1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: AmeriCredit?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 140,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, subprime auto lender AmeriCredit (NYSE: ACF) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at AmeriCredit's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

AmeriCredit facts

Headquarters (Founded)

Fort Worth, Texas (1986)

Market Cap

$2.5 billion

Industry

Credit services

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$342.2 million

Management

CEO Daniel Berce (since 2005)

CFO Chris Choate (since 2005)

Compound Annual Revenue and Net Income Growth (Over Past 3 Years)

(25.7%) and (64.3%)

Year-to-Date Return

146%

Cash/Debt

$193.3 million/$9.74 billion

Competitors

Credit Acceptance (Nasdaq: CACC)

CompuCredit Holdings

CAPS Members Bearish on ACF Also Bearish on

Citigroup (NYSE: C)

Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM)

Lennar (NYSE: LEN)

CAPS Members Bullish on ACF Also Bullish on

General Electric (NYSE: GE)

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 38% of the 243 members who have rated AmeriCredit believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include DarthMaul09 and All-Star gomb0824, who is ranked in the top 2% of our community.

Late last month, DarthMaul09 tapped AmeriCredit's valuation as a tad bit inflated (especially after yesterday's run-up):

Making loans is easy. Collecting the principal and interest may not be. If the loans they are making are fixed rate and inflation becomes a big problem, then they will be paid back in lower valued U.S. dollars. I don't see much up side to this company.

In an earlier pitch, gomb0824 also advised Fools not to give the stock any credit:

Where should I start: the fundamentals or the climate? Their debt is too high ... Compound that with the fact that consumer credit is becoming a four-letter word and the price of oil is going back up (increasing likelihood of loan defaults) ... you begin to see where I'm headed with this. Until car credit and house credit and education loans and unsecured credit level out (and we're not nearly there yet), the road will continue to be rocky [in my opinion].

What do you think about AmeriCredit, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. The CAPS community is waiting to hear your opinions. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 23, 2009, at 5:35 PM, jrhub wrote:

    30% owned by Leucadia, 29% of equity plus some senior debt owned by the Fairholme Fund... may indeed underperform for some time but it's majority owned by three very smart people that could have put their money anywhere.

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