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4 More Suitors for Netflix

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Last week's rumor mill was cranking out visions of Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) snapping up Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX  ) .

However, all of the chatter centered on an uptick in trading activity for Netflix call options that expire next month. In other words, the speculative buzz may be that Netflix is buyout fodder, but there is little more than logic placing Amazon at the scene.

Yes, Netflix would look great on Amazon's arm. It would expand -- and validate -- Amazon's digital video strategy. It's also a market that Amazon once targeted, eventually settling for a halfhearted DVD rental service in the United Kingdom.

Netflix also trades at a substantially lower earnings multiple than Amazon, making the deal accretive to Amazon.com -- even if it has to fork over a healthy premium.

Look a little deeper, though, and Netflix would look great on the arm of many other companies.

  • Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) . Netflix CEO Reed Hastings sits on Microsoft's board. Less than three months after Netflix began offering online streaming through Microsoft Xbox consoles, more than a million Xbox Live subscribers had activated the application. Despite video-streaming Zunes, disc-fueled Xbox systems, and digital delivery through Xbox Live, Microsoft hasn't made much of a dent in the filmed entertainment market. This would make a huge difference.
  • Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) . For a company that rarely fails, Apple has been a video laggard. Music and apps are hotter iTunes items than digital video. Apple TV is a rare miss. Netflix would shore up its weakness, playing right into the inevitable video subscription offerings of Apple's equally inevitable tablet computing device.
  • Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) . The world's leading search engine already owns the ultimate video-sharing site in YouTube. It's just beefing up its efforts to monetize the videos, but it's the same online advertising that accounts for roughly 99% of Google's revenue base. A subscription-based platform would help diversify Google's revenue stream, while providing Netflix with a foot in the door to take its streaming product overseas (if it snags Hollywood's blessing).
  • Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA  ) . The country's largest cable subscriber is another obvious suitor, even if it's in the process of an even meatier content acquisition. Owning a majority stake in Universal Studios would make this a conflict of interest, but Netflix would be a cool consolation prize if regulators block the NBC Universal transaction. With Netflix, Comcast's TV Everywhere and video on demand initiatives would be taken to a higher level.

Then again, Netflix doesn't have to cash out at all. It's profitable, growing, and a market darling. My point is simply that Amazon.com isn't the only suitor that makes sense. Like a hot fashion accessory, Netflix is something that many of cash-rich blue chips would love to be wearing these days.

Take the Motley Poll

Who do you think is the best suitor for Netflix? (If you don't like these five, nominate a sixth option in the comment box below.)

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a Netflix shareholder -- and subscriber -- since 2002. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 28, 2009, at 11:27 AM, yankeegil wrote:

    Why don't you comment on the millions of dollars

    worth of stock that the CEO Hastings and other

    officers have been unloading while this continuous

    pumping is going on.

    Dont you consider the CEO selling out a reportable

    event?

  • Report this Comment On December 28, 2009, at 1:36 PM, plange01 wrote:

    netflix is a future blockbuster..

  • Report this Comment On December 28, 2009, at 4:44 PM, wuff3t wrote:

    yankeegil = the SEC considers the CEO selling a reportable event, and anyone who wants to can find the information in their SEC filings. It's hardly a secret.

  • Report this Comment On December 29, 2009, at 9:06 AM, jb757 wrote:

    From Yahoo, Hastings seems to average 1/2 million to 1 llion dollars a month in shares sold this year. But he also execises options and buys certain amounts. His total buys are not listed. NFLX is a volatile stock and the perfect trading stock since its been exceeding earnings expectations for many quarters and the recession did not affect it. You would have to expect the directors who own 17% of the company to participate in trading as the stock moves up and down while the company's revenue growth continues upward.

  • Report this Comment On January 02, 2010, at 2:15 PM, mrbale wrote:

    I'd like to nominate a sixth option, which never gets much mention in these debates.

    AT&T - the company has been building out it's U-Verse TV digital service but doesn't yet have scale and hasn't had as much traction as Verizon FIOS.

    Bundling the Netflix Instant Watch service with it's broadband service is complementary

    The wireless companies are increasingly seeing video as a very important "fourth-prong" in their strategy to be competitive with cable and AT&T is no exception (the ability to do a quad-play bundle).

    The company would also gain the potential for an exclusive mobile video option for the iPhone or other major smartphones. I.e. Netflix over mobile.

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