Is Genworth Financial the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Genworth Financial (NYSE: GNW  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Genworth Financial.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% (0.2%) Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 4.9% Fail
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 5.6% Fail
  Net Margin > 15% 0.4% Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 77.6% Fail
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.70 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 1.3% Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 68.87 Fail
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 0.0% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% 0.0% Fail
       
  Total Score   1 out of 10

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Total score = number of passes.

With just a single point, Genworth Financial is about as far from perfection as you can get. The financial services company has faced a number of unique challenges on top of the general problems that the entire financial industry has had to deal with since the market meltdown two and a half years ago.

On the surface, Genworth looks like it has a diversified business. It sells annuities and insurance products to consumers, as well as providing financial planning assistance both within the U.S. and around the world. At the same time, the company also provided mortgage insurance to help borrowers qualify for mortgage loans from lenders like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

But as it turned out, Genworth was in the wrong place at the wrong time. On one hand, the company faced significant losses on several consumer-targeted financial products. Genworth recently gave up selling variable annuities late last year because sales were down substantially. At the same time, the company has had to join Manulife Financial (NYSE: MFC  ) and its John Hancock division in requesting big premium increases for long-term care policies -- policies that MetLife (NYSE: MET  ) had to stop writing entirely.

At the same time, the mortgage insurance business has been a disaster. Although monoline insurers PMI Group (NYSE: PMI  ) , Radian Group (NYSE: RDN  ) , and MGIC Investment (NYSE: MTG  ) have the most to lose from losses on private mortgage insurance, Genworth can't really afford another financial problem in a different segment of its business right now.

Genworth is hoping that the worst is over for its ailing businesses. But until the company can demonstrate a true turnaround, you should look elsewhere to seek a perfect stock.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Click here to add Genworth Financial to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our "13 Steps to Investing Foolishly."

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (3)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 1521161, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/23/2014 5:26:01 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...


Advertisement