Recs

0

Big Oil's Russian Retreat

The sordid TNK-BP partnership squabbles, which could someday be the stuff of a film, continue to worsen for London-based BP (NYSE: BP  ) . For now, the issue has implications for oil and gas companies -- all Western companies, for that matter -- considering doing business in Russia, and for prospective shareholders of Russian companies.

In the adventure's latest act, James Owen, TNK-BP's independent CFO, began this week by stepping down from his post amid the worsening struggle between BP and its three Russian billionaire partners. Nearly two weeks ago, the Russian partners forced the partnership's CEO, Robert Dudley, to skedaddle from Russia. The trio had registered a string of progressively more severe complaints against Dudley, who is now trying to run things from Central Europe after Russian officials refused to renew his visa.

Dudley's long-distance efforts (which you have to believe won't be workable for long), along with Owen's departure, will make it easier for the Russian partners to gain control of TNK-BP. Indeed, I'm betting that BP will be squeezed out of the picture before long.

BP's difficulties in Russia follow the stripping of Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS-A  ) (NYSE: RDS-B  ) from its position as operator at Sakhalin Island a year and a half ago. Most of Shell's assets were sold under duress to Russia's giant natural gas company Gazprom (OTC BB: OGZPY.PK). That's a fate that could await at least some of the TNK-BP assets. And ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) also has found operating on Sakhalin less than a bed of roses, although it continues to ply its trade there.

All this has giant implications for BP and for other companies -- France's Total (NYSE: TOT  ) comes quickly to mind -- with an eye toward working more in Russia. In BP's case, its TNK-BP assets constitute about a fourth of its global production and almost a fifth of its reserves. While being forced to sell those assets, at whatever price, might not cripple the company, it'd nevertheless deal it a painful blow.

As for other companies and prospective investors, Dmitry Medvedev has now held Russia's presidency for about three months. In that time, the Russian state and its companies haven't given any indication that they're going to be better playmates than they were under Vladimir Putin, who now operates as Russia's prime minister. It's a dose of reality that all Foolish investors should take to heart.

For related Foolishness:

Best Odds in the Universe!
If you're interested in a 98.79% chance at beating the market... and a 70.84% chance at DOUBLING the market's return – Motley Fool Supernova could be just what you're looking for. And get this: We arrived at these odds from 10,000 random back-tested portfolios composed of Motley Fool Co-founder David Gardner's personal stock picks.

It's why David recently handpicked a small team of world-class portfolio managers. You see, he thinks these odds can get even better! And he'd like to prove it to you...

Simply enter your email address. And the answer to the question everybody is asking will be delivered to your inbox!

Total is an Income Investor recommendation. Try the market-beating service free for 30 days.

Fool contributor David Lee Smith doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned. He does solicit your questions or comments. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 700587, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 2/15/2012 2:19:37 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 4 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,878.28 4.24 0.03%
S&P 500 1,350.50 -1.27 -0.09%
NASD 2,931.83 0.44 0.02%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:01 PM
BP $46.47 Down -0.90 -1.90%
BP p.l.c. (ADR) CAPS Rating: ****
TOT $53.96 Down -0.20 -0.37%
Total SA. (ADR) CAPS Rating: *****
XOM $84.67 Up +0.25 +0.30%
ExxonMobil Corp CAPS Rating: ****
RDS-A $72.99 Up +0.09 +0.12%
Royal Dutch Shell… CAPS Rating: ****
RDS-B $73.80 Up +0.21 +0.29%
Royal Dutch Shell CAPS Rating: *****

Advertisement