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Is Nuance Communications the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Nuance Communications (Nasdaq: NUAN  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Nuance Communications.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% 31.4% Pass
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 17.6% Pass
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 66.7% Pass
  Net Margin > 15% 3.6% Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 34.9% Pass
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.76 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 2% Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 130.09 Fail
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 0% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% 0% Fail
       
  Total Score   5 out of 10

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Total score = number of passes.

With a score of five, Nuance Communications isn't coming in loud and clear, but you can still hear what it's saying. The company is a pioneer in voice recognition software and may finally be catching its lucky break.

Nuance has technology that helps computers recognize voices. If you've ever made an airplane reservation with an automated agent, you've heard Nuance in action. Now, though, smartphones are the new frontier for the company.

The big break for Nuance may come from the stock market's new No. 1 company. Last week, a Mac news site reported that Nuance would provide a speech-to-text feature in the upcoming update of Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iOS operating system. That would open up the voice recognition technology to millions of iPhone users. Certainly, similar Apple partnerships with radio frequency chip producer Skyworks Solutions (Nasdaq: SWKS  ) and camera-sensor maker Omnivision (Nasdaq: OVTI  ) have sent their respective stocks soaring.

Meanwhile, Nuance's most recent earnings report seems auspicious. Even though a big jump in revenue wasn't quite as much as analysts had hoped for, earnings beat expectations. If being included on the iPhone gives Nuance the growth boost it's hoping for, then a multiple of around 12 times forward earnings might actually be cheap, regardless of its normalized P/E.

Nuance may not be perfect, especially with no dividend. But the future looks bright, and if it can grab onto Apple's coattails -- or perhaps even see rumors of a possible Apple takeover take root -- then Nuance could get a lot better for investors sooner rather than later.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Click here to add Nuance Communications to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our "13 Steps to Investing Foolishly."

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Nuance Communications and Apple, as well as creating a bull call spread position in Apple. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 16, 2011, at 3:10 PM, bike5389 wrote:

    If you plugged triquint TQNT into these factors I think it would have even better results.

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