Akamai Is Back!

Shares of Akamai Technologies (Nasdaq: AKAM  ) are up more than 8% in early trading after reporting better-than-expected third quarter results last night:

Metric

Q3 2012 Estimate

Q3 2012 Actual

Q3 2011

Actual Growth (YOY)

EPS

$0.41

$0.43

$0.34

26.5%

Revenue

$338.2 million

$345.3 million

$281.9 million

22.5%

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

All segments improved. Cloud infrastructure revenue rose 22% over last year's Q3, partially due to greater adoption of Akamai's KONA online security services. As a group, cloud infrastructure now accounts for 58% of revenue, CFO James Benson said during a conference call with analysts.

Content delivery grew 23%. In that group, and media and entertainment grew fastest, at 26%, thanks to the rising popularity of high-definition video delivered over the Internet.

Revenue from enterprise clients using Akamai to deliver private data using hybrid clouds -- i.e., shared environments where in-house infrastructure combines with an off-site data center -- grew 22%. Among the remaining verticals, commerce grew 21%, public sector 20%, and high tech 17%.

Content delivery gains proved to be the most surprising, CEO Paul Sagan said in an interview yesterday, in that the growth couldn't be directly traced just to the Olympics or online viewership of the presidential debates. Users simply expect more from the Internet; Akamai's CDN helps deliver.

Think about that for a moment. Even as Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX  ) substitutes Akamai for its own content delivery network and Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) plunges into the market , the company's legacy network remains just as important today as it was at Akamai's founding in 1998.

Does that mean you should be a buyer at these levels? For the first time in a while, I'd say yes. I'm making an outperform CAPScall on the stock on the theory that, in surviving recent trials, Akamai has proven its network isn't as susceptible to substitutes as I feared.

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  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2012, at 9:06 AM, lucasmonger wrote:

    The time to buy AKAM was after dot-bomb, when prices plunged to less than $1. After a climb to over $60, another time to buy was during the financial crisis when it was down to $10. Then another climb to around $40 it most recently dropped to about $24 a few months ago. So buying on good news and a recent price jump to about $38 isn't my idea of a good time to buy.

    The basic premise that companies like AKAM (LVLT, LLNW) will make money when people demand more of the internet is sound, at least until someone invents something new that completely usurps the need for CDNs.

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