Unsure About Social Security Timing? Consider Your ‘Breakeven’ Age

Most people don't know how long they will live. For the purposes of Social Security planning, that presents a challenge.

While your monthly Social Security retirement benefit will increase with every year you wait to begin collecting between ages 62 and 70, pledging to wait until age 70 may turn out to be a poor strategy if you step in front of a bus at age 69. Conversely, you may regret beginning to collect at age 62 if you live to sample the cake at your 95th birthday party.

But while it's rarely certain how long anyone will live, longevity should still be a primary concern when you decide when to begin collecting your Social Security benefits, says Theodore Sarenski, CEO and president of Blue Ocean Strategic Capital in Syracuse, New York.

For example, he says that those who are in ill health or have a family history of shorter lifespans may wish to consider taking their benefits before their full retirement age.

"If no one in your family has ever made it to 77, maybe you don't want to start (collecting benefits) at 66," Sarenski says.

But if your likely longevity is less clear than this example and you're undecided on when to begin collecting your benefits, how can you weigh the decision to collect now against the decision to wait?

This is where the concept of a "breakeven age" comes into play.      

What is a breakeven age?
In Social Security terms, a breakeven age is the age you'll be when the cumulative payouts for two benefit start dates equal each other.

If that sounds complicated, consider this example: John has decided to take his Social Security retirement benefits early at age 62. His monthly benefit is $1,500, or 75 percent of the $2,000 he would have gotten each month had he waited until his full retirement age of 66. So from the time he starts collecting until his full retirement age of 66, he'll collect $72,000 in benefits.

Now – had John waited until full retirement age to begin collecting and started collecting that $2,000 monthly benefit then, how long would it have taken before that extra $500 per month equaled the $72,000 he collected the first four years? The answer is 144 months – or 12 years.

In other words, if John lives to exactly age 78, he'll have effectively "broken even" on his decision to collect Social Security at 62 versus waiting until his full retirement age of 66. If he lives past age 78, he would have gotten more from waiting until full retirement age. If he dies before age 78, his decision to collect Social Security at 62 will have netted him more than he would have gotten by waiting until his full retirement age.

Doing your own breakeven math
The above example is simplified. The precise numbers on annual Social Security benefit increases vary according to when you were born and how long you wait to delay your benefits, and the impact of spouse's benefits and taxes can also impact your situation drastically. But performing a similar calculation with the exact numbers you get from Social Security – the official Social Security Administration website at SSA.gov offers some helpful tools here – may help if you feel conflicted about taking your benefits at a given age.

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While it may be a morbid task, considering the likely span of your life is an important part of this process. Mike Genovese, a certified financial planner and founding partner at Genovese, Burford & Brothers in Sacramento, California, says that an honest look at your health and family history is in order before you make the decision to begin collecting.

"If you've got longevity in your family and you think you can leg it out longer than the average bear, defer your benefits, especially if you are still working," Genovese says. "You might as well let those 8 percent annual gains accrue. If you don't believe you're going to live that long, start taking it sooner rather than later."

Genovese adds that he sometimes runs calculations for clients to illustrate breakeven ages that they may wish to be aware of.

"I've got a young guy who's developed a spreadsheet here, so we can run those numbers based on rate of return assumptions," Genovese says. "We also factor in income taxation of the benefits. We can say '80 years old is the breakeven point,' and (our clients) can then make their decisions based on what their end game is."

Caveats on breakeven ages
Sarenski says that it's worth remembering how variables like health care improvements can impact your lifespan when you think about breakeven ages.

"We talk about family history," Sarenski says of his Social Security discussions with clients. "How long did your parents live? How long did your grandparents live? But in today's world, some things like heart disease and other things can be controlled, so the current generation may live longer (than past generations)."

He adds that thinking strictly about the overall benefits you receive from Social Security can distract you from other important considerations, such as whether old age will allow you to fully enjoy the higher monthly payments you gain by starting your benefits later.

"When you're between 62 and 66, you're more likely to want to do things like travel," Sarenski says. "So it may be more important to have that money then instead of when you're in your rocking chair at 70. You may have beaten the system (by drawing later), but would you have had a better lifestyle (by drawing earlier)."

This article Unsure about Social Security Timing? Consider Your 'Breakeven' Age originally appeared on MoneyRates.com.

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 14, 2014, at 11:37 AM, Wadhamite wrote:

    No mention was made of smoking. Smokers and non-smokers alike pay the same premiums all through life. Smokers die six years earlier on average. Smokers should consider drawing early. Non-smokers have more options.

  • Report this Comment On June 15, 2014, at 1:14 PM, pmMike wrote:

    Am over 63, now "retired", drawing cash off of the 401K to live on. Have already considered my likely life time span. Know how long all of my grandparents lived (and "what" got them, how they lived their lives), and how old my father got to before he was claimed. Have worked out my "sigma" life-spans based on how I've lived my life, and based on a bell curve of my father and grandparents longevity . Will be claiming SS when I'm 64 simply because a 3-sigma event (living to 79 years) is the most likely best event I can hope for. All other sigma events (4- 84 years, 5 - 89 years, and increasingly unlikely.

    Planning my SS withdrawals to ensure that I at least get back all of the money I put into SS. Not so much for me, but more to ensure that I leave the max amount available to my kids, not the Feds.

    Weird thinking about this kind of stuff, but a spreadsheet helps make sense of it.

    Mike

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