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Who's Broke Now?

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Would you like beer or soda pop? Maybe you'd rather keep your wallet closed and instead have a glass of tap water.

Beverage companies have felt the pain of the weakened economy as folks eat out less and shift to cheaper beverage options. North American carbonated beverage volume dropped 3% in 2008 and 2.1% in 2009. The following two beverage companies are among those who haven't strengthened their balance sheets in case of an economic perfect storm.

A balance sheet buzzkill
Craft Brewers Alliance
(Nasdaq: HOOK  ) is a collaboration of smaller craft beer companies, including top names such as Redhook, Kona Brewing, and Goose Island. Sounds tempting, eh? It shouldn't. The CBA has no cash (and I mean this literally; the company had only $13,000 in cash in its last reported numbers). Combine this with $19 million in debt, a quick ratio of 0.50, and a current ratio of 0.90, and the initial beer buzz on this stock is somewhat short-lived.

Like my fellow Fools, I think the craft brew space is an interesting play and could be lucrative. However, I'm not so sure that CBA is it. Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE: BUD  ) owns 35% of CBA, which could be good or bad depending on your perspective. Look at what Anheuser-Busch did to Rolling Rock.

A few years back, Bud bought Rolling Rock in what turned out to be an ill-fated entry into the craft brew space. A big part of the Rolling Rock brand was that it was brewed with water from the rolling streams of Latrobe, Pa. So what does Anheuser-Busch do shortly after purchasing the brand? Move production to New Jersey. Niche brands such as Rolling Rock rely on a loyal fan base: These folks actually care about not only what the product tastes like, but also what the brand stands for.

Craft Brewers Alliance boasts a five-year revenue growth rate of 34.7%, but at a 53.20 trailing-12-month P/E, this stock is way too rich for my blood. One misstep (like Bud's Rolling Rock fiasco) and this company could find itself with a painful hangover headache. Boston Beer Co. (NYSE: SAM  ) looks to be a much stronger (and safer) play in this space.

Caught in a cash crunch?
When I was a kid, I developed a taste for the sweet concoctions made by Cott Corp. (NYSE: COT  ) . You might not see Cott's orange soda (my all-time favorite) on your supermarket shelves these days, but the company still makes a wide range of soft drinks, bottled waters, teas, and energy drinks, specializing in private-label/retailer brand soft drinks.

Time has not necessarily been kind to Cott, which has generated negative sales growth over the previous five years (-1.73% versus the industry average of 4.21%) and subsequent five-year net margin of -1.2% (the industry average is 8.3%). The company currently holds $35.4 million in cash on its balance sheet, but inventory has ballooned by 107% over the past nine months to $206.2 million.

Cott completed its acquisition of Cliffstar Corp. in August 2010, increasing its long-term debt by 162%, to $606.6 million. Cliffstar also concentrates on private-label beverages, so I'm sure Cott is looking to find cost and brand synergies without sacrificing its core business.

As folks "trade down" for cheaper products across the consumer goods space, private-label makers such as Cott aren't inherently a bad deal. However, with its recent growth and margin performance, the company hasn't shown the stability to thrive on its own, let alone integrate a new piece into the puzzle. Cash king Hansen Natural (Nasdaq: HANS  ) would be much better plays in the non-alcoholic beverage space.

Now what?
As we've seen with the tobacco industry, stock performance can skyrocket even with minimal (or negative) volume growth. If you are interested in investing in the beverage industry, take a look at the top dividend-yielding companies and consider industry stalwarts like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) . Smaller players like Craft Brewers Alliance and Cott can be profitable investments in larger industries, but low cash positions and high debt make the risk-reward proposition for these investments too high.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

We Fools may not hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Fool contributor Colleen Paulson does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. Boston Beer is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Coca-Cola is a Motley Fool Inside Value and Motley Fool Income Investor selection. Hansen Natural is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. The Fool owns shares of Coca-Cola. For more investing strategies, take a look at the Motley Fool's newsletters via a 30-day free trial. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 18, 2011, at 11:28 AM, OKMCFLY wrote:

    WOW COLLEEEN!

    Now that was some in-depth analysis-NOT.

    SO you ONLY looked at CASH on the Balance sheet?

    HMMMMMM???

    Did you not see those MONSTER CHUNKS of DEBT they PAID OFF???

    HMMMMMMM??

    See you need to go just a tad further... maybe examine the CASH FLOW STATEMENT and see the CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS....

    OH WOW....

    SO your comment on CASH ON HAND is as good as an observation of the gum spots on Fifth Avenue. WORTHLESS.

    This company has TREMENDOUS CASH FLOW. That is why DEBT IS PLUNGING.

    Geee whizzzz. Talk about shoddy work

  • Report this Comment On March 28, 2011, at 6:57 PM, OKMCFLY wrote:

    OOOOOOPS!

    So Colleeen! $16 MILLION IN CASH comin in!!

    That about wipes out HOOK's DEBT!!!!

    That means $2.5 million they spent in INTEREST EXPENSE goes away BABY!!!!

    THAT MEANS CASH FLOW BABY!!!!!

    NOW, EVEN A DA F.O.O.L. should know that a company with HUGE Capital Expenditure has a little deal called......

    DEPRECIATION.

    So head down to the water cooler and ask another FOOL what that is about.

    See, you got to look at companies like this by looking at CASH FLOW>

    THAT's the ticket....

    And, PSSSSST, CASH FLOW IS GOING UP FAST HERE>

    SO review the news....

    CASH COMIN IN!!!! YEEEE HA

    INTEREST EXPENSE ALL BUT GOIN AWAY...

    AND LOWERING OF FEES.... MORE CASH FLOW...

    Now ask a local FOOL what a TAX LOSS CARRYFORWARD is and see if they think those are a GOOD THING....

    EPS comin YOUR WAY BABY.

    But don't mind that.... LOOK AT THE CASH FLOW.

    THAT IS THE STUFF THEY PAID DOWN $7 MILLION OF DEBT WITH LAST YEAR.... while you blathered on about "who is broke"

    might be time for an MBA.....

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