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Wall Street's Buy List

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Actions speak louder than words, as the old saying goes. So why does the media focus so much attention on what Wall Street says about companies, instead of what it does with them?

Luckily for Wall Street watchers, the Internet brings us MSN Money's list of which companies the institutions are buying. True, we should be as skeptical of Wall Street's actions as we are of its words. But when the 145,000-plus lay and professional investors on Motley Fool CAPS agree with Wall Street's opinions, it just might be time for some buying.

Here's the latest edition of Wall Street's Buy List, alongside our investors' opinions of the companies involved:

Companies

Recent Price

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

Patriot Coal (NYSE: PCX  )

$20.20

*****

American Capital (Nasdaq: ACAS  )

$3.87

****

North American Palladium (NYSE: PAL  )

$4.47

****

General Moly

$3.01

****

Gramercy Capital

$4.33

****

Companies are selected from the "Institutional Ownership Up Last Month" list published on MSN Money on the Saturday following close of trading last week. Recent price provided by Yahoo! Finance. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Wall Street vs. Main Street
Platinum and palladium, molybdenum and money -- these are some of Wall Street's favorite things this week. But Wall Street's single favorite investment, and the one that pleases CAPS members most of all, is coal.

Just one week ago, Patriot Coal scored four stars on CAPS, and so ceded pride-of-place on this list to five star-rated Pioneer Drilling. But this week, Patriot's claimed that final, fifth star for itself, and topped the list. Let's find out why professional investors and laymen agree that Patriot Coal is a buy, as we review ...

The bull case for Patriot Coal
CAPS member lonewulf47638 loves Patriot's "very low P/E" and points out that "most energy is from coal. Sales growth and earnings are up." DavidSobel points out that: "If you like steel you have to love coal" (which is integral to the making of steel, whether as a component element for old-line steelmakers like U.S. Steel (NYSE: X  ) , or in generating the power needed to run the arc furnaces at the minimills.)

And come to think of it, I do like a few of the steel companies. Just last week, I singled out Steel Dynamics (Nasdaq: STLD  ) and Nucor (NYSE: NUE  ) as potential blockbusters.

Our final bull snort comes (curiously) from CAPS All-Star danielthebear. Like lonewulf, Dan likes Patriot's P/E ratio, and calls it: "one of the few decently run companies in the industry. We would need them to about double for them to be fairly valued."

Time wounds all heels
Which raises an interesting point. danielthebear posted his pitch back in November 2009, and since then, the stock has doubled, outperforming the S&P 500 by nearly 100 percentage points. After such a strong run-up, the question naturally arises: Is this as good as it gets, or does Patriot still have room to run?

Judging from its five-star rating on CAPS, it seems a lot of Fools think Patriot can indeed ride again, but when I look at the stock, I have to say that I'm less than convinced.

Now don't get me wrong. Selling for nine times earnings, Patriot sure doesn't look expensive. Rivals like Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU  ) and Alpha Natural Resources both command significantly higher P/E ratios. But judging from Wall Street forward estimates, they're also likely to grow much faster than Patriot going forward, boasting 15% five-year growth estimates versus Patriot's 5%. Nor am I particularly enthused about Patriot's history of never generating positive free cash flow (an attribute that I may have mentioned once or twice before.)

Time to chime in
Put it all together, and while I commend danielthebear -- and his fellow bulls -- for picking Patriot early and reaping sizeable gains, I very much fear that this stock's stampede has run its course. It's time to move on and find the next winner.

(Of course, that's just my opinion. You are certainly free to disagree -- and in fact, if you do, we'd love to hear why. Pull up a chair here on Motley Fool CAPS, and tell us all about it.)

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Rich Smith  does not own shares of any company named above. You can find him on CAPS, publicly pontificating under the handle TMFDitty, where he's currently ranked No. 1034 out of more than 145,000 members. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 20, 2010, at 6:44 AM, TimoDOZ wrote:

    So where are the Paul Harvey remarks on the other stocks listed. PAL is now competing with an ETF that actually has Palladium. How much palladium does PAL produce? Even the PGMs look ripe for at least a consolidation. $4.78 for a stock that dropped well below $3 on a C$50MM BDF looks a little rich. So much dilution and maybe some warrants too? ACAS... what chance do they have of staying afloat in a double dip recession. Any CIT shareholders investing there? The banks are reporting big losses after paying back Troubled Asset RP. They have kept the toxic waste on their books instead of using TARP to remain solvent and still liquidate it. They have borrowed money at 0% from the taxpayer, paid out hundreds of millions in bonuses from that largess, then jacked up consumer loan rates to 20-40% rates. These banks are clearly not expecting to collect that money. They may end up with 10%-15% returns and profits before these borrowers default. Two weeks ago the house across the street from my abutter was foreclosed on by "Acme Mortgage Co. seems bank loan officer Wiley Coyote failed to anticipate my assessment dropping 3 times in the last 3 years. Something bad happened when the reset happened. Wiley got the house 20% of the mortgage balance went up in smoke. I can now file for another tax abatement! This has all put the electorate in the state of mind that they should justifiably vote themselves some of this largess. Still trying to swallow Wachovia's Golden T ...(rhymes with word), WFC will probably fail right after Citi bank is "resolved". Good luck with your ACAS and the rest of that kind of subordinated high yield junk, when the only solvent banks in North America are in Canada! Could "Kavin" Flaherty step in when Timmy the "G" joins the Eighth Dwarf Greedy, by getting himself rubbed out? Molybdenum easier to spell than pronounce goes into stainless steel maybe? Gotta be some larger miner that produces a boatload of the stuff as a by product to mining nickel or some such? Gramercy Capital sounds more risky than other metropolitan NY banks like VLY (7.6%VLY-A), NYB and HCBK. Lot's of Tony Soprano types needing those "consulting fee services" W-2s. So collections should not be a problem. You really have to do business with a bank with principal offices in New Brunswick and Ft Lauderdale before you can experience the quintessential Italian hard guy collector phone personality act. It is only rivaled in hilarity by the Congress grilling these financial gurus from Government and Wall Street on why when Congress gave them the authority and encouraged them to build a house of cards on 40-60% leveraging of the US economy they were so obliging in accepting Congress' game plan! There are the bad financials and then the rest which are the failing financials. No body believed Madame Death or that creepy Peter Lorre character. Maybe the PAL might work, after all at least they got gold? Where is that PAL? Would a $200 Loonie note stop the advance to 110? I think Hamilton would have appreciated the symmetry of a $2 bill and a $200 bill. So what if he was an imperialist! At 110 Kavin and the BOC might not get the love of the voters on that kind of impending disaster, Eh? Or maybe I'll buy some US Pe$o IOUs instead? Got TMV? Total Metal Value? NOT!!! It is going to be a tough off season for me as the high school football game is the only place in America you can still yell,"Throw the bomb!!!!" Thank goodness the aught years are over and there will be no more bubbles bursting.

  • Report this Comment On January 20, 2010, at 4:25 PM, jmcgoo1 wrote:

    You put ACAS on your list but! It didn't trade at $3.87 all day! It was over $4.00, and you didn't even bother to mention it in your comments: why include a stock and not mention it, or say why you put it on the list, or what?

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:04 PM
PCX $2.46 Up +0.04 +1.65%
Patriot Coal Corp. CAPS Rating: ***
STLD $10.66 Up +0.09 +0.85%
Steel Dynamics, In… CAPS Rating: ****
X $21.80 Up +0.08 +0.37%
United States Stee… CAPS Rating: ***
NUE $36.11 Up +0.38 +1.06%
Nucor CAPS Rating: *****
ACAS $9.17 Down -0.02 -0.22%
American Capital,… CAPS Rating: ****
BTU $23.88 Up +0.02 +0.08%
Peabody Energy Cor… CAPS Rating: ****

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