Why Netflix Inc. Shares Could Fly to $500

Does this analyst make a good case? Or is it just more noise from Wall Street?

Jun 17, 2014 at 12:17PM

While Fools should generally take the opinion of Wall Street with a grain of salt, it's not a bad idea to take a closer look at particularly stock-shaking upgrades and downgrades -- just in case their reasoning behind the call makes sense.

What: Shares of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) rallied 3% today after Morgan Stanley upgraded the video-streaming service giant to overweight.

So what: Along with the upgrade, analyst Benjamin Swinburne planted a price target of $500 on the stock, representing about 16% worth of upside to yesterday's close. So while contrarian traders might be turned off by Netflix's price strength over the past month, Swinburne's call could reflect a sense on Wall Street that its long-term growth prospects give the stock plenty of room to run.

Now what: According to Morgan, Netflix's risk/reward trade-off is rather attractive at this point. "By 2020, we see the int'l broadband TAM increasing to ~280mm HHs, with NFLX's penetration doubling to ~20%," said Swinburne. "While this outlook may appear bullish, we believe it is achievable particularly given success in Canada, the UK and the Nordic regions. Further, the ubiquity of broadband, proliferation of connected devices, and arbitrage opportunity of serialized programming should allow NFLX to scale int'l and drive long-term margins." Of course, with Netflix shares still up about 115% from their 52-week lows and trading at a 60-plus forward P/E, I'd wait for a pullback before buying too heavily into that bullishness. 

Your cable company is scared, but you can get rich
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Brian Pacampara has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool owns shares of Netflix. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

4 in 5 Americans Are Ignoring Buffett's Warning

Don't be one of them.

Jun 12, 2015 at 5:01PM

Admitting fear is difficult.

So you can imagine how shocked I was to find out Warren Buffett recently told a select number of investors about the cutting-edge technology that's keeping him awake at night.

This past May, The Motley Fool sent 8 of its best stock analysts to Omaha, Nebraska to attend the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting. CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger fielded questions for nearly 6 hours.
The catch was: Attendees weren't allowed to record any of it. No audio. No video. 

Our team of analysts wrote down every single word Buffett and Munger uttered. Over 16,000 words. But only two words stood out to me as I read the detailed transcript of the event: "Real threat."

That's how Buffett responded when asked about this emerging market that is already expected to be worth more than $2 trillion in the U.S. alone. Google has already put some of its best engineers behind the technology powering this trend. 

The amazing thing is, while Buffett may be nervous, the rest of us can invest in this new industry BEFORE the old money realizes what hit them.

KPMG advises we're "on the cusp of revolutionary change" coming much "sooner than you think."

Even one legendary MIT professor had to recant his position that the technology was "beyond the capability of computer science." (He recently confessed to The Wall Street Journal that he's now a believer and amazed "how quickly this technology caught on.")

Yet according to one J.D. Power and Associates survey, only 1 in 5 Americans are even interested in this technology, much less ready to invest in it. Needless to say, you haven't missed your window of opportunity. 

Think about how many amazing technologies you've watched soar to new heights while you kick yourself thinking, "I knew about that technology before everyone was talking about it, but I just sat on my hands." 

Don't let that happen again. This time, it should be your family telling you, "I can't believe you knew about and invested in that technology so early on."

That's why I hope you take just a few minutes to access the exclusive research our team of analysts has put together on this industry and the one stock positioned to capitalize on this major shift.

Click here to learn about this incredible technology before Buffett stops being scared and starts buying!

David Hanson owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway and American Express. The Motley Fool recommends and owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway, Google, and Coca-Cola.We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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