What's Next on Warren Buffett's Buy List?

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It has been shown that investors who simply copied Warren Buffett's investments would have earned an average 24.6% annually for 30 years through 2006. Unbelievably, this return was achievable even after Buffett had disclosed them in regulatory filings.

With the recent announcement that the Oracle of Omaha would buy Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI  ) at a price of $100 per share -- a 30% premium to the stock's prior day close -- investors would have been well-served by following Buffett into the railroad when he first began purchasing it in 2007.

So where else might investors profit from public knowledge of Buffett's dealings? The superinvestor (and financier George Soros) recently disclosed substantially increased position in Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT  ) , which I discussed here. Buffett has long prized the "can't lose" business known for its rabid focus on cost.

But what else is on Buffett's menu (besides hamburgers and cherry Coke)?

Earlier this year he picked up shares in Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC  ) , which he called an "all-in" bet when it was trading at roughly $9 per share. Recently, Buffett has also initiated new stakes in ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) , Republic Services (NYSE: RSG  ) , a solid waste disposer, and Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX  ) .

Buffett also recently upped his stakes in Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ  ) .

So which company do you think Warren Buffett will be investing in next and why? Leave your comment below in fewer than 250 words for a chance to win a one-year digital subscription to Motley Fool Inside Value (a $199 retail value). Our editorial team will select the best comment.

This contest will be open until 8:00 p.m. EST on Dec. 17, and you can view the rest of the contest rules here.

If you'd like the chance for a free annual subscription to Motley Fool Inside Value, simply leave a comment below with your prediction for Buffett's next purchase.

Fool contributor Jim Royal owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Wal-Mart Stores is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Johnson & Johnson and Republic Services are Motley Fool Income Investor picks. The Fool's disclosure policy beat Buffett to the punch, and is now suffering the after-effects.


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  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:08 AM, ocsurf wrote:

    I've always felt good about Wal-Mart and Johnson & Johnson. I shop at Wal-Mart all the time and I use a ton of JNJ products. I'm long on both.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:13 AM, tcvdavid wrote:

    How about Kraft? He already owns 10% of the company and if they drop their (pardon the pun) "Foolish" bid for Cadbury, I could see him buying more of that company. And who knows, perhaps he's taking advantage of the depressed stock price and buying more as we speak! The company has a great franchise and generates a lot of cash...I could see this in his stable of companies.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:35 AM, WizardofMe wrote:

    I believe that Mr. Buffett's next purchase should be in Paychex. With the domestic job market as troubled as it is, Paychex is undervalued. Historically, small businesses lead the way out of a recession, and Paychex LOVES small businesses. With a nice dividend and tons of upside when the job market recovers, Paychex is a great way for Mr. Buffett to invest in small businesses once again.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:42 AM, britographer wrote:

    I think he will increase holdings in oil and natural gas... probably some in Exxon Mobil but also in an as yet undisclosed company, like XTO.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:51 AM, Vy6019 wrote:

    if exxon mobil planning to purchase XTO, the shares on XTO will jump. any idea if this does happen and when?

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:51 AM, SoccrRef wrote:

    J&J would be an excellent choice for continued investment. Strong cash flow, excellent brands, and diversified businesses help provide protection in this business environment with only small chances of loss of capital.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:54 AM, rustyfdh wrote:

    If Warren Buffett is a distance relative to the president of the united states, then bring him into the white house for a round table discussion on how to set this nation back on her feet.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:55 AM, daver4470 wrote:

    I would not be surprised if Buffett explores a deal with AIG to purchase their 21st Century Insurance subsidiary. 21st Century is basically a smaller version of GEICO at this point -- a heavily-online-based discount auto insurer -- with a substantial presence in California. Adding it to the stable (and presumably folding it into GEICO itself) would strengthen GEICO's market position as a leader in brokerless, self-serve auto insurance, especially in the car-rich Southern California region. The main concerns would be the usual regulatory issues, and figuring out how 21st Century's policies would be underwritten.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:59 AM, joe951 wrote:

    i would second buffet buying more kraft soon.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:10 AM, eansor wrote:

    Maybe he should buy Allied Irish Banks (AIB). He could then shut them down and put us all out of our misery.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:19 AM, macpicks wrote:

    I vote for more manufacturing. After his recent acquisitions of ISCAR and some of the Pritzker companies, I think Buffet is likely interested in this still-beaten-down sector of the American, and indeed international, economy. Perhaps a greater holding in POSCO or a services company like Nalco. Or Boeing, if their share price continues to erode on 787 delays.

    What won't he be buying? Gold. :)

    http://www.fool.com/investing/dividends-income/2009/12/07/th...

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:22 AM, golfer121501 wrote:

    I think Buffet would buy CPB - Campbells Soup. Its on the low end of a company big enough for him to buy into, which means better growth prospects than some of his other investments. It pays a healthy 3.2% dividend. Is a very well known name in the market and is a market leader. Healthy margins and insane ROE of over 76%. This company also still has 45% insider ownership, so you know the owners are still on board.

    Doesn't it just sound like something Buffet would buy? This is the "I know that company but wouldn't think to buy them until Buffet did" play.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:34 AM, golfer121501 wrote:

    I think Buffet will next buy CPB - Campbells Soup.

    This is a stock with a market cap currently at $11B which is on the low end of what he is allowed to buy. This company still has plenty of room to grow.

    This company has a great name, is very well known, and is an industry leader. It doles out a solid 3.2% dividend and has consistently paid a dividend since 1985. The ROE is over 76% and the margins are healthy. Can't you just hear the announcement: "Buffet buys Campbell's Soup" and everyone says: "I know Campbells, why didn't I think of that?"

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:47 AM, DivMonk wrote:

    I think a likely investment for Buffet would be for him to increase his position in Becton Dickinson. Only a small fraction of his portfolio is invested in the there, yet it's an unbelievably solid company.

    If you look at their last four years of cash flow here at caps, you'll see their rapid and consistent growth. It's an easy-to-understand business that is growing dividends, has a reasonable valuation, and has its hand in the healthcare industry without the risk of relying on blockbuster medicines. It sells all sorts of medical and research supplies globally and has a stable balance sheet.

    Buffet is bullish on Johnson and Johnson, which is safer and more insulated than its pure pharmaceutical peers. If he's bullish on this industry, then Becton Dickinson is another insulated company for him to invest in.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:48 AM, DivMonk wrote:

    I think a likely investment for Buffet would be for him to increase his position in Becton Dickinson. Only a small fraction of his portfolio is invested in the there, yet it's an unbelievably solid company.

    If you look at their last four years of cash flow here at caps, you'll see their rapid and consistent growth. It's an easy-to-understand business that is growing dividends, has a reasonable valuation, and has its hand in the healthcare industry without the risk of relying on blockbuster medicines. It sells all sorts of medical and research supplies globally and has a stable balance sheet.

    Buffet is bullish on Johnson and Johnson, which is safer and more insulated than its pure pharmaceutical peers. If he's bullish on this industry, then Becton Dickinson is another insulated company for him to invest in.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:56 AM, daveefreedom wrote:

    A natural pick after stating he was investing in America with the railroad,I believe Ford would be a great stock for Mr. Buffet and Fools. Undervalued and under great management and a great plan with electric cars in the future.Also a great presence overseas. Third Quarter profit shows Ford is on the right path. Thanks to Stock Advisor for letting us know that the time to buy Ford is now!

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 12:43 PM, lollard wrote:

    I think Buffett will buy whatever looks to be both of outstanding quality and cheap (for me, this rules out Paychex, which is a great business priced like a great business). This may well mean the wholesale acquisition of small companies trading at very low multiples to their normal earnings, especially where founding management can be persuaded to stay on, rather than big common stock investments, even in such indisputably well-run cash generators as Kraft.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 1:19 PM, rmihai wrote:

    1. CRDN CERADYNE

    2. ECA ENCANA

    3. TDW TIDEWATER

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 1:59 PM, xtraindriver wrote:

    You buy Railroads, railroads haul coal, Cloud Peak coal is handled by BNSF, Cloud Peak is undervalued so he must buy Clean burning coal;

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 2:48 PM, TurksFan wrote:

    Comcast, so he can have an interest in NBC/Universal and CNBC. He makes Becky Quick the head of CNBC and has a telephone line installed so he can reach her at any moment.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 4:44 PM, TMFTypeoh wrote:

    NPK - National Presto!

    Why?

    3 Great plays in the world:

    1) Cookwear - People in this economy lose their jobs, feel poorer and cut back. So what do they buy? Cookwear!

    2) Bullets: Ummmm.....30,000 troops in Afghanistan anyone?

    3) Adult diapers: Fun play on the aging population in america.

    All of this, plus NO DEBT, a 5% trailing dividend yield, 3 yr earnings growth of 13%, and a 11 forward P/E.

    Move over BNI, Buffetts going to have a new favorite!

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 5:32 PM, robertvince wrote:

    He should throw a little 'play money' at Aethlon Medical (AEMD). They developed the hemopurifier that selectively removes viruses from blood just by running the blood thru it. Currently testing in India, could have implications in many diseases such as HIV, various forms of the Flu and broad-spectrum treatment countermeasure against bioterror and emerging pandemic threats in the United States.

    Their first target appears to be Hepatitis-C, and they've proven that it could reduce the viral load over 90% in just a few treatments. The device could be added to any dialysis machine to aid in the treatment of many ailments. Currently at about .30 a share, they've just appointed some top talent to their team, including Dr. Schorey who was a recipient of a Bill & Melinda Gates grant to study exosomes as a potential TB vaccine.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 6:08 PM, Gherbcpa wrote:

    An all electric vehicle

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 6:20 PM, catoismymotor wrote:

    RICK is full of ladies to distract him from his bridge game. So don't count it out.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 6:27 PM, blesto wrote:

    Mr. Buffet could buy some municiple bond insurer like, but not necessarily, AGO to merge into the rest of Berkshire's insurance operations.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 6:50 PM, richie54 wrote:

    A big retirement home on a private island. Time goes by.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 8:09 PM, JDLove wrote:

    I, like a few other Fools, think that The Buffet will increase his exposure to Natural Gas and make a move for Cheasapeake Energy. A bargin in the low 30's.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 8:39 PM, xetn wrote:

    China (all of it).

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 8:41 PM, xetn wrote:

    China (all of it).

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 9:33 PM, alharper wrote:

    i vote for GE.. Already has a loan to them that is paying him a solid 10 percent. With their recent acquisition in solar and that co's deal included a large project in British Columbia Canada. also with our own govt want the alternate energy of wind and solar to be advanced. where else are they going to get the expert advice and equipment to tie into the electric system. GE is already the supplier of generators to convert solar and wind into the electric system.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 9:35 PM, jerryguru69 wrote:
  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 9:41 PM, Fool wrote:

    As someone who predicted he would focus on his railroad holdings in my book, I will stick to my guns. His next takeover target will be a utility

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:33 PM, TheLudicFallacy wrote:

    BIP, adds a steady cash flow, growth, tollbooth type company with a hefty dividend upwards of 7.5%. Easy to understand business (From Warrens point of view, low tech), and adds a global reach to the company.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:33 PM, TheLudicFallacy wrote:

    BIP, adds a steady cash flow, growth, tollbooth type company with a hefty dividend upwards of 7.5%. Easy to understand business (From Warrens point of view, low tech), and adds a global reach to the company.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 10:58 PM, timomimo wrote:

    If you want a hedge on the ever weakening dollar, real estate is an excellent choice. One of his next big purchases will be CNI. I think that he will continue to amass real estate containing scarce natural resources. Perhaps even pick up Burlington Resources,

    a spin off from BNI.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:27 PM, showme wrote:

    If I knew what Warren Buffett was going to buy next I wouldn't be entering a stupid contest.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:29 PM, PigletOctopi wrote:

    Santa's Workshop...cause it is Christmas.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2009, at 11:40 PM, jmbartosiewicz wrote:

    something in eco-friendly, soon in the future this will be overpowering

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:05 AM, BFH300a wrote:

    Disney of course, with all the superheroes they're gonna have the FORCE will be unstoppable!!!!

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:07 AM, BFH300a wrote:

    Disney, with all the superheroes they're gonna have, they should be unstoppable!!!!

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:32 AM, Fool wrote:

    I don't know what he will go for next, but i would wager a guess that it'll be in the pharma sector. I'll say BMY just to throw something out there.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:34 AM, Fool wrote:

    I'll wager a guess and say either JNJ or BMY.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:42 AM, OGBroker wrote:

    Just realized that I hadn't set up my fool account, that was my post about BMY at 12:32 am. =)

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 1:57 AM, dollarpuppy wrote:

    GE is likely, especially if a GE Capital hiccup presents another buying opportunity.

    CNI is a good bet, since Buffett likes railroads, and it might be a new way to play oil after COP and PTR.

    WFC or USB will probably also have some good entry points in 2010.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 6:19 AM, foolasia wrote:

    My pick is Nestle, the world's largest food and beverage co. It's a strong global franchise, with a substantial range of products -baby foods, pet foods, coffee, etc - that have dominant market share and strong pricing power and limited private label competition. It also has significant stakes in leading cosmetics firm L'Oreal and leading eye care co, Alcon. It is not leveraged and offers predictable free cash flow. 40% of revenue comes from emerging markets. This is a great company at a below fair price that would serve Buffett well as it is also positioned to profit from growth in emerging markets as well as hedge against a weak dollar and inflationary environment.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 6:37 AM, cobwebstocks wrote:

    BIP is the pick for me. Diverse & easy to understand holdings. Trading at about 1/2 book value.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 9:30 AM, unswift wrote:

    Dear Mr Buffet ...you should come to Ontario Canada and buy a few things....our brilliant provincial government wants to sell the LCBO....ALL alcohol is sold through the Liquor Control Board of Ontario moo....cash cow that is.....another moo for the OLG ...Ont. Lottery and Gaming...oh ya ...may as well throw in Hydro One as a topper....Please Mr Buffet buy them all !!!...I have shares in Berkshire...I want to be secure..and of course expect maybe a little finders fee for these great acquisitions that are recomended here....also there maybe a little house cleaning needed here and there....and then it's Cash For Life.....Love Jim

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 10:07 AM, unswift wrote:

    Where is my comment ?

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 10:39 AM, jamh6 wrote:

    I think Buffett should take a large position in Ford (F). Ford is a great American company that is becoming profitable once again. The Ford family is still in control of the company which is a rarity these days.

    Ford’s new products are being well received here in the US and abroad. They have new fuel –efficient vehicles that can compete with any auto maker. In addition, they turned down the TARP bailout money that both GM and Chrysler received.

    Ford’s major issue is debt, $26.9 billion at recent count. But management is focused on reducing debt and projecting to be profitable in 2011.

    Buffett should invest in this great American company and profit from the rebound.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 11:25 AM, SweetMircha wrote:

    What's Warren Buffet buying next?

    COAL stocks and Coal itself to haul around in his Railroad Cars.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:02 PM, caltex1nomad wrote:

    He needs a Town to go with his CHOO, CHOO, Train Set.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:02 PM, Travelin2 wrote:

    What about Hershey, another great American company, profitable, with a strong dividend and an affordable product loved by all.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:13 PM, astewboy2 wrote:

    I see Buffet going with an infrastructure company like Caterpillar to capitalize on the infrastructure building that is going on outside of the US at the moment, plus since it seems the stimulus and business spending are going to lead the way out of the Great Recession, then CAT stands to benefit there as well.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 12:24 PM, JasondinAlt1 wrote:

    Harley-Davidson (HOG). Great management, wide moat, iconic product and trademark (people tattoo it on their bodies!). Stock is where it was 10 years ago. Recently started selling bikes in India and China.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 4:22 PM, Fool wrote:

    i can't even comment without crashing...oc24seven@yahoo.com

    I don't know enuff about stocks to say what he should buy...but I do know enough to listen to what he says!!!

    Susan

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 4:35 PM, 1232152314235 wrote:

    we'll only know when its up big time and we'll say, aah who would have thought.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 6:46 PM, gskinner75006 wrote:

    I like the idea of the commitment to America with the BNSF acquisition. BNSF can move anything and everything from coast to coast over land. It might be worth a review of a combination of energy shippers (Teekay/GMR) and dry/bulk shippers (no opinion here at this time). With the commitment to Wal-Mart for consumer goods retail and the like of J&J, Kraft, Nike, etc... for finished goods production (and lots of raw material consumption), import/export might be a good fit.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 9:21 PM, rdoyle16 wrote:

    renewable energy production items, wind towers,solar panels,geo-thermal equipment,ect.

  • Report this Comment On December 16, 2009, at 10:05 PM, dividendprovider wrote:

    Warren could probably double down on any of his current holdings at any time, with Kraft, Conoco and every financial security at decade lows. Determining which company is priced right and entices him to buy ownership is the key. Unfortunately, it's tough to pick any Dow Components, being that his portfolio is already comprised of 11 of the 30... and many of the still very reasonably priced companies out there are too similar to his current holdings...

    Pepsi or Dr Pepper Snapple... too close to Coca Cola

    Clorox or Energizer... close to Procter & Gamble

    Visa... too close to American Express

    Waste Management... too similar to Republic Services

    The business model for McDonald's or Heinz couldn't be any simpler to understand.

    Case for McDonald's (MCD):

    More than 3/4 of Americans live within 3 miles of a McDonald's, 2/3 revenue resulting from international sales in over 100 countries. McDonald's poses a large unpenetratable moat with impecable management and a sustainable growing dividend. It's market cap is reasonable at only 66b in comparison to other fortune 108 companies. If in 100 years our children won't be asking for a happy meal, I'd be shocked.

    Case for Heinz (HNZ):

    Not only are you buying arguably one of the most recognizable brands, you're getting top management for a product that sells itself. 40% sales come from outside the US, company is simple to understand, you can count on Heinz ketchup being used on our french fries and there is still room to grow sales in other products.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2009, at 12:02 AM, Montereyjackson wrote:

    Exelon (EXC)

    WB knows utility industry well

    Exelon has a higher net margin than most utilities, and is a low-cost provider in most commodity-price environments.

    Partner Charlie Munger touts nuclear a key "bridge" to future reliance on sun power.

    Geography matters to WB. Illinois is a great ag and ag industry state, a transport hub.

    Battery-powered autos run on carbon-free nuclear energy is the sort of futuristic bet WB enjoys as long as he is making it for free. EXC's low PE on both TTM and historical earnings offers him that.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2009, at 3:50 AM, StockTradingFool wrote:

    Sysco (SYY) is the global leader in selling, marketing and distributing food products to restaurants, hotels, schools/colleges, healthcare facilities, and other foodservice outlets. It has a great balance sheet, and has outstanding margins.

    Due to the recession, the share prices are still over 20% below they're 24 month highs. As the economy recovers, the "eat at home" trend will subside and SYY will go back to printing money.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2009, at 9:08 AM, JimBobbly wrote:

    Could Buffett take the number one spot as the worlds wealthest man!? Surely now could be his best chance as a successful recovery would make his investments from early this year look very nice indeed. But heres to money making, surely the worlds greatest hobby :)

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2009, at 11:44 AM, crazy4swayze wrote:

    i see buffet acquiring a privately held company. specifically- five guys burgers and fries. this makes sense on a business level and on a burger level.

  • Report this Comment On December 17, 2009, at 9:18 PM, BStrathe wrote:

    Western Resources (WR) A solid company in the midwest. A hedge against inflation while paying a nice dividend to patient investors like himself.

  • Report this Comment On December 18, 2009, at 2:01 PM, rubyfishman wrote:

    YUM.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2009, at 8:29 AM, XtraPicky wrote:

    Mr. Buffett could use build a position over a few quarters in Abbott Labs (NYSE:ABT). Abbott would be a good choice due to its high ROE, decades of consistent earnings growth, reliable dividend, and blockbuster drug Humira. Fear of health care reform has left Abbott as one of the few remaining under-priced stocks. Abbott's pipeline is promising and it has the cash flow to acquire growth at a bargain. Abbott's consistent growth is an inflation hedge and its international sales provide some hedge the against dollar. Abbott can also buy back its shares at value price.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2009, at 10:55 AM, StockPicker500 wrote:

    AFAM, healthcare

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2009, at 12:26 PM, kevinkarr wrote:

    I don't see him taking on anything new , but increasing ownership in what he already owns. That being said I think he will increase his holdings in AMEX / US Bank Corp / Wal-Mart / Kraft.

  • Report this Comment On December 20, 2009, at 5:14 PM, bammerone wrote:

    I think he will bet on a company like U-Haul.

  • Report this Comment On December 20, 2009, at 5:53 PM, jewba09 wrote:

    I think Warren Buffett should increase his holdings in General Electric (GE)

    Why?

    -The Poliltical Climate is favorable: Democrats plan on pursuing strong environmental legislation, and this could mean large-scale governmental subsidies of "green" technologies. GE, as a top producer of wind turbines, would undoubtedly benefit from a governmental push for "green collar" jobs.

    -It shows great growth potential: GE is paying off debts and analysts give a great 5-year prospect for the company. Also, GE's investments in smaller "green" start-ups will pay off in a big way as energy prices climb (as expected) over the next 5-10 years.

  • Report this Comment On December 22, 2009, at 1:35 AM, ayaghsizian wrote:

    First Solar of course, he's been copying me for years. A great company with a realistic P/E.

  • Report this Comment On December 22, 2009, at 4:05 PM, IlluminatInvest wrote:

    I think he'll be buying Costco in bulk.

  • Report this Comment On January 02, 2010, at 10:29 AM, pmmk wrote:

    It only makes sense to follow the best of the best. I would only want to be taught by the best person I can find to teach or mentor me. The one who has been the most successful. I have bought some of Warren Buffet's stocks as well, but it truly takes patience for them to go up. I have found it difficult at times not to sell.

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