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Garmin Can Learn a Lot From Google

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In a case of man bites dog, Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) released its Latitude application for Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iPhone owners yesterday -- but only after millions of users have been playing with the location-based app on rival smartphones.

Developers usually rush to Apple's iconic App Store as the Broadway of smartphone apps. However, Google's Latitude was initially rejected by Apple, forcing it to roll out for Android, Research in Motion's (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) BlackBerry, Nokia's (NYSE: NOK  ) Symbian, and even Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) Windows Phone 7 before making its official iPhone debut.

The change of scenery did it good. Google claims that there are now more than 9 million active users checking in and knowing just where their friends are (at least those who want to let their friends know where they are). Hitting the cynical iPhone base after achieving critical mass will help it hit the ground running.

Taking all of the news in yesterday, my initial thoughts were about an unlikely company: Garmin (Nasdaq: GRMN  ) .

GPS-backed smartphones and Google's popular online maps have combined to all but paralyze Garmin.

The broken Wall Street darling once had investors singing along to the GPS champ's "give-a, give-a, give-a Garmin" ads to the tune of "Carol of the Bells" this time of year. These days, investors have had their bells rung instead.

In its latest quarter, Garmin's revenue slipped 11% as pro forma profitability plunged 31%. Garmin can point to strength in its Outdoor/Fitness, Aviation and Marine segments, but a 19% top-line decline in the Automotive/Mobile segment -- which still accounts for the majority of Garmin's revenue -- is enough to sink all ships.

When it comes to its flagship offering, Garmin hasn't been able to recover from the battering of GPS-enabled smartphones that provide mapping and even turn-by-turn navigation. The popularity of location-based services -- with folks using Latitude, Foursquare, Gowalla, and Facebook Places to check in virtually for social bennies -- has raised the stakes in a game that Garmin was already losing. Folks are no longer replacing traditional GPS modules with smartphone apps; they now expect their contacts to also appear on these maps with convenient access tools.

How can Garmin compete? It may never be able to, now that free ad-supported models exist for folks who don't have to weigh initial cash investments for hardware they already carry around. However, if Garmin does have a chance, why doesn't it just belly up to the bar and acquire Foursquare?

Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO  ) was reportedly interested in Foursquare earlier this year, but a deal failed to materialize. Now that Latitude and Google Places are gaining traction, one would think that the Nervous Nellies at Foursquare may be open to an acquisition if the price is right.

Garmin won't have a problem with the price tag. It has nearly $1.9 billion in cash and marketable securities, and that money's going to waste in share buybacks at what in retrospect are inflated prices. It's already paying a generous dividend. It's time to go shopping.

Garmin isn't going away. It is profitable and growing in many second-tier categories. However, buying Foursquare would make Garmin relevant again. At the very least, the next time a "give-a Garmin" ad pops up it won't feel like a visit from the ghost of Christmas Past.

What would you do with Garmin's money? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.

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Google and Microsoft are Motley Fool Inside Value choices. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call position on Microsoft. The Fool owns shares of Google and Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz bought a Garmin nuvi several years ago, probably misplaced it, and hasn't missed it much. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2010, at 11:23 AM, jmullina wrote:

    Garmin does have a challenge. VGuying Foursquare is an interesting idea, but my advice for them is to start making phones and to deliver the best GPS/map/directions/navigation experience. Can't take credit for that, though - as it seems they are already in motion on that path. Looks like an ASUS-Garmin partnership will release a Windows Phone 7 phone in Q1 next year (if rumors are to be believed).

    If they learn enough (fast enough) in the process, maybe they'll be able to graduate to making their own devices without having to split profits with ASUS?

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2010, at 12:11 PM, aaronpape77 wrote:

    I've been following Garmin's roller-coaster ride closely and actually their partnership with Asus has been severed. I believe Asus will deliver Android-powered smart phones with Garmin mapping rather than the normally-included Google Navigation, but it will not be a co-branded phone. However, Asus' distribution prowess is not very impressive and will not do much to revive Garmin's career. Garmin's attempt at an entry into the smart phone market was in general a disaster (as was predicted by many, including me) and they realize that. The smart phone market is heavily saturated by companies that are a billion (or google) times larger than Garmin. Still, Garmin is quite used to acquisitions; they historically tend to buy companies that strengthen their weak spots. They are not stupid and I'm sure they are aware that they need to purchase somebody to make their mapping experience more interesting, interactive and social.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2010, at 10:26 AM, jalan94 wrote:

    I think Garmin's consumer business is in real trouble. They simply cannot stop thinking like a hardware manufacturer, in a marketplace where their competition is thinking like a software developer. They made the critical mistake of thinking that the Garmin name was strong enough to sway the general public into using their smartphone hardware and force you onto their partnered cell carrier. Obviously that was a very poor decision. Consumers expect Garmin to be a leader but instead they've completely neglected the smartphone software marketplace. On the PND side, they made crucial mistakes as well. They alienated existing customers by releasing >70 models with small incremental feature enhancements while limiting the release of feature updates of existing units to a very short time period. Discontinuing units inside of 12 months is not the way to keep existing customers happy.

    In recent years, Garmin couldn't even be counted on for rock solid hardware performance. In an atypical fashion, Garmin units had a multitude of firmware missteps more typical of TomTom. How do you convince customers to pay a premium for Garmin PND units when the reliability is decreased to that of TomTom? Finally, Garmin tried to maintain an image as a premium solution but to this day has never brought back basic features like detouring out specific route segments.

    Google Navigation's performance on my current 1 GHZ smartphone is stunning. Next year when I have a $300 phone running a multicore Tegra processor and competent navigation solutions from Garmin's competitors, why in the world would I spend $300 on a dedicated PND?

    Garmin could sell millions of smartphone apps. The problem is, Garmin's infrastructure can't make money on $30 apps, even at millions of units. Heck, Garmin has proven that they can't compete at the < $150 PND level. They went kicking and screaming into what they called the "low end" of PND sales. Giving Asus exclusive rights to their Android product was insane in my opinion. Who is Asus in the US when it comes to smartphones? Nobody.

    Garmin's best bet might be to purchase someone like Waze or Inrix to get their software development moving inside of a corporate structure that may know how to make money at at software margins. If they ignore the smartphone space much longer, I don't think they recover from it.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2011, at 10:48 AM, griderX wrote:

    Garmin Overhaul Plan:

    1. Make all map updates free!

    2. Incorporate location based ads within maps.

    3. Streamline GPS line to one model make it felxible enough to support future updates for about 1 year and repeat next year.

  • Report this Comment On January 07, 2011, at 12:38 AM, Gridlocked wrote:

    Garmin can't make map updates free since they have to pay for the maps themselves. They tried and failed to outbid TomTom for TeleAtlas a few years ago. As it is they sell map updates and lifetime subscriptions for less than TomTom.

    They could move towards open source maps and use their users gps traces to update those along with user feedback but that would entail an ugly period during which their map data would be terrible.

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