3 Reasons to Sell LDK Solar Today

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A shell-shocked economy, spiraling debt at financial institutions, or just plain bad management -- on any given day, investors can name a number of reasons to sell a stock. Yet while panic never helps investors, it's still a good idea to play devil's advocate with investments from time to time.

In Motley Fool CAPS, more than 135,000 members have weighed in on nearly 5,300 stocks, sharing bullish and bearish opinions alike.

Consider solar wafer maker LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK). The stock has had a big run in the past three months, but in Motley Fool CAPS, a significant number of the 1,371 members weighing in on the company still offer reasons to be bearish. I've already plucked out some of the common bullish rationale backing LDK Solar today, so here are three counterpoints, courtesy of CAPS.

1. Damaged credit markets: Lack of credit is still putting pressure on the solar industry, and the effects are being felt by suppliers like Energy Conversion Devices (Nasdaq: ENER) and GT Solar, and even wafer makers like LDK. Analysts and investors alike are skeptical that any solar company's performance will improve until the financial environment improves significantly.

2. Continued writedowns: Inventory charges plagued LDK and other solar players like Trina Solar (NYSE: TSL), JA Solar (Nasdaq: JASO), and Suntech Power (NYSE: STP) in the fourth quarter. LDK kept with the trend with another writedown in the first quarter, and capped it off with a loss of $22.5 million in the quarter compared to earnings of $49.8 million last year. Given the grim financials, some investors are finding it tough to be optimistic.

3. Bad outlook: To add to the dismal first-quarter solar earnings reports, some investors still see a challenging future despite some signs of hope. While Solarfun Power (Nasdaq: SOLF) may have called a bottom in solar, LDK, Suntech, and ReneSola (NYSE: SOL) all recently gave gloomy outlooks for the months ahead. ReneSola cut its revenue forecast for the year and LDK sees continuing weak margins, at least in the near term.

Of course, LDK Solar has survived despite dozens of obstacles in the past. But CAPS is such a great resource to determine whether the company will ultimately shine.

To see what the very best CAPS members are saying now about LDK Solar, just click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look.

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Fool contributor Dave Mock has sunk to new lows with his recent whoopee cushion antics. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. Suntech Power Holdings is a Rule Breakers selection. The Fool's disclosure policy has announced its plans to overhaul the disclosure policy industry, with recommendations for sweeping changes not seen since the Great Depression.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 3:22 PM, ecdfan wrote:

    Yes, Mr. Mock has sunk to new lows. Why is Mr. Mock repeating the nonsense that "lack of credit is still putting pressure on the solar industry and the effects are being felt by suppliers like Energy Conversion Devices?" Yes, that's the story ECD's management wants him to believe. The truth is that lack of credit cannot be the reason for ECD's problems, as First Solar, unlike ECD, grew sales and EPS quite healthily in the March qtr (unlike ECD). The root cause of ECD's problems is their product, which is no longer competitive:

    http://ecdfan.blogspot.com/2009/05/unisolar-dilemma-not-sell...

    They have a few other problems as well (ineligibility for incentives in California starting July 1st, possible lack of safety certification, igniting products, etc, etc.). Read further at http://ecdfan.blogspot.com

  • Report this Comment On June 18, 2009, at 3:56 PM, jgmjgm wrote:

    11:56 AM: 3 Reasons to Sell LDK Solar Today

    12:26 PM: 3 Reasons to Buy LDK Solar Today

    Look For: Great Call on LDK Solar! What's Next?

  • Report this Comment On June 19, 2009, at 12:47 AM, jgmjgm wrote:

    Right, Fy4, if these analysts could make their own money in the market, they wouldn't be casting about for something to write about.

  • Report this Comment On June 20, 2009, at 2:10 PM, jgmjgm wrote:

    Unfortunately, the above comment by Fy4 was removed for being a little too honest.

  • Report this Comment On July 01, 2009, at 9:29 AM, ecdfan wrote:

    Update: Unisolar managed to keep its eligibility for incentives in California.

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