Is Cisco Systems the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Cisco Systems.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-year annual revenue growth > 15% 10.3% Fail
  1-year revenue growth > 12% 19.2% Pass
Margins Gross margin > 35% 62.6% Pass
  Net margin > 15% 17.9% Pass
Balance sheet Debt to equity < 50% 33.4% Pass
  Current ratio > 1.3 2.81 Pass
Opportunities Return on equity > 15% 17.4% Pass
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 18.18 Pass
Dividends Current yield > 2% 1.4% Fail
  5-year dividend growth > 10% NM NM
       
  Total Score   7 out of 9

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's. NM = not meaningful; Cisco just began paying a dividend. Total score = number of passes.

With seven points, Cisco demonstrates that it has had an illustrious past. But more recently, the company has had a lot of trouble keeping up with its competition, and many believe that the best days for the stock are over.

As the leading seller of network hardware, Cisco is seen as having spearheaded the building of the infrastructure of the Internet. Its long-term growth is consistent with that position, although its share price has lagged because of the extent to which it got pushed up during the tech bubble.

But lately, Cisco's strategy has started misfiring. With governments around the world looking to implement austerity measures and cut costs, Cisco's emphasis on selling to them isn't driving growth the way it used to, causing it to have problems that competitors Juniper Networks (NYSE: JNPR  ) and F5 Networks (Nasdaq: FFIV  ) aren't having.

In addition, the company hasn't kept up on the acquisition front. Even as big tech giants like Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) and IBM (NYSE: IBM  ) have sought to pick up companies to make them more competitive as cloud computing becomes more prevalent, Cisco has found itself behind the times. Competitors have even forced the company out of unrelated businesses, such as Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iPhone making Cisco's Flip camcorder moot.

Cisco certainly has the resources to recover from its steep dive lately. But it has to demonstrate that it has the will and determination to do so. If it doesn't act soon, Cisco may look a lot less perfect in the years ahead.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Click here to add Cisco Systems to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. Juniper Networks is a Motley Fool Big Short short-sale choice. Motley Fool Options has recommended a bull call spread position on Apple, which is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. The Fool has created a bull call spread position on Cisco Systems and owns shares of Apple, IBM, and Oracle. Alpha Newsletter Account LLC owns shares of Cisco Systems and has opened a short position on Juniper Networks. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 03, 2011, at 5:48 PM, BradReeseCom wrote:

    Cisco CEO John Chambers believes that Cisco is the perfect stock!

    How so?

    Well, Cisco CEO John Chambers has more of his own money invested in his $50 million private jet than he has invested in direct shareholdings of Cisco's stock.

    Obviously, that demonstrates conviction and commitment from Cisco's CEO that Cisco is the perfect stock, right?

    Sincerely,

    Brad Reese

  • Report this Comment On May 03, 2011, at 5:56 PM, Riskysam wrote:

    yes cisco is indeed the perfect stock!

    For losing your shirt slowly..

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