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Italian Debt Auction Sends Yields Tumbling: What Investors Need to Know

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What's happening in the headlines can affect you as an investor. Here's what's going on, what you need to know, and what you should expect.

The headline
The Financial Times is reporting that Italy's short-term funding costs were cut in half at a debt sale yesterday.

The details
There was healthy demand for both two-year bonds and six-month bills, with yields dramatically lower than at similar recent auctions. Italy sold the bonds at an average 4.85% yield compared with 7.8% last month and the bills at an average yield of 3.25%, dramatically lower than the eurozone record of 6.50% just one month ago.

Benchmark 10-year bond prices also rose for the first time in five days, with yields dropping 25 basis points to 6.75%, finally moving away from the 7% threshold that had forced other eurozone governments to seek bailouts. Italy is the eurozone's third-largest bond market.

Now what?
Coming just weeks after the most recent eurozone summit and the launch of the European Central Bank's emergency three-year loan program, this debt auction is being viewed as the first crucial test of market sentiment -- and a successful one. A bigger test, however, awaits on Thursday, when Italy will be selling more than $11 billion of its three-, seven-, and 10-year bonds. Will the market have confidence to go long on Italian sovereign debt? We'll just have to wait and see.

Until then, for investors on both sides of the Atlantic holding their collective breath over the resolution, or non-resolution, of the eurozone crisis, this short-term debt auction is positive news. Watch for markets to jump a bit, but don't expect them to stay up. The Dow (INDEX: ^DJI  ) , the S&P (INDEX: ^GSPC  ) , and the Nasdaq (INDEX: ^IXIC  ) have been on a roller coaster all year, and the financial crisis, now being expressed through the lens of distressed European sovereign debt, isn't over yet.

As always, Fools, don't have money in the market you're going to need over the next three to five years, keep an eye on the fundamentals of the companies you're invested in, and stay calm. Like us, you're in it for the long term.

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Fool contributor John Grgurich loves his Twitter news feed so much he wants to marry it, but he owns no shares of any of the companies mentioned above. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a scintillating disclosure policy.


Read/Post Comments (4) | Recommend This Article (3)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 28, 2011, at 6:59 PM, mslivansky wrote:

    Hi Fools, I'm wondering who were the main buyers of today's Italian bonds and bills. Can't find it anywher on net. Does anyone know where to find this information?

  • Report this Comment On December 29, 2011, at 7:28 AM, TMFCop wrote:

    msilvansky,

    I'm not conversant enough in bonds to know where to go look up that kind of information, but a story in the Atlanta Journal Constitution said it may have been European banks using their taxpayer bailout funds to buy the bonds:

    <i>"The sharp decline in Italy's borrowing costs over the past couple of days suggests that commercial banks from the 17 countries that use the euro may have diverted some money they tapped from emergency loans from the European Central Bank last week to buy the bonds of heavily indebted governments."</i>

    http://www.ajc.com/business/monti-encouraged-by-bond-1279427...

    Seems to me if that's the case, they figured why not risk the taxpayer's money on a extremely shaky economy instead of their own.

    Rich

  • Report this Comment On December 29, 2011, at 8:41 AM, AirForceFool wrote:

    Sigh... so let's take a house of cards... (the EU), purchase another couple of decks of playing cards with the money the ECB has loaned us and use it to prop up the already shaky structure... Sigh... this isn't going to go well... it may take another year or two to shake out, but I can't see how this can end positively. Chris

    Disclaimer: 80+% in cash, oil and silver.

  • Report this Comment On December 29, 2011, at 10:03 AM, TMFGrgurich wrote:

    Thanks for the thoughtful, insightful comments. If the money to buy the bonds did come from the ECB's emergency loan program, it is rather robbing Peter to pay Paul. Not the best plan, I agree. Cheers.

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