Did ‘Captain America: The Winter Soldier’ Just Doom ‘Guardians of the Galaxy’ To Box Office Failure?

Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy is still an unknown for many fans. Credit: Marvel Entertainment.

A talking, gun-toting raccoon? A living tree that spouts nothing but one-liners? How can the rag-team team known as the Guardians of the Galaxy be expected to perform like a Marvel movie when Captain America: The Winter Soldier has set the bar so high, earning more than $300 million worldwide for Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS  ) in the film's opening weekend?

Host Ellen Bowman puts these questions to Fool analysts Nathan Alderman and Tim Beyers in this week's episode of 1-Up On Wall Street, The Motley Fool's web show in which we talk about the big-money names behind your favorite movies, toys, video games, comics, and more.

Nathan says The Winter Soldier enjoys an "Avengers bump" that has helped it catapult past $200 million in international grosses, notable when you consider that Captain America: The First Avenger only earned $176.7 million during its entire run in overseas theaters, according to data supplied by The-Numbers.com.

Guardians of the Galaxy won't enjoy a direct tie-in to Marvel's the Avengers, Nathan says, which could hurt box office returns when the movie opens on Aug. 1. (This truism may also explain why Marvel has been so aggressive marketing the movie in other media.)

Tim says that The Winter Soldier sets a high bar not only in terms of its financial performance, but also in terms of how it shapes the Marvel Cinematic Universe. New enemies introduced on screen alter the equation for Marvel's Agents of SHIELD while unleashing new threats to the rest of the Avengers.

Taken together, these factors could bolster expectations for Guardians of the Galaxy. And yet Tim notes that there are plenty of skeptics when it comes to director James Gunn's try at introducing the more cosmic elements of the Marvel Cinematic Universe. So long as that remains true, the movie should have a shot at beating estimates and joining the studio's growing list of franchises.

Now it's your turn to weigh in using the comments box below. Have you seen Captain America: The Winter Soldier? What sort of box office performance are you expecting from Guardians of the Galaxy? Please watch the video as Ellen puts Nathan and Tim on the spot, and be sure to check back here often for more 1-Up On Wall Street segments.

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  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 11:58 AM, macanoodough wrote:

    GotG is a true Wildcard. Even as a comic, I thought it was a joke, but a lot of readers liked it. So who knows how big it can be. Certainly have to admit though, Cap America had 2 other movies setting this one up so GotG cannot expect a $100 mil opening weekend.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 12:08 PM, Aldirick wrote:

    GotG brings in the true Science Fiction of the comic book world. Most of the tech that was in comics back in the 40's, 50's and 60's have now become reality. There are still a few things that are beyond our reach right now, so telling the story of a ragtag group of aliens and a half human in space brings us back to that SciFi setting that all comics were at one time. Not saying that it will, but there was this other movie about alien races and combat and fighting for a cause called Star Wars that people thought would go no where. I will wait for it to hit the silver screen and give my opinions from there.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 12:16 PM, eroc wrote:

    Aren't you the same people and website who said Winter Soldier would flop!

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 12:17 PM, msorrentino wrote:

    GotG isn't in the same boat as Cap 2. Cap 2 was a political thriller were as GotG is more along the lines of Star Wars. Also, GotG will introduce elements that will lead to the eventual Avengers vs. Thanos confrontation and possibly have an effect with Thor as well, Thor and GotG are both in the cosmic part of the MCU.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 12:38 PM, DocArzt wrote:

    So far, Motely Fool's projections in Entertainment have been so off base and nim-witted it's just hilarious. Get out of this arena before you ruin your reputation in the financial markets. Yes you did say Winter Solider would flop, and this clueless piece of bubble gum analysis fails to come to the simple solution: Marvel has become a VERY reliable brand for movie goers. They know when they see the Marvel brand that they are guaranteed a great movie going experience. What we've seen doesn't require a market analyst's interpretation to understand: Marvel's continued dedication to quality has resulted in an accretion of devoted fans of the brand in general. In short, they've been able to do what few other brands have been able to accomplish, however it pays to remember that they are amongst Disney, which has mastered the art of brand building.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 1:06 PM, JaredM80 wrote:

    msorrentino is exactly right

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:06 PM, Ona wrote:

    I'm in trouble here. I saw the trailers and consider Gotg an uninteresting silly movie.

    But I'm kind of a nerd when it comes to the Avengers universe franchise and I saw all the movies and follow religiously AOS, so my conundrum is that Gotg has elements that will affect the movies to come, and i'm afraid that if I'm not seeing it I'll be left with holes in the story.

    I think Gotg is not a good movie but producers tied to the other ones to hook up schmucks like me.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:21 PM, antmason05 wrote:

    I personally think this looks like it will be the best Marvel movie to date!

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:27 PM, Mentallect wrote:

    GOTG previews did not look that interesting. The movie indeed was not set up well in terms of tying it in with other Marvel properties. Thor, the Dark World could have been a great cameo plug, but it wasn't.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:39 PM, InvisibleZombie wrote:

    Actually I think GotG will be this decade's "Star Wars". Imagine how silly that probably looked to some people back then, and of course the SW property was entirely unknown whereas GotG has a built-in audience, a Marvel tie-in boost IMO even if it's not direct, plus it's exudes FUN!

    I read John Carter and Green Lantern as a kid, but if a studio had asked me, I would have told them to sink their bets & money on something like this instead

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:46 PM, chastenruin wrote:

    I dont think the expectations for Guardians is the same as expectations for other movies in the Marvel Universe. Like Apple used the halo effect to sell other hardware, I think Marvel is doing the same thing with the Avengers and tie-ins with the other franchises.

    It's quite brilliant, each of these franchises and storylines appeal to different segments of the market and have great cross-over potential as well. Thor has your fantasy elements. X-Men has your sci-fi/mutant crowd covered. Cap has your patriotic action adventure crowd. Ironman is your sci-fi/technology crowd. GotG is more big tent, outer space sci-fi/western. It's the most different of the franchises launched as far as characters and location where it takes place and will be a test for how they handle other franchise launches.

    I think they are treating the Universe as a whole, as they should. And that some pieces of this whole will need some time to bake. GotG is a risk, but I think its one they've committed to investing in growing for the simple fact it is different than all the other ones and isn't ingrained in culture already like Ironman, Thor or Captain America. They need to prove to themselves that they have the ability to successfully launch and grow any of the franchises in their portfolio.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 2:55 PM, TommyVercetti wrote:

    Cap 2 starts in April. Guardians starts in August. I'm not seeing how one could significantly impact the other. I'm sure most of the people who went to see Cap 2 can scrounge together enough cash to go to the second film in the 4+ months that separate them. The economy isn't that bad yet. Go to one, wait 4+ months, try not to spend all your money in-between, and then go to the other.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 3:07 PM, Allend406 wrote:

    Tim beyers go write a batman article or somthing.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 3:28 PM, jturner1981 wrote:

    Thanos is a primary villain in the next Avengers as well as Ultron. If anyone's ever read the annihilation limited series they'll know that they are both, as well as Ronan the Accuser (who is the primary baddie in GotG, big players in that series as well as the GotG. I have a feeling the GotG will play a part in the third Avengers movie.

    Marvel cant really do any of its big "summer events" on screen because too many of the vital properties are tied up with other production companies, but other than Galactus, Surfer and probably the skrulls. their cosmic stuff is wide open. Galactus does play a big role but could be worked around.

    And just throwing it out there, but a

    Planet/World War Hulk movie would be awesome!

    have them jettison him off after the avengers sequel then do a couple planet hulk movies and have him come back for revenge in avengers 4

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 3:35 PM, monol22 wrote:

    You ARE fools, that much is certain...

    Guardians of the Galaxy had a post-credit scene connecting it directly to the THOR movie universe through the appearance of two Thor characters visiting the Collector.

    And Thanos will appear on Guardians of the Galaxy. You might recall him from AVENGERS.

    Guardians of the Galaxy will tie directly in with AVENGERS 3, so says Marvel -Disney.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 4:00 PM, shadeng wrote:

    What about Halle Berry as Storm for an African American Woman superhero?

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 4:05 PM, spinod wrote:

    Where do you get the idea it won't be connected to Avengers? Marvel openly said it does, and the post credit scene even did it.

    Guardians may play a bigger part in it than any other movie, the only one coming close seems to be Thor since Loki is directly helping with the staff.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 4:20 PM, TMFMileHigh wrote:

    @eroc,

    >>Aren't you the same people and website who said Winter Soldier would flop!

    Nope: http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/11/heres-why-c...

    Thanks for writing and Foolish best,

    Tim

    --

    TMFMileHigh in CAPS and on the boards

    @milehighfool on Twitter

    http://about.me/timbeyers

    http://timbeyers.me

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 5:21 PM, SeriouslyWoW wrote:

    >>Aren't you the same people and website who said Winter Soldier would flop!

    >>Nope: http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/11/heres-why-c...

    Actually, Tim

    YEP

    http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/12/why-captain...

    May not be your byline but then eroc didn't specifically mean you when he said "you people", which was the assertion. You could have at least noted that yes, there was an article to that effect. Being disingenuous is a little much, isn't it?

    The dueling "It's going to be GOOD!!! OMG vs It's going to be HORRIBAD!!! OMG" articles on the superhero stuff is just click bait anyhow.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 5:25 PM, dancedj2k wrote:

    Seriously, Motley Fool, GIVE IT UP!!

    Your "reviewers" are just horrible at reviews.

    You predicted doom for the Thor 2 movie. You predicted doom for Captain America 2. You have just outright HATE for Agents of shield, making dumb comments and not knowing that the premise of the show was NOT to showcase a new Marvel hero every week, but was to be like a "case file".

    You know, when you see the Avengers movie and they say something like "review this file. it is about some agents that investigated a claim about.."

    THAT is what the tv show is, a file of cases.

    I have held my tongue way too long about the reviewers hate for Marvel.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 5:53 PM, Lostcause wrote:

    GotG will do just fine. It will make tons 600mil+. Those that miss it will have a hard time understanding Avengers 3. GotG will get spinoffs as well.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 6:13 PM, hisradness wrote:

    I saw Cap 2 and it was good not great, on par with Cap 1. GotG probably won't flop, there's enough Marvel fanboys out there that it really doesn't matter how bad the movie is, it will turn a profit. Just take in consideration how bad Iron Man 3 was, and it was the second biggest Marvel movie to date. I found it hilarious how everyone was complaining about IM 3, yet it grossed over a billion dollars. Marvel fanboys will buy anything with the Marvel tag on it.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 6:34 PM, crumbhead wrote:

    My wife and I saw CA today and thoroughly enjoyed it. She missed the previews due to a bladder call, but I didn't like the GotG trailer. Star Lord shot the bird at the camera, they were called a-holes by another character, and it just looked like it will be a juvenile, potty-humored effort, which will appeal to some folks. We like the Marvel movies for their lack of excess profanity and potty jokes. Maybe I missed it, but I don't recall any cursing in CA.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:08 PM, deathadder wrote:

    Guys! Love the website you have, like the articles, but you should really stop calling these movies failures and flops before they come out, because it's like you are writing these stories until one does flop just so you can say "I told you so"

    You said Capt America was going to be a failure and now you are saying it's doing well because of the Avengers bump and that GOTG is going to be the flop.

    I think the data can really only be good for hindsight and not foresight unless there's a constant pattern. Right now the constant pattern is Marvel released Marvel films are doing fantastic and not that upcoming Marvel released Marvel films will most like flop because other Marvel released Marvel films did well.

    You guys run the risk of sounding like the apocalyptic minister who keeps telling everyone Christ is coming back and the world is going to end but has to keep changing the date of when said end of the world is going to happen.

    Let's just enjoy the ride and talk about the production of the movies and less about how the next one is going to flop.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:10 PM, JamDaw wrote:

    I loved Captain America: Winter Soldier and I don't think Guardians need to compete as it's the same production company MARVEL. I'm sick of Disney always getting top marks. "Oh good job Disney this, Great job Disney that". when you watch the credits it's all Marvel Studios. You don't praise Philip Morris for Kraft food products you praise Kraft.

    BUT on that note.. I don't think Guardians of the Galaxy will make nearly as much money, but it will make money as someone once said fans will attend the film. and Iron Man 3.. was the best storyline minus changing the enemy's character from the books.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:14 PM, anth1225 wrote:

    Guardians will not fail because of the success of Captain America. It will fail because it's Guardians of the Galaxy

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:23 PM, ariana wrote:

    I'll watch the one with Selena Gomez.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:28 PM, Timothydark wrote:

    This makes no sense. The people who write these articles have no idea how the fans think. We want to see Guardians because it's part of the story leading up to Avengers 3 and 4 and beyond. To us this is just one long story with different chapters.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 7:30 PM, Timothydark wrote:

    Lol. I skipped ahead to 3 and 4. Sorry I had a Days of Futures past moment.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 8:39 PM, ace1g wrote:

    Funny if you look back two weeks ago all MF was saying is what a flop CA was going to be. It is getting pretty hard to put much stock in anything MF says anymore. Seems it is more about head lines and clicks than reliable information.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 8:48 PM, chuchuvonhilir wrote:

    Everybody is missing the point. Gotg is not meant to be a box office smash. This movie is being released to capture the last remaining movie patrons that enjoy magic(harry potter style) and draw interest into the more profitable franchises(Avengers,Cap A,Thor). Gotg will simply be a filler movie between franchises that explains the marvel cosmic alignment so that the tentpole movies can be all action and void of dull dialog explaining things. The whole marvel universe and stories all merge in the "Infinity Gauntlet"(this is Disney's Ultimate cash grab movie we are being set up for)

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 8:56 PM, Lareede wrote:

    My hope for Guardians of the Galaxy is that they bring Joss Whedon in heavily as a consultant and we essentially get a Serenity reboot. I still think if someone would have believed enough in that movie to give it the financial backing it would have been the new Star Wars. Now they have a second chance with the financial and pop culture umff of Marvel to help them springboard.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 9:01 PM, Lareede wrote:

    Also think that much rides on GoTG, if it's a huge success it'll open up Marvel to expand their repetoire beyond the Avengers based franchise into not just Sci Fi (Nova, World War Hulk, Silver Surfer), but also more Supernatural fair (Dr. Strange, Night Stalkers, maybe even a Tomb of Dracula run which I would love to see...would love to see an Avengers style layout for the supernatural side of marvel, Werewolf By Night, Tomb of Dracula, Hannibal King...does anyone know when the Blade rights revert to Marvel?).

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 9:12 PM, Galane wrote:

    I'd like to see them count ticket sales instead of dollars brought in. It's completely silly to compare the box office income of movies today, with their super high ticket prices VS the lower prices of even a scant few years ago.

    How many tickets were sold during the original run of Star Wars VS the ticket sales of Winter Soldier?

    I'd bet that ticket sales have drastically dropped since the late 70's, except for a small number of big hits. As sales drop, they raise ticket prices. Sales drop more, so raise prices more.

    It's a stupid, self defeating process that at some point always results in people collectively saying "Enough! This costs too much and I won't pay it anymore!" yet when many a business fails due to following that death spiral, there are always economists who are puzzled about why.

    If your sales are dropping there are two main reasons. 1. Your prices are too high, or 2. your product has problems. The correct response to either is NOT to raise prices, yet many do and wonder why their income still drops.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2014, at 10:11 PM, hectoruno wrote:

    I don't understand how a string of successful movies means the next one is going to flop. They were saying that based on a TV shows rating that Captain America 2 was going to flop. Marvel is doing fine. I am sorry that DC is not measuring up but that should not mean that a self proclaimed DC fanboy needs to throw his career away on making bad projections. If any other movie company had 8 hits in arow there would be no question that the 9th was going to make money. The Incredible Hulk made its money back as well.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 12:29 AM, akp666 wrote:

    GOTG sets up the premise that forces that we've never encountered are encroaching on the world we know. It gives the MCU an epic scale that we have yet to explore up till this point. GOTG is an intro film that will establish the characters, but in no way does that imply GOTG is going to be a throw away film. GOTG is comparable to Captain America The First Avenger, not Winter Soldier. Marvel isn't looking to end their Cinematic Universe, and essentially what this article is implying is that essentially Marvel has effectively forced themselves to end the arcs created in the MCU up to this point, which is absurd.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 1:23 AM, jmaster1138 wrote:

    Marvel films are a lot like Saturday Night Live sketches. Lots of them are awful, some are decent, and a few are pretty good. But then there's that one--that one film that's as amazingly perfect as "Massive Head Wound Harry." Unfortunately, that one film hasn't been made yet but I hope it will be made eventually. It's a shame that the good people at Marvel aren't smart enough to make a film that will stand the test of time, and be worth watching more than once or twice.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 3:10 AM, buddhaspi wrote:

    *facepalm* Jeez... How can I downvote this article for stupidity?

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 5:03 AM, delfra wrote:

    I think GOTG will be a success at the box office, if it connects with movie audiences 400 or possibly 500 million worldwide could be attainable. I can't go any further that that prediction right now because it is an unproven franchise that has to prove itself still.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 8:26 AM, firstdance2000 wrote:

    Are the MTV awards still on? This would qualify as the dumbest question for an article!

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 9:19 AM, mobrocket wrote:

    This movie will do fine. I doubt Disney is expecting it will be a super blockbuster like Iron Man 3 or CA2

    It cost about 150 million to make, and I bet it at least doubles that

    The fool is forgetting, the Disney spent more money on Lone Ranger and it has far less audience appeal, than a funny comic book based sci fi movie

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 9:48 AM, firstlensman wrote:

    Why are 'journalists' trying to doom Guardians Of The Galaxy to failure way before the movie is even released?

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 9:51 AM, saxgod wrote:

    I read the article back in January or February where they claimed Winter Soldier would make max $300 Million and they made that in the opening weekend. So maybe they are wrong about GoTG. Time will tell I guess.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 9:56 AM, sniperboy wrote:

    From what I have heard from the inside, the trailers released so far for the GOG are not reflective of the movie. This movie is no more a comedy than the first Iron Man movie. The trailer is just showing the humorous moments which are in all the Marvel movies.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 10:00 AM, lancescott70 wrote:

    I do not believve that Cap 2 will negatively effect GotG. I do believe that GotG will negatively effect Marvel movies to come. A success from a Marvel movie such as Cap 2 builds on the previous success not only of the previous Cap movie and Avengers, but because of the Avengers tie in, all the succesful Avengers movies involved. Therefor it is obvious that Cap 2 will help GotG. The real question is what effect will GotG have on future Marvel movies. I thought GotG was going to be a poor movie before seeing the trailer and was certain of it after seeing the trailer.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 11:01 AM, Phadreus wrote:

    I am 62 African-American and have been a serious fan of comics since I was 9 years old and I still am. I wanted to take some time and read all of the comments so I could than offer my opinion concerning Guardians of the Galaxy but time constrains won't allow for that so here I go inn any case.

    What I think Marvel and Disney are doing is laying piece by piece the foundation for a long lasting game changing entertainment transforming dimension where science-horror-fiction-fantasy can all be introduced in such a way as to be most believable and still be entertaining and profitable.

    It has always been my contention that creativity trumps commericialism every time and this has been proved time and again throughout my life. Star Wars is a good example of the argument. The business mindset in Hollywood are notorious...no they are legend for the adage, "a fast nickel beats a slow dollar..." and until the technology caught up with the creative ideas of the writers and "creative produces" they more or less had their way. Ever since the first Superman however, things began to change dramatically and significantly. I don't want to attempt to go into it here it requires some study and research to present a more comprehensive argument suffice it to say as some of the other commenters have that

    Guardians of the Galaxy is not meant to be a box-office smash or just a box office smash. It is more to introduce as a regular an familiar setting space an environment in which we are subject to see any of the Marvel universe characters at anytime due to the possibilities opened up. Here I must offer some apologies and at the same time some suggestion. At first I was confusing the Guardians of the Galaxy with the Starjammers because initially I thought Marvel was going to leave out Cosair the father of the X-man Cyclops. Then I recalled that the Guardians were a separate group and that when they debut I liked them especially Drax and Gamora but as with a great many of the dynamic Marvel characters the Gurdians were introduced and then shelved because of difficulties with writing and sales most likely and so they had intermittent use in Marvel's Universe.

    In order to make the comic world translate to the larger world of motion pictures and to create what some people want to call a superhero story with "adult" themes there has to be some serious creativity involved which starts with respect and caring for the genre itself not just for how much money the genre can make. I like that the Russo brothers who are doing the Captain America stories (2&3) have brought the notion of a modern spy thriller meets superhero world what would that be like if taken seriously and they have had a huge success. This next director, James Gunn is attempting the same thing under the following conditions: first he has to follow successes like Star Wars and Star Trek and failures like John Carter and Green Lantern. I liked both John Carter which I thought I wouldn't like and Green Lantern which I was very curious as to how they would translate him to the big screen successfully which they did in my opinion but which many movie goers did not agree and here let me say its important to keep in mind the difference between movie goers and comic book fans. I am a fan and a movie goer. I come from an era when you could see the double feature at the neighborhood theatre for 35 cents on the weekend (15 cents during the week). We understand that this is a business but what business seems not to understand is the Field of Dreams scenario, "if you create it...they will come" meaning again if their real caring and quality behind the creation of each project and the crafting of this Universe for the big screen there will a source of dollars for a while though you will have to some how manage the ebb times which will come just as surely as the times of flow. Lastly, in the Avengers during the scenes in which Stark, Rodgers and Banner were beginning to question Fury about Section 2 WMD, Thor made the statement that, "the other worlds saw that the Earth with its interest in the Tessaract were ready for a higher level of War. The Guardian of the Galaxy I preparing us for another aspect of that playing field. The third aspect will be rounded off (part of it is the nine realms of which Asgard and Midgard (Earth are a part) when

    Marvel introduces Dr. Stephen Strange and the world of horror fiction with the Dread Dormanmu and Nightmare...let us hope and pray that Johnny Depp who I hear is being considered to play Strange will accept the role. He will be Stange no less than Robert Downey Jr. is Tony Stark.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 2:49 PM, darkartist wrote:

    I think Marvel/Disney is testing the waters for GoTG, Most of the General Public even if Not Comic fanboys know who Iron man, Thor, Cap America and Hulk are. GoTG will see how dedicated Marvel Movie fans are, and ( if successful ) open the door for lesser known Marvel characters.. Fans of Comics and of the Marvel movies will see GoTG regardless, the true test will be word of mouth... As far as Cap 2 goes, I havent heard very many negative reviews...

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 2:58 PM, lste55 wrote:

    I believe that we are all forgetting something when it comes to reading comics. That is, that it does not have to make any sense. This blog is about whether or not a future movie will be a success, yet a lot of bloggers have bashed the website and blog creators. This has provided us all a forum to engage and discuss the possibilities of success verses failure of a product that I am most positive that none of us have a monetary investment with.

    Many argue that the GOTG may or may not be a good film. I would agree with the bloggers that are on the side of, "lets wait and see for ourselves."

    GOTG may not be on my list of top movies to see, but I can argue the fact that it will fill that entertainment niche that we all are looking for.

    Has CA: 2 done any damage to the GOTG product? I say absolutely not. CA: 2 was billed and packaged as a political thriller, where as, GOTG is a SCI/Western Adventure.

    I would bet that if you never saw IM, Thor, Hulk, or any other Marvel product except for the Avengers movies only, that you would not really miss much, if you were trying to catch the story archs and what have you.

    Joss Wheddon has had a lot of success in story telling for a couple of decades now. If he has the reins on a product than I am sure it will have success.

    Ask yourselves though, What rates success in today's entertainment venues?

    I believe that success is at least breaking even with an investment. If you can come away without a debt from an investment than you are doing good. If you can turn a profit even better.

    I would caution Marvel Studios and Disney though. If you think people will continue to pay to see lack luster performances and very poor story telling, than you might want to rethink your business strategy. Movie studios need to reengage the creative side of story telling and match that story to a real person that it personifies. that is why actors and movie goers love indie flicks so much.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 3:02 PM, Nobleode1 wrote:

    First of all GotG obviously is not meant to make more than Cap 2 or the Avengers, which are clearly mainstream, Disney/Marvel along with Gunn know what they are doing, a fun space/sci-fi adventure with (loose) ties to the Marvel Cinematic Universe. Did we think Winter Soldier was gonna blow up like that? No we all didn't... We didn't expect it to 1 up the Avengers, and it did (Fiscally), What we can expect from Guardians is adventure, laughs and new characters/origins that are not mainstream in the Marvel U. I personally think it will be nothing but FUN, and that's what we need, The Winter Soldier had VERY serious undertones of how the Government is acting now, with all the Smart phone tech and other ways the Government have seemed to weasel their way into our personal lives, Preemptive strikes on Terrorism, using fear as opposed to encouraging freedom, it was Brilliant! Guardian's will have none of those serious "real world" issues. Will it make as much? Unlikely, will it be visually spectacular? Ab-So-Lutley. Will TRUE Marvel fans enjoy it? You bet your arse We will.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 5:23 PM, miteycasey wrote:

    It will do about the same as Green Lantern and Dare Devil and the other 'B' level superhero movies.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 5:39 PM, miteycasey wrote:

    I'll say in the 150M range, but I don't know any more than anyone else.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 5:50 PM, conbug wrote:

    Actually, I am looking forward to seeing "Guardians of the Galaxy". The trailer looks like the film will be a whole lot of fun and judging from audience reaction they seem to agree with me. So bring it on...

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2014, at 6:13 PM, GStrange wrote:

    You guys (the Motley Fools) have been so wrong, (and this is on a repeated basis) as far as your predictions for Disney/Marvel movies that you should give it up.

  • Report this Comment On April 17, 2014, at 9:14 PM, Husk13 wrote:

    It will make money as with everything Disney/Marvel touches, but it is a huge gamble. There were so many other groups to choose from within the Marvel Universe. Why GotG? Simply because of the first Avengers movie? Fantastic Four is coming up...a tie in with Power Pack would be more fruitful especially if they bring in Franklin Richards...there are possibilities abound with that. Also other groups like Inhumans, Eternals, X-Factor, X-Force which allows for the entrance of Cable... GotG??? wow...

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