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Blockbuster's Loss Should Be Coinstar and Netflix's Gain

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There could be a reason why DISH Network (Nasdaq: DISH  ) was willing to pick up Blockbuster in bankruptcy proceedings last year for barely more than what a dedicated liquidator was willing to pay.

DISH CEO Joe Clayton told Reuters last week that the satellite television provider will be closing more Blockbuster locations than it was originally targeting.

"We will close unprofitable stores," Clayton said in the interview. "We will close additional stores."

It's not a surprise that some -- if not many -- Blockbuster stores aren't turning a profit. Cheaper rental alternatives exist. Coinstar's (Nasdaq: CSTR  ) Redbox and the NCR-bankrolled (NYSE: NCR  ) Blockbuster Express offer celluloid buffs cheap discs through automated kiosks. It's easy to be cheap when you don't need to spend a lot on labor and strip-mall rental space. Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX  ) may have stumbled in the third quarter, but it still had nearly 14 million DVD-based subscribers in this country.

Clayton didn't reveal how many stores will actually be closing, but he did say that the stores that will remain open will become more active in selling DISH subscriptions and may eventually grow into service hubs for its satellite service's subscribers. In other words, even the locations that live may not have the same purpose.

Clearly, this is a dinner bell for the few players left standing, but maybe it's a more ominous bell. After all, the demise of Movie Gallery and Hollywood Video didn't lead to a return of Blockbuster's glory years.

Redbox is still delivering monster growth for Coinstar. It may very well be the last DVD rental joint standing in a couple of years. However, what if Blockbuster's decline isn't any different than when Borders or Virgin Music or Circuit City went down? It wasn't a feast for the survivors. It was a sign of things to come.

A smaller -- and different -- Blockbuster may initially sting NCR's licensed kiosk business. After all, the brand may grow to mean something else. However, if this is symptomatic of DVD rental trends following the gradual decline of DVD purchases, it's not as if Coinstar or Netflix will be rocking in physical rentals.

Netflix obviously has its streaming lifeboat in place. Coinstar is likely to finally introduce its long-promised digital strategy later this year. However, the DVD rental as we know it is dying.

It was nice knowing you, special features, blooper reels, and alternate endings.

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Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Netflix and Coinstar. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a Netflix subscriber and shareholder since 2002. He does not own shares in any of the other stocks in this story. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 17, 2012, at 6:01 PM, jermille wrote:

    What's missing in this article is why the Coinstar and Netflix don't appear to be gaining revenue from Blockbusters loss. Blockbuster Express has wisely started to compete directly with Redbox by adopting two tier pricing. They receive the movies earlier and price them at about $4 until Redbox receives them at which time they lower to Redbox's price. Netflix streaming has hardly any of the new rental releases and only has them available at a later date as part of their DVD service. So, essentially they don't complete directly with either Redbox or Blockbuster Express.

  • Report this Comment On January 18, 2012, at 10:00 AM, Flamboyan wrote:

    Redbox's revs are going up double digits on a 'same store' basis. And - they added 5-6k kiosks in 2011.

    They are the cheapest game in town (even after the price increase to $1.20/night), they have the best locations, and they've always had better margins than Blockbuster/NCR.

    No, DVD kiosks wont last forever, but like the Coinstar CFO says, as long as studios are trying to sell DVDs, there will be DVD kiosk rental....

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