A Deep Look at LINN Energy's Fourth-Quarter Results

Looking closer at some of the numbers that matter from the fourth-quarter and full-year results for LINN Energy and LinnCo.

Feb 27, 2014 at 1:00PM

Linn Energy Llc Linnco Llc

Photo credit: LINN Energy.

LINN Energy (NASDAQ:LINE) and LinnCo (NASDAQ:LNCO) reported strong results before the market opened today. Distributable cash flow was stronger than expected, while production exceeded the lower end of the company's guidance range despite the impact from severe winter weather. Let's take a deeper look at the most important numbers LINN Energy reported for this past quarter.

The numbers that matter
LINN Energy's oil and gas production averaged 889 million cubic feet of natural gas equivalent per day, or MMcfe/d, in the fourth quarter. However, that number included 44 MMcfe/d from the LinnCo-led deal to buy Berry Petroleum, which closed near the end of the quarter. Backing that out, the company produced an average of 845 MMcfe/d, which was at the lower end of the company's guidance range of 840-860 MMcfe/d. Persistently severe winter weather affected production during the quarter, which makes even hitting the lower end of the guidance a success.

Another important number worth watching was Berry Petroleum's production in the fourth quarter. Before closing its deal with LinnCo, Berry Petroleum was guiding for fourth-quarter production of 44,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, or BOE/d. LINN Energy noted that Berry Petroleum's fourth-quarter production was actually slightly higher at 45,000 BOE/d. That growth also represented a 9% jump from the prior quarter.

Finally, and most impressively, was the $202 million that LINN Energy put up for distributable cash flow. What made that impressive was that the company only distributed $170.5 million to unit holders, which left an excess of $31.5 million. LINN Energy had guided for cash flow in excess of its distribution of 5%-10% on the quarter, which it easily exceeded. For a company that struggled to cover its distribution earlier in 2013, this is a welcome situation.

One area to watch
Production guidance for 2014 looks a little light. The company expects first-quarter production to average between 1,070 and 1,100 MMcfe/d. However, for the full-year the company doesn't see much if any growth as the guidance range is 1,070 to 1,140 MMcfe/d. This guidance range does include ethane rejection of 22 MMcfe/d.


Photo credit: LINN Energy.

This is something that needs to be watched due to the fact that LINN Energy also announced a capital budget of $1.55 billion for oil and gas projects. That's 11% less than the combined companies spent in 2013, and it would appear that most of that money would be used to offset production declines, not grow production.

A quarter of that money will be spent in the Permian Basin, which holds both promise and uncertainty at the moment. Part of the promise is in the fact that the company believes its acreage has horizontal potential in the Wolfcamp shale. The company is participating with Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG) on a nonoperated well. We should expect the results of the Diamondback Energy well in the first quarter.

In addition, LINN Energy is looking to drill 10 operated wells in the second quarter, targeting the Wolfcamp. Those wells add uncertainty and risk. Adding to the uncertainty is the fact that the company announced strategic alternatives for this Midland Basin portion of its Permian Basin assets. The company could sell, trade, or partner on these assets. While there appears to be real value here, as Diamondback Energy's recent purchases of acreage in the area suggest, the extent of that value and how LINN Energy intends to develop it remains to be seen. Still, there is exciting upside potential, which could have a significant positive impact of 2014 guidance. 

Investor takeaway
Overall, LINN Energy delivered a solid quarter. Production was solid and cash flow was good, leaving LINN Energy's distribution and LinnCo's dividend both looking rock solid.

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Matt DiLallo owns shares of Linn Co, LLC and Linn Energy, LLC. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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