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5 Stocks You Can Buy Right Now

One of the hardest things about dispensing financial advice in a crummy market is that you're often tempted to plant asterisks at the end of most stock picks.

  • Buy restaurant stocks and retailers ... once comps turn positive.
  • Buy tech hardware companies ... once corporate IT budgets begin ramping up again.
  • Buy banks ... once the government proves it's not serious about nationalization.

There's not a lot you can do with that kind of investing advice today, so I'm going to offer up some stocks that are doing just fine in this environment. In fact, the dour economy may be helping their prospects.

Let's dig in, see if you agree, and then hand it over to you for more stock suggestions.

1. Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX  )
While many subscription services that are at the mercy of discretionary income are sputtering, Netflix has been growing its user base at breakneck speed. It crossed the 10-million-subscriber mark just six weeks after beginning 2009 with 9.4 million members.

The recessionary attraction to Netflix is obvious. Home-based entertainment is a big winner during economic lulls, as families avoid splurging on costly outings. With the recent wave of layoffs, there are plenty more -- hopefully temporary -- couch potatoes these days.

All of this plays right into Netflix's plan. Now that the company is also providing online streaming at no additional cost to active subscribers, it's the perfect value proposition in dire times.

2. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Nasdaq: GMCR  )
Since we're talking about value propositions, how would you feel about spending roughly $0.40 for a cup of premium coffee instead of having to hand over a lot more to a barista?

Green Mountain is tapping an economic sweet spot with its Keurig one-cup brewers, armed with its arsenal of 200 different flavors of K-Cup java fixes. If you're wondering where all of the Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX  ) sippers have gone, you'll find them on Green Mountain's income statement.

The company was huge over the holidays, moving 711,000 of its Keurig brewers. That is more than double the units it sold a year earlier. The more consumers warm up to the convenience and cost savings of home-brewed premium coffee, the better it will be for Green Mountain.

3. American Public Education (Nasdaq: APEI  )
For-profit online educators have been thriving in this climate, as the workforce is retooled for the future. Most of the public players, like Apollo Group (Nasdaq: APOL  ) , are growing nicely, but American Public Education has a couple more catalysts going for it.

The company markets its degree programs to military personnel, who make up the majority of its enrollment base. Flexible class schedules and the attraction of Web-served academia are big winners for the educator. President Obama is suggesting cutbacks in defense spending and military personnel, and that will likely lead to an increase in ex-military members brushing up on civilian workforce skills. The stock isn't cheap, but analysts see revenue and earnings surging 42% and 44%, respectively, this year.

4. TASER International (Nasdaq: TASR  )
Publicly traded gun and rifle makers have been on a roll lately. The primary catalysts are a combination of healthy quarterly reports and fears that the new administration will tighten the requirements for attaining new guns.

I have a different theory. I believe a good chunk of the flight to weaponry is the natural reaction to people arming themselves for an uptick in crime as the souring economy heightens desperation. TASER may always be a litigation target, but I like the stun-gun giant's chances for consumer weaponry, especially if conventional revolvers become harder to come by.

5. Life Partners Holdings (Nasdaq: LPHI  )
Death is an uncomfortable -- but inevitable -- subject. Life Partners brokers life settlements, essentially the buying of life insurance policies from terminally ill policy-holders at a discount.

Cashing in on a life insurance policy while one is still living has its advantages. Whether it's to personally deliver inheritances, satisfy current cash crunches, or just to check off a personal bucket list, viaticals aren't as morbid as they seem. Life Partners is a leader in this niche.

There have been recent legal challenges to the practice, but that also explains why a company that is actually growing its profitability soundly these days is trading for 10 times earnings.

Add on, by all means
How do you feel about my five recession-proof specials? Do you think you can do better? I'm sure you can. Head down this page and find the comment box. Use it to suggest stocks and investments that you feel will thrive in this dreary economic climate.

Let's make lemonades out of this lemon of an economy together.

Other ways to coast through recessionary pressures:

6 stocks you can't afford to ignore! Motley Fool co-founders David and Tom Gardner just handpicked 6 rock-solid, well-run companies they believe you need to be watching. Get the names and stock symbols right now in a FREE report from The Motley Fool. We'll add the first ticker to your personal My Watchlist, a FREE service that gives you the latest news on the companies that matter most to you. For instant access to your free report, simply enter your email address here:

Starbucks is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. Starbucks and Netflix are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. TASER is a former Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. The Fool owns shares of Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a Netflix shareholder -- and subscriber -- since 2002. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 03, 2009, at 5:15 AM, GorillaGorilla wrote:

    Hmmm.... anybody buying Lifepartners should at least read the CitronResearch first.... http://www.citronresearch.com/

    rich

  • Report this Comment On March 03, 2009, at 6:32 AM, Thamyris wrote:

    Rich - Nicely spotted. Fools - Are you asleep?

    Citron puts enough reg flags on this company to scare off a corrida full of bulls (and their bullsh*t).

    Red Flag # 1. Egregious fees.

    Red Flag # 2. Are those fees sustainable?

    Red Flag # 3. Management track record (Past accounting abuses; a CEO previously SEC sanctioned for "materially overstating a company’s revenues and profits. Oops!"

    http://sec.gov/news/digest/1991/dig012291.pdf

    Red Flag # 4. Who’s minding the store? (LPHI auditor is a tiny firm with a really small public company practice. Really small! Sound familiar?)

    Red Flag # 5. Analyst coverage? (Only one - Taglich Brothers. "The company pays Taglich $21,000 per year for 'the creation and dissemination of research reports'." Nice work if you can get it!).

    Red Flag # 6. Competition (Five major competitors in viatical have adopted 'full disclosure model.' Not LPHI. And Cantor Fitzgerald’s LexNet matches investors and settlors for fees of 1% to 2%. At LPHI, it's 14%.

    Red Flag # 7. Life Insurers no longer The Rock. (Life insurers are under enormous distress due to the financial crisis).

    CONCLUSION: "Two years ago, LPHI was an OTCBB stock that never traded over $10. Colorful CEO, lack of management/auditor oversight, tiny 30-employee operation, string of regulatory troubles?" Good luck, foolish Fools! "From an actuarial perspective, we’d say the odds are that this one is terminal."

    Come on Fools - shake the bell on your cap and wake up!

    You are forever preaching to us to do our research. How about joining us?

    Thomas.

  • Report this Comment On March 03, 2009, at 11:19 PM, JohnQGalt wrote:

    Background:

    On February 11, 2009, an online blog entitled “Citron Research” issued a negative report about Life Partners Holdings, Inc. The author of this report, Mr. Andrew Left, is well known as a purveyor of negative information in order to successfully short trade the stocks on which he reports. Consequently, on the day that the Citron Research web posting was made, LPHI’s stock traded 1.2 million shares or just under 10x its average daily trading volume. We would hasten to point out that unlike legitimate stock research firms; the opinion posted to the Citron Research site was written and posted without the benefit of any contact with Life Partners or a history of covering the life settlement industry. Consequently, the author’s research and conclusions are incorrect because the report is based on faulty assumptions, misinformation or statements not borne out by fact.

    NOTE: We believe that the ability to short is a legitimate option for investors and provides a useful function in our capital markets generally, but that the practice is also open to abuse when deliberate misinformation is propagated for the benefit of few and at the expense of other shareholders.

    Questions/Answers:

    Q. What is Citron Research?

    A. Citron Research positions itself as a legitimate stock research house, but is actually just a Web site run by Andrew Left, a well known short seller who actively targets small-cap stocks. A 2008 review proudly claims that “8 of the 11 stocks Citron covered performed worse than even the adverse market of 2008. Only 1 of the 11 is trading moderately higher than when we first reported it (HEV), and we do not believe that will be for much longer.”

    Q. Where did Andrew Left get his data for the Life Partners report?

    A. This report was written and issued without the benefit of any contact with Life Partners or a history of covering the life settlement industry. The author’s research and conclusions are inaccurate because the report is based on faulty assumptions and misinformation not borne out by fact.

    Q. One of Mr. Left’s major points is about LPHI’s fees being higher than other life settlements companies? Is this true?

    A. LPHI is the only publicly traded life settlement companies operating today. As a result, Mr. Left used a single line in our own public filing to propagate a complete fabrication. As disclosed in our last 10Q, our net revenues for the 9 months (exclusive of cost of revenue) were $39,919,000 on face value of $564,630,481. This equals fees of 7% of face. Hardly what most would consider egregious and well in line for companies with specialized knowledge that are paid on a success fee basis.

    You can do the math yourself using information from our 10Q for the 9 months ended November 30, 2008 at page 16:

    The following table shows the number of settlement contracts we have transacted, the aggregate face values of those contracts, and the revenues we derived, for the periods ended November 30, 2008 and 2007:

    Periods Ended November 30, 2008

    Periods Ended November 30, 2007

    Three Months

    Nine Months

    Three Months

    Nine Months

    Number of settlements 56 154 52 153

    Face value of policies $195,459,950 $564,630,481 $125,897,330 $293,303,574

    Average revenue per settlement $501,856 $502,148 $371,129 $356,365

    Net revenues derived* $14,246,000 $39,919,000 $9,874,000 $27,372,000

    * The revenues derived are exlusive of brokerage and referral fees.

    As you can see, $40MM / $564 MM = 7%, not 14%. Of course, market forces may permit us to increase our margins somewhat, but there is no question that 7% is sustainable and the continued growth in the market means that we should continue to experience sustainable growth as we have previously said.

    Also, it’s only because of LPHI’s extraordinary transparency that these fees are made public. We’d like to know the sources that Mr. Left used to cite “industry norm” fees of 6 percent. No other life settlement company publishes audited fee structures.

    Unlike mutual funds, hedge funds or other derivatives, LPHI’s business model is the most cost effective way for accredited investors to own life settlements. LPHI does not charge any annual management fees or share in the profits of investors. As noted by Conning Research & Consulting, Inc. “This approach . . lowers their investment costs because they do not pay management fees to a portfolio manager.” Life Settlement Market: Increasing Capital and Investor Demand 2007 p. 56.

    In addition, because its retail clients have direct fractional ownership of policies, they are insulated from any fund management risk. In other words, hedge funds are a “black box” while LPHI’s transactions are a “glass box.”

    Q. Is LPHI’s business model sustainable?

    A. Not only is the business model sustainable, LPHI is poised for significant growth across the next 10 years. A 2007 Conning Research & Co. predicted that gross market size of the life settlement industry will grow to $150 billion by 2016, from an estimated $7 billion that year. The company fundamentals behind LPHI have not changed in any way and earnings continue to be on course to meet expectations.

    Q. Citron calls out the accounting firm that provides auditing services to LPHI as being a small and inexperienced working with publicly traded companies. What company currently serves is LPHI’s auditor and is it reliable?

    A. Citron is in error about the company’s auditors. As of August 1, 2008, the firm it discusses merged with Eide Bailly who now serves as the company’s auditors. Eide Bailly is one of the top 25 accounting firms in the nation with over 39,000 clients and 20 offices in 9 states.

    Q. Are life insurance companies currently in danger of bankruptcy?

    A. Life insurance companies are among the most heavily regulated companies with regard to solvency. Like most financial institutions worldwide, insurers have recently suffered unrealized losses on their balance sheets and their earnings have suffered in the wake of the financial crisis. However, most experts agree that insurance companies do not have the liquidity issues that banks have. LPHI only acquires policies from insurers that have an B+ or better rating, per A.M. Best & Co.

    Even during the Great Depression of the early 1930s, life insurance companies continued to pay its policy obligations and there is no credible evidence to suggest otherwise today.

    Q. Is LPHI under attack from state and federal regulators?

    A. Mr. Left cites excerpts from allegations by Colorado regulators to support a “doom and gloom” conclusion for the company. However, had Mr. Left been intellectually honest he would have reported that this action has been resolved as reported in the company’s last 10-Q and that despite the initial claims of the Commissioner’s complaint, there was no finding of fraud in the Court’s order. Also, the Colorado Securities Commissioner acknowledged and stipulated to the court that “no investor has alleged or asserted any impropriety against LPI with respect to their investment and all purchasers represented themselves to be accredited investors prior to investing.”

    Because life settlements are a relatively new class of asset, there are complex and sometimes contradictory regulations between states and the federal government. LPHI has been working with state and federal regulatory agencies throughout its existence to develop rules which make it easier for senior Americans to unlock the hidden value in the insurance policies.

    For example, the company filed a case in federal court to clarify whether it was constitutional for Florida state regulators to limit Florida residents’ ability to go outside the state and sell their policies to Life Partners in order to get the greatest value.

    In every case brought against LPHI, these actions have been resolved, without any findings of fraud or other improprieties. These previous actions were brought due to a limited public understanding of a completely new asset class and as education continues these actions will diminish drastically. LPHI has been operating successfully for almost 20 years.

    Q. What about the questions about LPHI’s CEO, Mr. Pardo? Was he sanctioned by the SEC in a previous company?

    In a case relating to a revenue recognition reporting issue which arose based on the advice of accountants, Mr. Pardo entered into a consent decree with the SEC. In that order, there were no fines, penalties or other sanction imposed and Mr. Pardo entered the agreement in order to resolve the issue amicably.

    No such accounting issues exist with LPHI or any other member of its senior management team, and Mr. Left does not assert that one exists. LPHI has operated successfully for nearly 20 years and in full compliance with both industry and securities regulations.

    Q. Why don’t more analyst firms cover LPHI?

    A. It is well known that the vast majority of small and medium capitalization companies have no analyst coverage whatsoever. This situation is driven more by shrinking research departments and the names they cover than with the individual merits of a company such as ours. But Citron’s information is wrong on this point. Life Partners recently announced that subscriber-based Singular Research also covers the company.

    Q. Why aren’t there more companies doing life settlement? Should the lack of competition raise red flags for investors?

    A. As discussed recently during one of our shareholders conference calls, competition for policies has decreased due to the fact that many of LPHI’s competitors utilized leveraged strategies. With the credit crisis that started in 2008, many of these companies simply ran out of money to purchase policies. This speaks more to the vindication of the company’s operating strategy and prudence, something left out of Mr. Left’s opinion piece.

    Q. Why has the mainstream business media picked up the “Citron Research” report and cited it as a legitimate news source?

    A. Several news organizations have mentioned the Citron piece as a credible news source in reporting LPHI’s turbulent trading. We are baffled by this development and feel that had the media done any research into Mr. Left’s organizations, they would have been more careful about reporting his Web site as a legitimate news source. Other, more prudent news organizations have acknowledged that Citron Research offers no evidence of anything more than one individual’s opinion.

    Of particular interest is CNBC’s Jim Cramer who, on September 4, 2007, proclaimed LPHI to be a: 'Miraculous company. ... They've created a secondary market in life insurance. It's a brilliant business model. I liked it before, and I like it again.'

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/20585596/

    http://seekingalpha.com/article/46399-jim-cramer-s-mad-money...

    Our company has done its best to provide value to our clients and to grow our shareholders’ wealth. American investors have taken a beating over the past year and LPHI may have been one of your only stocks to show positive gains. Investors depend on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to protect them from illegal market manipulation and to help keep the market a level playing field. If you feel that LPHI stock has been illegally manipulated to benefit a few of the “financial elite”, we urge you to contact the SEC, ask them to look into this matter immediately and, if illegal activity is found, to prosecute such activity and send a clear message to investors that market manipulation will not be tolerated.

  • Report this Comment On March 04, 2009, at 4:39 PM, Lorelle1986 wrote:

    This is a great post! I am kind of new to the purchase of stocks and things of that nature, but I can see why all of these purchases would make a lot of sense. Perhaps any stocks that would have a direct interest with the Baby Boomer generation.

    budgetfab.com

  • Report this Comment On March 06, 2009, at 3:53 PM, JohnQGalt wrote:

    Thanks for the call on LPHI. I'm up 10% for the week, while the market is down 7%.

    Just shows it helps to do your own research and not take the word of someone convicted of fraud (the Citron guy) who is trying to manipulate stock prices so he can short them.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2010, at 5:30 PM, carli123 wrote:

    I just wanted to say thank you for the heads up n NFLX. I am currently in an Economics class that was doing a stock market project and I happened to get the third highest earnings by the end mostly due to the killer increase in Netflix. The other suggestions were also handy and I invested in a few of the them to my advantage as well. But thanks, and good call! :)

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