Disney's Cash Machine

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Not even Mickey Mouse is immune to this recession. But he'll make it through all right.

Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) is such a strong international performer in most economic climates that distinguished professors hold up the company as an example of risk-taking done right. But this time, we're not just looking at an American downturn -- this time, those tourists from Europe and the Far East who tend to bolster Disney's theme-park traffic when the U.S. suffers and the dollar is cheap have their own problems.

The star performer in Disney's third quarter was the media networks division. ESPN, ABC, and the Disney Channel collectively held their ground year over year, losing just 2% of their sales. The broadcasting industry is fighting online piracy, reticent advertisers, and worries that TiVo (Nasdaq: TIVO) boxes and other DVRs will kill traditional TV advertising. Nearly staying on target despite all these headwinds is an impressive show of Mouse muscle.

All told, revenue fell 7% from 2008 levels to $8.6 billion, and net income stopped at $0.51 per share -- 23% below last year's $0.66 per share. Still, that's $954 million of earnings and $881 million in free cash flow, straight into the bank. Disney remains a true cash machine, even at the worst of times.

Disney's strong brands and near-constant stream of fresh, high-quality entertainment content drives this strength. Smaller rivals like DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) and Lionsgate Films (NYSE: LGF) rise and fall with individual hits or flops. The News Corp. (Nasdaq: NWS-A) conglomerate is buckling under its own unwieldy weight, trying to figure out how to handle the tack-on businesses it's bought over the years. Disney doesn't have either of those problems.

And the upcoming slate of Disney movies inspires confidence. The Princess and the Frog looks like a real return to Disney's Brothers Grimm-style storytelling roots. The star-studded live-action remake of Alice In Wonderland at the hands of real-life Mad Hatter Tim Burton is sure to draw a crowd. And then there's the third installment of the Toy Story saga next year. 'Nuff said.

That should be enough fuel for Disney's fire to go full steam ahead next year. Disney's parks, consumer products, hotels, and nearly everything else depend on strong, fresh stories to keep the brand healthy. Imagine Marvel Entertainment (NYSE: MVL) without superheroes, or Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) without those trademark red cans and bottles. Not a pretty thought, is it? But Disney is doing all the right things to avoid such a bland, syrupy fate.

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Walt Disney, DreamWorks Animation SKG, and Marvel Entertainment are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. Coca-Cola is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares in Coca-Cola, Disney, and Marvel, but he holds no other position in any of the companies discussed here. You can check out Anders' holdings or a concise bio if you like. The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 3:16 PM, esxokm wrote:

    Anders,

    Great article, and I do see the story here. Only thing is, long-term, Disney hasn't been a great performer in terms of stock appreciation. And worse: the dividend hasn't done much.

    Disney does generate good cash flows, even in bad times. Why do you think the yield on the stock is so unattractive?

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 3:28 PM, TigerPack wrote:

    I own Disney in the real world (purchasing some shares not too long ago around $22-23).

    It will benefit from a better economic climate, and really hit its stride in 1-2 years, as the rate of inflation picks up. The company's vast real estate holdings and easy to raise selling price, media assets, should really shine coming out of the recession. Considering the diversified revenue stream and still high profit margin during a major global recession, it's not hard to imagine a world of profits and money await DIS holders as the economy improves.

    I am estimating a double in EPS the next 3 years, and at least a double in the stock price over the same span. Hey, Mickey you haven't look this good since the 1980s, in terms of stock value!

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