Track the companies that matter to you. It's FREE! Click one of these fan favorites to get started: Apple; Google; Ford.



Madden Strolls Uphill

Shares of Steve Madden (Nasdaq: SHOO  ) have almost tripled in less than two years to a recent $28.31. But after a tepid outlook for the coming year, they're now trading at almost 40% below highs reached last fall, and a number of value-minded Fools have started circling around the footwear retailer and designer.

In similar fashion to rivals Skechers (NYSE: SKX  ) and Deckers Outdoor (Nasdaq: DECK  ) , known mostly for its popular UGG boots, Madden is seeing popularity with a number of its shoes, including Steve Madden Women's and Steven brands. Madden is also seeing strong results from company-owned retail stores, as well as its wholesale business, which sells footwear to department stores.

Madden posted strong 2006 full-year results last Thursday, as total sales grew 26% and diluted earnings per share improved 32%. The company also ended the year with no debt, repurchased close to $30 million in stock, and issued a one-time dividend of $1 per share. Unfortunately, 2006 will be hard to beat, as management sees only a 3%-5% sales advancement and flat to slightly down earnings growth on a year-over-year basis.

That probably explains the recent weak stock performance and isn't the first time Madden has tempered its 2007 outlook, but based on next year's projections, the stock now trades at under 14 times earnings. That's pretty reasonable in absolute terms and also compares favorably to Skechers and Deckers that are trading closer to 18 times forward earnings. Other peers trade even higher; fad-friendly Crocs (Nasdaq: CROX  ) is at 20 times earnings, while struggling Timberland (NYSE: TBL  ) trades at a similar level.

A firm's price to earnings ratio is only one of many investment characteristics to mull over when deciding to buy or sell a security, but Madden's case highlights what the market is thinking about its prospects and how it compares to the competition. The stock may not move much, as 2007 is expected to be a mediocre year from an earnings perspective, but Madden has put together a solid track record of keeping its brands at the fashion forefront, and the current price may not be adequately reflecting this feat.

For related Foolishness:

Deckers is a former Motley Fool Hidden Gems selection. To see why the newsletter decided to sell, take a free 30-day trial to the service today.

Fool contributor Ryan Fuhrmann has no financial interest in any company mentioned. Feel free to email him with feedback or to discuss any companies mentioned further. The Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy.

Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (12)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 523125, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/28/2016 2:14:47 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated Moments ago Sponsored by:
DOW 18,105.20 -64.48 -0.35%
S&P 500 2,122.43 -10.61 -0.50%
NASD 5,186.69 -29.28 -0.56%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

10/28/2016 1:59 PM
SHOO $33.66 Up +1.09 +3.35%
Steven Madden CAPS Rating: **
CROX $7.88 Up +0.20 +2.60%
Crocs CAPS Rating: **
DECK $54.55 Up +3.79 +7.47%
Deckers Outdoor CAPS Rating: ****
SKX $20.73 Up +0.40 +1.97%
Skechers CAPS Rating: *****
TBL.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
The Timberland Co. CAPS Rating: ***