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Apple's 30% Mistake

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Good news, music fans! The tracks that you're downloading from Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iTunes downloads are about to get 30% better.

Well, at least they're being priced as if they are 30% better -- a problematic value proposition in this iffy economy.

This morning's Los Angeles Times reports that Apple is allowing record labels to raise the $0.99 price on iTunes' hottest tracks and several classic singles. Come April 7, those songs will be priced at $1.29 apiece. Moving away from the single price that has been set in stone since the store's launch in 2003, Apple will now let labels offer songs for $0.69, $0.99, and $1.29.

These pricing tiers were introduced back in January, but now that the launch is practically official, is it too late for cold feet?

Who's the winner here?
Record labels such as Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG  ) and EMI may be ecstatic about the ability to squeeze more out of their strongest sellers, but they will eventually regret the move. Last I heard, rampant music piracy wasn't getting 30% more expensive in two weeks.

Variable pricing also cuts both ways. Just as iPhone and iPod touch owners hitting Apple's App Store tend to gravitate towards the free software offerings, the new pricing tiers will likely lead music fans to scour the $0.69 bargain bin, instead of giving in to the higher prices. Cocky labels will be in for a rude awakening if they believe their product isn't price-sensitive.

Did Apple spoil music listeners by sticking to the $0.99 price point for too long? It's certainly possible. Pricing digital CDs at $9.99 a pop also probably helped turn music fans from consumers of albums into consumers of tracks. Don't blame Apple entirely, though, since ringtone sales also got music fans thinking piecemeal.

The key here is figuring out whether rivals will follow suit. Apple is the biggest game in town, but certainly not the only one. As labels ease their grip on the digital rights management features that shackled tracks, penny-pinching music fans have an ever-growing number of digital stores in which to shop around. It certainly isn't in Apple's best interests to lose iTunes loyalists to rivals such as Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) or Best Buy's (NYSE: BBY  ) Napster.

Higher prices may also help Internet radio, since companies like CBS (NYSE: CBS  ) , Time Warner (NYSE: TWX  ) , and Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI  ) have captive audiences when they provide direct-purchase links to the songs they're streaming on the Web. Still, it seems as if there is more to be lost than gained in this risky move.

If you thought labels had a bad reputation with music fans before, just imagine how listeners will feel now. A 30% price hike won't be music to anyone's ears -- except perhaps those of the labels themselves. And those notes may grow stale and sour over time.

Some other cool reads for you:

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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Best Buy is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Apple, Amazon.com, and Best Buy are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is still holding a mostly unused $25 iTunes gift card he got three months ago. He does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned here. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 26, 2009, at 2:38 PM, DMC17 wrote:

    This new pricing also goes hand in hand with DRM free music. Apple had to concede the pricing scheme to get the record labels to agree to the non-copy protection of its songs. Many other online music retailers have already moved to the tiered pricing levels, so Apple is just stepping in line with them.

    Where people previously shunned iTunes because of the restrictions on the songs, they now may be more willing to buy there (myself included). Apple still has the lions share of the market, and getting rid of the copy protection will only make it stronger.

    The death of DRM also means that Apple will have to spend less effort (and capital!) on preventing piracy.

  • Report this Comment On March 26, 2009, at 3:08 PM, SteveTheInvestor wrote:

    Personally, I wouldn't pay 10 cents for a DRM protected piece of music. I want the freedom to move my music around as needed. If it's crippled by DRM, I won't buy it. I don't buy music tracks to speak of but if it was a track I wanted, I don't think $1.29 would cause me to scrap the purchase.

    I don't buy from Apple (don't own any Apple devices), but I might if they get rid of DRM.

  • Report this Comment On March 26, 2009, at 7:01 PM, ThongLover wrote:

    Just took a long roadtrip with my full i-touch and my SiriusXM...20 hours RT in the vehicle with three pairs of adult ears...guess which audio device won...let's see...hmmm...a finite amount of songs on the ipod? Or the unlimited music channels AND CNN, CNBC, Comedy, Sports...all live by the way...oh and Howard and BTLS...man...so tired of itunes and ipod/apple..so yesterday. Satellite Radio is the future...unlimited, live, no commercials...amazing choices...why pay $1 or more a song...come on...please.

  • Report this Comment On March 27, 2009, at 5:20 AM, AnnefromBelgium wrote:

    mmm... given the inflation everywhere, AND the need of the music sector to survive... I think those extra cents (since 2003) are not exaggerated. Those good-willing people that understand that a whole business needs money to invest in good bands/performers and producers, shows etc. will no doubt be willing to pay, and a diversification of the prices will be a plus for those who want to download oldies, quality music, specific genres. For those who need the last Britney or 50 cents, alas... DO massively continue to download films and music for free, and watch the entertainment business go down, until only Big Brother and plastic groups (and Microsoft!) remain. Anne

  • Report this Comment On April 08, 2009, at 4:13 PM, marv08 wrote:

    The article gives the impression that this was Apple's decision, which is dead wrong. The record industry blackmailed Apple: either variable pricing or no DRM-free music for you, and they used Amazon to build up pressure (Amazon got the tracks for less and DRM-free). Now, one day after Apple started the new pricing both Amazon and Walmart have introduced higher prices... so, where exactly is "Apple's 30% Mistake" here? It is a move by the record industry, but having "Apple" in the headline generates more hits?

    The article also makes it look like the new higher price is common. This is not the case - far more than 95% of the songs I have checked are still at 99 Cents and album prices have not moved at all. So, we talk about a few songs and no effect for album buyers... oh scandal!

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