their strong advance.

What management does:
Margins have been slipping at Chattem, as it has experienced higher costs for new product launches as well as boosting advertising support for existing lines. Net margins, however, have been helped as Chattem realized a number of one-time gains, such as settling its Dexatrim litigation. Earnings per share have been bolstered by the company buying back its shares -- 1.2 million of them, at a cost of $39 million.

Margin

11/05

02/05

05/06

08/06

11/06

Gross

71.4%

70.7%

69.7%

68.8%

68.7%

Operating

27.0%

25.9%

24.4%

22.6%

21.1%

Net

12.9%

14.4%

12.5%

14.2%

15.0%

All data courtesy of Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Data reflects trailing-12-month performance for the quarters ended in the named months.

One Fool says:
Considering the position of its products in the market -- most are ranked No.1 or No. 2, including those just acquired from J&J -- and an expectation of a move toward profitability for its Icy-hot product, Chattem should be able to realize substantial gains. While it won't have the benefit of the one-time gains it's had in the recent past, it still has strong distribution channels through Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Walgreen (NYSE: WAG), and Kroger (NYSE: KR) that should give any new products prime shelf real estate.

Few consumer products companies sell at what would appear to be a discount, but Chattem has multiples that exceed those of Johnson & Johnson and Pfizer (NYSE: PFE). So while the business looks strong, compared to its competitors, the stock looks too expensive for this Fool.

Related Foolishness:

Chattem has earned a two-star rating from Motley Fool CAPS, the new investor intelligence community. You can add your voice to the new stock-rating service by joining today. It's free!

Johnson & Johnson is a recommendation of Motley Fool Income Investor. Pfizer and Wal-Mart are recommendations of Motley Fool Inside Value. Try out these or any of our other Foolish newsletters for yourself, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey owns shares of Wal-Mart, but does not own any of the other stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 524078, ~/articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 7/6/2009 5:07:12 AM

Keep Reading:

“Foolish Forecast: Chatting Up Chattem”

We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our web site and about other products and services that we think might interest you. The Motley Fool respects your privacy. Please read our Privacy Statement

.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

What Fools Are Saying

Get involved! »

Most Recent

Jul 2 at 4:22 PM

Market Summary

DJIA 8,280.74 -223.32 -2.63%
S&P 500 896.42 -26.91 -2.91%
NASD 1,796.52 +0.00 +0.00%
Sponsored by:

Related Tickers

Chattem, Inc.

CAPS Rating 3/5 Stars

$66.47

-2.19 (-3.19%)

Outperform165

Underperform16

Rate This Stock