My Top 2 Stocks: Netflix and Intuitive Surgical

I'm an unabashed growth investor. Not just any old growth, but the kind of earth-shaking hypergrowth that comes with disrupting traditional business ideas. If our Rule Breakers newsletter had a star constellation in the zodiac, I'd be born under it.

So I hope you're not surprised to learn that 4 of my 15 stock positions come straight from David Gardner's growth-focused newsletter. Two more live on David's side of the scorecard in our Stock Advisor service.

Here's how I ended up making longtime Stock Advisor pick Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX  ) my largest holding, and how Rule Breaker Intuitive Surgical became my second-fattest position.

Netflix: Through thick and thin
Video maven Netflix is not just my largest holding but also my oldest. I first got into the stock at $28 per share, way back in 2006. That was when Blockbuster made a serious attempt to kill its newfangled rival, only to fatally weaken its own financial health instead. I had just done several months of intensive research on the movie rental industry, and came away convinced that Netflix had that game in the bag. That's when I bought my first Netflix shares.

The stock price has multiplied more than five-fold since then, which goes a long way toward explaining its large stature in my portfolio. But that's not the whole story.

Many investors might have taken their profits and headed for the exits when Netflix traded at $300 per share. I didn't because I saw even higher values in the years ahead. The all-digital strategy of global domination had barely started to play out in those heady days of early 2011.

Many more might have -- and did -- run away when Netflix changed its service prices, separated the digital church from its DVD state, and wanted to cram a totally separate DVD service named Qwikster down our throats. This trifecta of management errors played out in a matter of weeks, and the stock lost three-quarters of its value.

I thought about the mistakes and, yes, I briefly considered selling. But CEO Reed Hastings saw the error of his ways, reversed the unforgivable Qwikster mistake (which might have worked just fine in 2013, mind you!), and vowed to tread more carefully when making large changes to the core business plan.

Netflix is still way ahead of the admittedly growing pack of hungry rivals. Everyone wants to rule the just-blossoming era of digital video distribution. So far, only Netflix has found a business model that works, and the company has a lead time of several years as the others figure out its secret sauce for customer satisfaction.

So I stayed. Not only that, but I bought more shares at $83. Hastings has done nothing to lose my long-term trust since then, and I still see outsized value in the stock.

This growth story is just getting started. I'm letting this winner run for the long haul. Quite possibly decades.

Intuitive Surgical: Betting on better outcomes
Intuitive Surgical is a different story. Like Netflix, it exploits a large, lucrative, and precisely defined market with nearly monopolistic powers. Unlike Netflix, everybody already knows that Intuitive holds a monolopy.

The company makes surgical robots that help human surgeons make smaller, cleaner, and more precise operations. They're not a replacement for trained doctors, but a powerful tool in their skilled hands.

What's so disruptive about that?

It's a combination of several important factors:

  • The da Vinci robot supposedly gives patients a better outcome than traditional surgery options done by hand. You get smaller scars, faster recovery, and thanks to the less invasive nature of robotic surgery, safer operations as well.
  • The system is approved to perform some high-volume procedures including prostatectomies, cardiac surgery (without cracking the breastbone), and various gynecologic corrections. Many of these conditions share one characteristic: They become more common with advancing age.
  • And that brings us to the big zinger. Baby boomers are just about entering retirement age, and will collectively need an unheard of amount of medical care over the next couple of decades. This is simply the best time in history to invest in medical specialists as they enter a golden age.
  • That's particularly true when one company has a virtual monopoly on a proven medical technology. Intuitive Surgical developed robotic surgery equipment that nobody else could match -- and then bought its only serious rival. Other companies can grab hyper-specialized niche markets -- MAKO Surgical 's (UNKNOWN: MAKO.DL  ) knee replacements come to mind, and Accuray's (NASDAQ: ARAY  ) tumor-busting CyberKnife also gets thrown around a lot by Intuitive's skeptics. These companies may very well become great long-term investments in their own right, but they can't hold a candle to the big dog's sheer scale. Until Intuitive's core patents expire, the company simply doesn't have any competition.

ISRG Revenue TTM Chart

ISRG Revenue TTM data by YCharts.

This stock has just about doubled since I bought it in 2010, and I expect it to double again in the next five years. That being said, I recently took some profits on my position to diversify my holdings a bit. (What did I buy? The best stock for new money now, of course!) The position had grown almost as large as my Netflix holdings, and I'm somewhat more confident in Netflix staying sharp for decades to come. I'm more of a tech guy than a medical expert, after all.

Your turn!
These are my biggest, best, and most rock-solid investments today. Are you still on the search for those cornerstone stocks that belong in your portfolio for the long haul? Motley Fool CEO and investing guru Tom Gardner is sharing his two highest-conviction stock picks with you. They're the biggest positions in his Everlasting Portfolio, which are the only stocks he's buying for the rest of his life. Tom has obliterated Wall Street's returns for years, and today you're invited to uncover his top picks for FREE. To learn more about these lifelong-worthy stocks, and how to benefit from Tom's market-stomping service, just click here now.


Read/Post Comments (3) | Recommend This Article (9)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 13, 2013, at 12:53 AM, tom2727 wrote:

    ISRG is my largest holding by far. This is the one stock I could hold for 10 or 20 years and not lose a wink of sleep. I don't intend to sell a single share before it gets to 1000.

    Yet I have leap puts on NFLX. Hoping to ride it down from 180 like I rode it down from 300.

    Strange how you picked my most favorite and least favorite stocks to write up.

  • Report this Comment On March 15, 2013, at 3:01 PM, rsound12 wrote:

    ISRG. ouch! Still your favorite?

  • Report this Comment On April 09, 2013, at 3:27 PM, tom2727 wrote:

    Oh yeah. ISRG will continue to be my favorite until they lose their monopoly position in robotic surgery.

    These short term things like class actions and FDA investigations are just small footnotes in the larger story. If the stock drops because of this "news", good. I'll buy more shares.

    All these little things always seem to fall by the wayside when they post blowout numbers every quarter. I'm sure next quarter will be no exception.

Add your comment.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 2307273, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/24/2014 5:35:06 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...


Advertisement