Meet Research In Downward Motion

How good is "good enough"? I guess that depends on your expectations. Today, it looks like Mr. Market set up Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) to fail miserably.

The smartphone maven reported second-quarter results that would look awesome for most companies and great even for hypergrowth businesses like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) or Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  ) . Revenue ballooned 37% year over year to $3.53 billion on 8.3 million BlackBerry handsets shipped. GAAP earnings landed at $0.83 per diluted share, not terribly far from last year's $0.86 per diluted share. And RIM's stock is down 17%.

Now, RIM is a pretty darn volatile stock for its size. Its beta stands at 2.0, meaning that the stock price swings twice as hard, on average, as the general market. Only a handful of stocks with a market cap over $30 billion can match that kind of boogie groove -- and most of those are megabanks like Bank of America (NYSE: BAC  ) or Citigroup (NYSE: C  ) , a sector whose extreme highs and (mostly) lows explain their extreme volatility.

With RIM, the high beta and massive summer gains seem more like speculation and big dreams. Some of the air was taken out of that microbubble by management's fall-season forecasts. Sales and unit volumes will keep growing, but maybe not as fast as analysts would like. Net income should stay just about where it is now, or grow just a bit. To Wall Street analysts and investors with high-flying dreams, that doesn't sound like a growth stock gearing up for a fantastic holiday shopping season.

Perhaps the plethora of BlackBerry competitors is starting to sink in, too. Management's outlook may also be an implication of  anonymous threats from Apple's iPhones, Google's (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) Android army, and Nokia's (NYSE: NOK  ) attempts to come up with a winning smartphone.

Will RIM resume its skyward climb, or does this stock have a long way left to fall? The financials are more than solid, but a two-star CAPS rating points to the latter. Which way will it go, Fools? Please leave your comments in the box below.

Google and Intuitive Surgical are Motley Fool Rule Breakers selections. Apple is a Stock Advisor recommendation. Nokia is an Inside Value recommendation.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares in Google and Intuitive Surgical, but he holds no other position in any of the companies discussed here. You can check out Anders' holdings or a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (8)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 25, 2009, at 5:02 PM, rk1905 wrote:

    As per my technical Analysis RIMM is going to hit the support $65 .....

    Look a pull back from this level for bullish entry

    -Rabi

Add your comment.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 993424, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/24/2014 6:46:09 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...


Advertisement