Will Godzilla Stomp its Competition?

Godzilla stomps his way into theaters on May 16. Source: Legendary Pictures.

A closer look at a fan poll has Fool contributor Tim Beyers wondering if he was too quick to dismiss Godzilla's chances at the box office. He explains why in the following video.

In early January, entertainment site IGN published a poll in which Godzilla ranked as the sci-fi movie fans were most excited to see in 2014. Christopher Nolan's Interstellar ranked second at just over 20%. By contrast, among comic book films, Tim's top pick -- Walt Disney's (NYSE: DIS  ) Captain America: The Winter Soldier -- ranked a distant fourth at 13.9% of the vote, trailing The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (14.3%), Guardians of the Galaxy (18.7%), and X-Men: Days of Future Past (35.2%).

What's more, recent Google Trends data shows that Godzilla, co-produced by Legendary Pictures and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX  ) , has enjoyed impressive search volume in the days following a new trailer or other news event. And yet, between the two, Tim still believes the Winter Soldier has an edge.

Why? He cites two reasons. First, a new trailer for the movie has been viewed more than 13 million times in less than two weeks -- a stunning number when you consider that a preview for The Amazing Spider-Man 2 has earned less than 4 million views over the same period.

Second, with an early April release date, the new Captain America gets a month in theaters before the next round of would-be comic book and sci-fi blockbusters reach audiences. The extra space should give the film time to generate momentum, Tim argues, a luxury Godzilla won't have when it launches between the debuts of Spider-Man and Days of Future Past.

Now it's your turn to weigh in. What's your pick for the top box-office earner of 2014? Will Disney have another record-breaking year, or will Godzilla help Warner stomp competitors? Please watch the video to get Tim's full take and then leave a comment to let us know whether you would buy, sell, or short either of these stocks.

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  • Report this Comment On February 13, 2014, at 5:44 PM, delfra wrote:

    First off I wouldn't take any solace in some little IGN internet poll that probably what a few thousand people we're poled on, yeah right. Now those trailer views carry far more weight and are a much more better indicator of a film's potential success. Also as I have always voiced, it's the millions of moviegoers that will indicate a film's potential success, not an internet site with a few thousand rabid fanboys, ain't not REAL money coming from that limited fanbase.

  • Report this Comment On February 14, 2014, at 5:00 AM, Kregg wrote:

    delfra Yeah IGN is a few more than a few thousand rabid fanboys and limited Fan base concerning Godzilla. http://corp.ign.com/ Statistics for IGN personally. Don't count anything out as not possible. In this world now a days the smaller things can make a huge impact. and Godzilla may not have the super millions of dollars behind it like Captain America or those others, but it's got history and a roaring fan base. It's definitely gonna be a hit worldwide.

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