The Next Million-Dollar Penny Stock

Penny stocks can make you rich. Need proof? Every one of these multibaggers was once a penny stock:

Company

Recent Price

CAPS Stars
(out of 5)

5-Year Return

Ebix (Nasdaq: EBIX  )

$65.75

****

1,361%

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY  )

$12.10

****

338%

PetMed Express (Nasdaq: PETS  )

$16.14

****

239%

Medifast (NYSE: MED  )

$23.37

**

515%

Advanced Battery Technologies (Nasdaq: ABAT  )

$3.80

**

245%

Sources: Motley Fool CAPS, Yahoo! Finance.

The promise of outrageous returns has periodically made even the world's best stock pickers penny stock investors. Peter Lynch has enjoyed the stock market's super-cheap seats in the past, and still does on occasion. The Royce Low-Priced Stock fund has beaten the market for a decade by betting on stocks trading near or below $10 a share, including Monster Worldwide (NYSE: MWW  ) .

Even the All-Stars in our 140,000-plus Motley Fool CAPS community take to penny stocks. More than a few have been richly rewarded.

Pennies from heaven
So why not invest in penny stocks? Well, the warning the SEC issued about them provides one excellent reason to steer clear. But what if we take the agency's definition literally, and limit our choices to stocks trading between $1.50 and $5 a share? And what if we further seek only four- and five-star stocks with a market cap between $250 million and $2 billion? Surely our CAPS screener would return some winners, right?

This week when I ran that screen, 61 stocks made the cut -- not including our last topper, FelCor Lodging Trust.

My favorite penny stock this week is Smith & Wesson Holding (Nasdaq: SWHC  ) , one of the country's oldest and best-known gun manufacturers. The details:

Metric

Smith & Wesson Holding

CAPS stars (out of 5)

****

Total ratings

740

Percent bulls

94%

Percent bears

6%

Bullish pitches

167 out of 176

CAPS investors like Smith & Wesson more today than they have in months. Over the past few weeks, a rush of newly bullish ratings by some of the community's best investors boosted the stock's overall rating from three to four stars, a nice upgrade.

Industry data supports the bullish case. Gun sales have risen by double digits in all but one month (July) over most of the past year, according to data from the National Shooting Sports Foundation. 

For Smith & Wesson, the rush to buy guns has led to big sales and earnings gains. Revenue improved 30% in the fiscal first quarter, ended in July. Per-share earnings more than quadrupled over the same period.

Interestingly, Mr. Market doesn't appear to believe those gains are sustainable. According to data from Capital IQ, Smith & Wesson trades for less than 10 times the current fiscal year's earnings. That would be fine for a slow-growth company, but the average analyst projection is for 84% earnings growth during fiscal 2010 and close to 13% annually in each of the next five years.

That's too cheap; I'm going long this stock in my CAPS portfolio.

Do you agree? Would you buy Smith & Wesson Holding at today's prices? Let us know by signing up for CAPS today. It's 100% free to participate. Or feel free to leave comments in the space below.

Each month, our Motley Fool Hidden Gems service spotlights promising micro-cap opportunities in a segment called Tiny Gems. Try this market-beating service risk-free for 30 days to find out what our penny stock sleuths are following now.

Fool contributor Tim Beyers didn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article at the time of publication. Check out Tim's portfolio holdings and Foolish writings, or connect with him on Twitter as @milehighfool. The Motley Fool is also on Twitter as @TheMotleyFool. Ebix is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation and the Fool owns shares of it. The Fool's disclosure policy was small and cuddly. Once.


Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (13)

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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 29, 2009, at 2:10 AM, wrkdiver wrote:

    Smith and Wesson have been selling made in China knives under their name for years and they are all JUNK.

    I have purchased two, and both fell apart. Others report the same thing. I don't know about their guns, but based on the knife experience, I wouldn't buy one - I have absolutely no faith in them. What a shame for a fine old American name.

    And if they cheapen their guns the market will find it out fast! So be careful.

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