Recs

8

Dressed to Kill (Your Portfolio)

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Even teen retailers get the blues, if recent quarterly tidings are any judge. Urban Outfitters (Nasdaq: URBN  ) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF  ) posted earnings last week, and one of these stocks looks like a very dangerous proposition for investors.

Urban Outfitters' second-quarter net income fell 14%, to $49 million, or $0.29 per share. Total revenue increased a mere 1%, to $459 million, while same-store sales fell 6%.

It was not a tremendously impressive quarter by most measures, though any increase in a retailer's top line is no mean feat these days. While many retailers have juiced their profits by cutting costs -- witness Starbucks' (Nasdaq: SBUX  ) latest quarter -- Urban Outfitters' margins actually decreased. Since slashing costs isn't the best way to sustainably raise earnings, that may be for the best in the long run.

While Urban Outfitters' silver lining shone through the clouds, copious cost-cutting couldn't make Abercrombie & Fitch's recent quarterly results any less scary for investors. The teen-centric retailer reported a second-quarter loss of $26.7 million, or $0.30 per share. Total sales fell 23%, to $648.5 million, and same-store sales plunged a nauseating 30%.

These figures are nothing new for Abercrombie, and the ongoing ugliness of its fundamentals should give investors serious pause. The brand's overemphasis on physical perfection has left Abercrombie cruising for a bruising. Its former success now looks more like the faded fad of Crocs (Nasdaq: CROX  ) .

Urban Outfitters seems a lot more compelling than Abercrombie, although it's priced a bit steeply, currently at 26 times earnings. Retailers Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO  ) and Buckle (NYSE: BKE  ) are both sporting far cheaper multiples (14 and 11, respectively) and have been doing incredibly well operationally. And while I may have recently busted on J. Crew (NYSE: JCG  ) for being too overpriced for its own lackluster business, I would argue it's still a higher-quality, better-run retailer than Abercrombie.

Abercrombie & Fitch is one of the market's riskiest retail stocks at the moment, especially in a difficult consumer spending environment. There are plenty of cheaper (or at least better-run) retailers with more promising futures.

What do you think? Use the comment boxes below to let us know which retail stocks deserve investors' attention at the moment.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Starbucks has been recommended by both Motley Fool Stock Advisor and Inside Value. The Fool owns shares of Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Alyce Lomax owns shares of Urban Outfitters and Starbucks. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2009, at 4:52 AM, AnnaDcc wrote:

    Nice article. Marketing to teenagers is dangerous, as everything in the teenage world revolves around trends. Anything that is popular with teenagers now is almost guaranteed to be out of style in a year or two. I can remember when everyone had to have JnCo jeans and LA Gear..

    I still don't understand the Crocs thing. I guess that means that I'm officially getting old.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2009, at 5:32 PM, TMFLomax wrote:

    AnnaDcc, thanks for the comment. Agreed, teens are very fickle and retailers have to be very agile. And the "fad" element is a huge concern for investors. The numbers can be indicating something that isn't at all sustainable. (And yeah, I never got the Crocs thing either, even when it was in full swing.)

    Alyce

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 965581, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/25/2012 7:26:00 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated Moments ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
URBN $28.42 Up +0.39 +1.39%
Urban Outfitters,… CAPS Rating: **
ANF $36.23 Up +0.94 +2.66%
Abercrombie & Fitc… CAPS Rating: *
JCG.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
J. Crew Group, Inc… CAPS Rating: **
SBUX $54.56 Down -0.20 -0.37%
Starbucks CAPS Rating: ***
CROX $17.44 Up +0.35 +2.05%
Crocs, Inc. CAPS Rating: *
ARO $19.19 Up +0.17 +0.89%
Aeropostale, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
BKE $43.18 Up +0.08 +0.19%
The Buckle, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****

Advertisement