Is Sigma Designs Wearing Thin?

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Well, at least it didn't screw up twice.

That is, sad to say, about the only nice thing I can say about Sigma Designs' (Nasdaq: SIGM) third-quarter earnings report, released Tuesday. As you may recall, SD had already prepared us for a grim report last month when it issued a sales warning, advising that it would "miss" previous guidance by about 20% as its sales fell 30% year over year. In fact, as we learned Tuesday, sales fell "only" 29% -- to $46.8 million, as opposed to the $46.5 million previously expected.

Thanks heavens for small blessings
Frightfully small, in light of the rest of the news. Gross margin eroded by nearly 700 basis points, and operating margins simply fell off a cliff, dropping from just under 34% to a mere 7.7% margin. For context, that's comparable to the kinds of margins that rivals Broadcom (Nasdaq: BRCM) and ST Micro (NYSE: STM) post, as opposed to the Texas Instruments-sized (NYSE: TXN) margins SD used to be pulling down.

Result: Earnings plunged more than 80% to land at $0.14 for the quarter.

What's management got to say for itself?
Management recited its usual litany of promises on how it will pull out of this slump, boasting of its leading position in Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT) Mediaroom, the integration of it chips into Sony (NYSE: SNE) Blu-ray players, and more generally, how it is "executing a number of strategic growth initiatives designed to result in additional future revenue streams" from cable-based IPTV, home networking market, and HDTV. Those unfulfilled promises, however, are wearing thin.

Meanwhile, the buy thesis for this stock continues to rest not on its ability to grow like a weed, but rather on the simple fact that it's got a fat bank account and a cheap stock price (roughly $7.30 per diluted share in cash and short-term and long-term marketable securities, for a $9 stock).

Foolish takeaway
Unless and until SD masters the concept of "underpromise, overdeliver" (and not the other way around), this stock remains in the incongruous and unenviable position of being an extreme value play, somehow occupying a slot in the Motley Fool Rule Breakers portfolio.

Personally, I cannot fathom why Sigma Designs still occupies a place in our pantheon of hypergrowth stocks ... but at the same time, I can't  imagine it being sold at this deep a value.

Cue Clash, and sing: Will it stay or will it go (now)? Take a free trial of Motley Fool Rule Breakers and learn whether our growth stock team still thinks SD can turn things around.

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Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of any company named above. Sigma Designs is also a Motley Fool Hidden Gems Pay Dirt selection. Microsoft is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 05, 2008, at 2:36 PM, judithjo wrote:

    FINALLY, someone at Motley Fool (Rich Smith) has the guts to stand up and tell us what a loser Sigma Designs really is. Looking at my huge loss in it, I'm none too pleased with it's management's misleading statements of the past. And the Caps Community is still giving it a 5-star rating? I've lost my confidence in these 5-star ratings, too. Fools give it a 5-star rating when it looks good, but when the stock stumbles and starts to look bad, they fail to revise the stars downward like a responsible Caps Fool should do. And why didn't the writers of the Fool Breakers newsletter tell us to dump this loser long before it got so low? I'm going back to the old-time common sense a broker once shared with me: If you buy a stock and it falls 15%, sell it and find something better! Wish I had done this with Sigma.

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