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Chevron Strikes While the Iron Is Cold

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Throughout 2010, we've documented the scramble by independent exploration and production companies to tilt their production mix in favor of oil and natural gas liquids. From big boys like Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) , which now promises to become a "top five" U.S. liquids producer by 2015, to smaller shops like Carrizo Oil & Gas, everyone seemingly has oil on the brain.

There are some exceptions among the independents. Range Resources (NYSE: RRC  ) recently doubled down on the Marcellus shale (which is admittedly liquids-rich in spots), while gas-weighted EXCO Resources (NYSE: XCO  ) is facing the launch of a management-led takeover -- or is it a takeunder? On the whole, though, onshore producers are shifting toward oil and liquids en masse, and like EOG Resources, are willing to dump gas assets to fund the transition.

This all suggests to me that it's a great time to be a buyer of natural gas. In fact, I've been going to bat for certain gas-weighted producers since the summer. Today, Chevron (NYSE: CVX  ) demonstrated a similar contrarian bent, as it agreed to buy out Marcellus player Atlas Energy (Nasdaq: ATLS  ) for $4.3 billion, including assumed debt.

The purchase makes perfect sense. My only question is: Why so modest, Chevron? Why buy Atlas when you could grab Range Resources or Cabot Oil & Gas (NYSE: COG  ) or Ultra Petroleum (NYSE: UPL  ) ? Before today, all were trading at modest valuations. Of course, each is trading higher today, because the natural gas space is suddenly deemed "in play" by the momentum-chasing hot money.

The point of value investing isn't to strike while the iron is hot. Apache clearly gets this, as demonstrated by purchases of tossed-off assets like Devon Energy's shallow-water Gulf of Mexico portfolio. I'm glad to see Chevron embracing this principle of striking while the iron is cold as well.

Chesapeake Energy is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. Chevron is a Motley Fool Income Investor pick. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Toby Shute doesn't have a position in any company mentioned. Check out his Motley Fool CAPS profile or follow his articles using Twitter or RSS. The Fool owns shares of Devon Energy and Ultra Petroleum. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2010, at 11:35 PM, cladd wrote:

    Its interesting to note that in a sign of the growing interest in shale gas in Europe, Chevron Vice-Chairman George Kirland said that “the Atlas Energy assets further advance Chevron’s global shale gas position, complementing the company’s recent entrance into shale gas opportunities in Poland, Romania and Canada.”

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