Will Best Buy Kill Apple, Microsoft, and Sirius XM?

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Poor Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT). Just days after positioning its fledgling Zune Pass as a superior value to Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL) iTunes Music Store, Best Buy's (NYSE: BBY) Napster is introducing new math.

"One costs a lot, and one costs a little," celebrity financial advisor Wes Moss proclaims in the new Zune Pass ads. He points out how Zune's $14.99 monthly music subscription plan offers unlimited music access. He then compares it with a 120-gigabye iPod that would require $30,000 in piecemeal purchases from iTunes to load it up with 30,000 songs.

The comparison was flawed on many levels, but now even Microsoft's math has blown up in its face. Napster is rolling out a new service this week for unlimited PC-based streams for just $5 a month. It also comes with five free MP3 downloads every month. Sure, the Zune Pass offers 10 free song downloads, but Napster's tracks are free of digital rights management.

Yes, Napster's service is limited to online streaming. You'll have to pay $14.99 a month if you want to make it truly portable through a wide range of media players. Then again, Zune Pass is really only portable through Zune players. Have one? Probably not. The device is a distant third in sales behind Apple's iPod and SanDisk's (Nasdaq: SNDK) Sansa.

In short, we can bring Moss back to compare Zune Pass with the new $5 Napster plan.

"One costs a lot, and one costs a little."

An Apple a day
Microsoft isn't the only one that should worry. Look over that value proposition again. Five songs for five bucks is what you would probably wind up paying for downloads through Apple's iTunes. If you can get the same five songs, along with online streaming of Napster's 7 million-track catalog, why not just go with Napster?

Sure, the iTunes ecosystem is ironclad. It is convenient and ubiquitous. It rocks. However, if Microsoft is even somewhat effective in getting Apple-holics to consider its streaming plans, it would simply be setting up the volleyball for Napster's value-minded spike.

Because these are unrestricted MP3s that Napster is dispensing, they will play on that iPod you're cradling.

Time to get Sirius
Napster's not just aiming at Apple and Microsoft. The $5 monthly plan includes access to 60 commercial-free music stations and 1,400 programmed playlists, for those moments when you want to discover new music instead of simply replaying your favorites.

Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) is charging $12.95 a month for Web-streamed programming, and it isn't including any downloads in the deal (not yet, anyway). Sirius XM offers plenty of proprietary content as a welcome differentiator, but here comes Napster, pricing its service as if it were a foot-long sandwich.

How did Napster do it? It bowled one ball but managed to land strikes in three lanes.

Your move, everyone else
If there is anything surprising about this story it's that Best Buy is the one pulling the strings. It acquired Napster last year in a $121 million deal.

Best Buy sells quite a bit of Microsoft software and Windows-propelled computers. It's a leading retailer of Sirius and XM satellite receivers. It is also so important in Apple's eyes that it became the first third-party chain to sell iPhones, beyond Apple and AT&T (NYSE: T) shops.

The consumer electronics chain has played a weak hand in digital music until now. It has been nearly three years since it teamed up with SanDisk and Rhapsody parent RealNetworks (Nasdaq: RNWK) to launch the Best Buy Digital Music Store. You probably missed it, though it's still there.

Buying Napster for just a little more than the service's cash on hand seemed like a decent value, but now it's being repositioned into a decent opportunity.

Napster may not succeed in taking down the bigger giants, but you can almost predict what will happen.

  • Microsoft will have to roll out a more aggressively priced Zune Pass service.
  • Apple will have to finally throw its hat into the music subscription services ring.
  • Sirius XM will need to beef up its digital offering. It can either offer free downloads -- ideally of proprietary content to really stand out -- or team up with an existing subscription service to offer a more complete package.

Napster is moving the cheese the way it did during the brand's renegade peer-to-peer days. The only difference now is that it's moving it legally and brilliantly.

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz isn't a subscriber to any digital music service, even though he does have satellite radio. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 3:22 PM, Melaschasm wrote:

    How long will it take for Napster to launch a Iphone applet to sell its service to Iphones?

    Napster should also partner with Blackberry and Palm to stream audio to those smart phones.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 3:23 PM, asm610 wrote:

    Hey Rick,

    You're a little late to the party!

    XM+Napster - The version of XM+Napster that allows you to listen to and download an unlimited number of full-length tracks that can be stored and played through your PC as long as your membership is current. You can also purchase individual tracks for as low as 80¢ a song. With this membership, you must purchase tracks to burn them to CD and transfer them to your compatible MP3 player. This version requires you to enter payment information during registration.

    XM+Napster Light - The version of XM+Napster that allows you to only listen to 30 second song clips and purchase individual tracks for $0.99 each. With this membership, you must purchase tracks to transfer them to your compatible MP3 player or burn songs to CD. This version does not require you to enter payment information during registration. (Select I'll skip my Free Trial and start Napster Light at the lower right of the payment information page if you do not want to enter payment information during initial registration.)

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 3:24 PM, asm610 wrote:

    A bit late to this party aren't you Rick?

    XM+Napster - The version of XM+Napster that allows you to listen to and download an unlimited number of full-length tracks that can be stored and played through your PC as long as your membership is current. You can also purchase individual tracks for as low as 80¢ a song. With this membership, you must purchase tracks to burn them to CD and transfer them to your compatible MP3 player. This version requires you to enter payment information during registration.

    XM+Napster Light - The version of XM+Napster that allows you to only listen to 30 second song clips and purchase individual tracks for $0.99 each. With this membership, you must purchase tracks to transfer them to your compatible MP3 player or burn songs to CD. This version does not require you to enter payment information during registration. (Select I'll skip my Free Trial and start Napster Light at the lower right of the payment information page if you do not want to enter payment information during initial registration.)

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 3:30 PM, bbbrown4097 wrote:

    60 stations and 1400 playlists, well isn't that cute.

    Sirius has live, unfiltered, off-the-chain content, oh and isn't the iPhone 3.0 and iTouch application for Sirius a worldwide application?

    Nice try Best Buy.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 4:07 PM, siriradio wrote:

    Please write something that actually has some value to it and enlightens investors.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 4:27 PM, SatRadioMan wrote:

    You two guys above haven't apparently read the whole article.

    Sirius streamed to your iPhone? Big whoop. If you were like me, you dumped SIRI 2 years ago when you realized their stale playlists on music were worse than what's already on your iPod. Oh, and it's $15 a month without downloads or the ability to keep the songs. Did I mention the terrible sound quality of SIRI?

    This is big boys, and Napster/Best Buy is doing it the right way.

    Rick's three scenerious seem logical. Watch and learn.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 5:02 PM, kingfrogcash wrote:

    The new math is a money losing fiasco.

    Is Napster paying the artists? I don't see how they can be and still be profitable. Apple and Sirius are paying for programming. Best Buy just became the Blockbuster of music. They just cannibalized their own stores for both devices as well as music. The internet is virtual competition. It becomes a numbers game. So Best Buy will do a BBI and offer something free in store for subscribing to their service. Then they boot it all before

    Christmas; if someone in that company wakes up!

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 5:11 PM, DJConan wrote:

    I kind of think Slacker Radio has basically "all of the above" starting at $4/mo. A G2, Blackberry and iPhone app for on the go. Streaming music online.

    You cannot download/buy specific songs but marking the song as a favorite means you'll hear the song plenty. Many favorites do get saved to the portable to be cued up for whenever you want also.

    New music like a SatRad and the option to skip songs like an MP3 player. I canceled my subscription to Sirius when I found Slacker.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 5:54 PM, captnkid1967 wrote:

    how about we put all of them out of business, start buying CD's again and load the songs you want into your Ipod or whatever you have. dont pay Itunes or sirius a penny. you can dock anipod or mp3 player anywhere in the car or at home or on your arm.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 6:50 PM, SiriFool wrote:

    Stop trying to kill our stock!!!

    Guess what the difference is PROGRAMMING!!!

    I can download songs for free too!!

    SIRI will win and when it does I think all of us are going to send you 1,000 HUMBLE PIES!!

    Good TRY! :)

    You'll be eating your words in just a couple of weeks... OPEN W-I-D-E!!!

    Don't be a hater! :)

    Cheers!

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 7:36 PM, baulsdp wrote:

    Look, you can talk about being better and cheaper than siriusxm all you want. The bottom line is siriusxm is the only company where i can hear Howard Stern. And that is why I pay $90 a a year for Sirius. Oh yeah, they have a customer service just like all the cell phone co. And they will work with you to keep you a customer. Even if I payed $13 a month, its no sweat, I'll just drop 3 beers a month from my diet, loose some weight and hear The King of All Media. Its a win win for me and millions of others.

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 9:02 PM, riz2121 wrote:

    heyyooooooo!!!

    Howard is the KING!!!

    Peope are shocked to see a decline in a pay for service in times of recession? The co. will grow...and when Howard announces his 3 year extension...you will get your pop!

    Anything else Robin???

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 10:46 PM, EgisCoder wrote:

    Rick,

    You really need to do some more work and learn more about what you are writing. With Sirius, I have tons and tons of FREE downloads/recordings whenever I want. All I have to do is hit the LOVE button on my portable and it is mine. It is a bargain compared to all other services. I also have acces to and can record sports, Stern, Oprah, NASCAR, O&A, NHL, MLB, NBA, NHL...... should I go on?

  • Report this Comment On May 19, 2009, at 11:24 PM, splintar wrote:

    One word Rick Aristotle - it's called royalties.

    The fat lady hasn't sung yet regarding all these net services as far as the artists and studios are concerned.

    Why don't you write and work for free and I'll just download whatever it is you do and you can use welfare as your ticket.

    Ain't going to happen Rick. It might seem like the wild, wild west out there - but not for long.

    Radio use to matter because that's how people heard songs and THEN they'd go out and BUY the music.

    Don't think the studios and artists are just going to sit around and let people get their art for free or close to it.

    And don't expect the courts to rule that way.

    It's a loss leader right now as far as BB is concerned. They are throwing crap against the wall and seeing what sticks. Ultimately you'll be looking at a higher sub cost or losses on their income statement.

    End of story Aristotle - GOD that's such a cute middle name. Make sure to use it all the time OK.

  • Report this Comment On May 20, 2009, at 5:06 AM, kaninbuehcibai wrote:

    LOL By Rick Aristotle Munarriz ..."ARTICLES THAT ARE NOT WORTH READING!".

    I suggest Motley fools get better analyst...or they can just close down their sites. enough. done.

    MOTLEY FOOLS please don't go down the PARIAH ROAD.

  • Report this Comment On May 21, 2009, at 11:27 PM, miggles wrote:

    I think Sirius is dead to anyone concerned with streaming to their iphone/ipod/mp3 player. There are better streaming alternatives out there already such as pandora and di.fm that can even be tune to user preferences. Hear a song you don't like? One click, and your personalized music stream will never offer it up again.

    And when I cancelled my Xm account last December, getting Stern/MLB/Martha/Oprah was the last thing on my mind. I and hundreds of thousands of others cancelled because Xm/Sirius butchered their music programming! If Stern is such a cash cow for Sirius, then they should just axe all of the music stations and play those 5-6 channels that they tout all the time.

    Finally, Xm/Sirius was too late to the game bringing any type of iphone streaming applet. (And yes, I know there are hacks that can stream some of their stuff). Even as I write this, it is still vaporware. Sorry Sirius, but people interested in streaming to their iphone have moved on and forgotten about you.

  • Report this Comment On May 21, 2009, at 11:56 PM, ozzfan1317 wrote:

    Unfortunately I agree with the above negative sentiment. I believe Siri is a dead man walking.

  • Report this Comment On May 24, 2009, at 5:56 PM, icey240 wrote:

    I dropped Siri in October with the merger and the canceling of my favorite stations. Thanks Sirius, if it wasn't for your new crappy stations, tin can sound I would have never found SLACKER.

    Slacker has great sound, unlimited skips, saved songs, lyrics/ band info, web player, all for half the price of Sirius. When Howard leaves Sirius is done!

  • Report this Comment On May 24, 2009, at 10:26 PM, daveshouston wrote:

    I'm trying to remember how many years it's been since I visited a BestBuy store or website and paid any attention to them. I'm guessing about four or five years.

    I've already got enough music on my 16GB iPhone to play continuously 24 hours a day for about 8 days.

    Getting more music is really way low on my priority list.

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