Mall-based retailer The Buckle
What analysts say:
- Buy, sell, or waffle? An entire two analysts currently follow Buckle. In the spirit of a Dueling Fool, one is bullish while the other is bearish.
- Revenues. Analysts don't currently have a first-quarter sales projection.
- Earnings. Analysts project first-quarter earnings of $0.36 per share, or about 16% above last year's first-quarter earnings of $0.31.
What management says:
The Buckle doesn't offer much for sales and earnings guidance, but does release monthly sales trends. Total April sales advanced 7.5%, while same-store sales improved 1.8%. March was even better, as total sales grew 12.7% and comps advanced 10.7%, while February saw a total sales increase of 14.1% and comp growth of 4.8%.
What management does:
The Buckle has managed to grow sales 6.6% annually on average over the past five years and has leveraged this into 10.6% cash flow improvements each year over this time frame. Better yet, growth has accelerated over the past couple of years and Buckle posts some of the highest and most consistent net margins in apparel retailing.
Over the past year, Abercrombie & Fitch
10/05 |
01/06 |
04/06 |
07/06 |
10/06 |
02/07 |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross |
38.6% |
39.0% |
39.1% |
38.8% |
38.9% |
39.1% |
Operating |
15.4% |
15.5% |
15.7% |
15.3% |
15.3% |
14.9% |
Net |
10.1% |
10.4% |
10.4% |
10.3% |
10.4% |
10.5% |
One Fool says:
There are clearly other metrics to consider, but from a profit-margin perspective, Buckle easily stacks up to its larger retailing peers. And with only about 350 stores, it has plenty of room to expand and believes it can grow to 400 stores with its current infrastructure.
At just over 18 times earnings projections for the coming fiscal year, Buckle is much pricier than it was last September, when the stock was also 40% below current levels. Yet growth prospects continue to be bright and the dividend yield is currently 2.2%. The Buckle also paid a special $3 dividend late last year, raised the dividend two times last year, and declared a 3-for-2 stock split in January. The company won't post the most explosive growth in a portfolio, but Buckle has quietly strapped itself into consistency lately, which has duly rewarded investors.
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Fool contributor Ryan Fuhrmann has no financial interest in any company mentioned. Feel free to email him with feedback or to discuss any companies mentioned further. American Eagle Outfitters is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. The Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy.