Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT -2.50%)
Q2 2022 Earnings Call
Aug 04, 2022, 8:30 a.m. ET


  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:


Welcome to Uniti Group's second quarter 2022 conference call. My name is Daniel, and I will be your operator for today. A webcast of this call will be available on the company's website www.uniti.com beginning today and will remain available for 14 days. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

Participants on the call will have the opportunity to ask questions following the company's prepared comments. The company would like to remind you that today's remarks include forward-looking statements, and actual results could differ materially from those projected in these statements. The factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in the company's filings with the SEC. The company's remarks this morning will reference slides posted on its website and you're encouraged to refer to those materials during this call.

Discussions during the call will also include certain financial measures that were not prepared in accordance with generally strategic accounting principles. Reconciliation of those non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the company's current report on Form 8-K dated today. I would now like to turn the call over to Uniti Group's chief executive officer, Kenneth A. Gunderman.

Please go ahead, Mr. Gunderman. Thank you.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining. Starting on slide three, the demand for our mission-critical fiber infrastructure continues to accelerate across virtually all of our customer segments. Our results for the second quarter exceeded our expectations, and we continue to be enthusiastic about our prospects in the second half of the year.

As a result, we announced today that we're once again raising our full-year outlook. Received our fifth consecutive quarter of elevated, consolidated new sales bookings, while also realizing our highest level of gross install activity since 2017. As the second largest independent fiber operator in the country with 133 thousand route mile network, Uniti is successfully enabling broadband connectivity for our customers, from local businesses to large national carriers. We remain uniquely positioned to benefit from the favorable trends within our industry.

10 stocks we like better than Uniti Group Inc.
When our award-winning analyst team has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.* 

They just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Uniti Group Inc. wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 27, 2022

And our strategy also further demonstrates that the shared infrastructure benefits of fiber result in healthy adjusted EBITDA and AFFO growth. Turning to slide four, Uniti continues to track well in these shared infrastructure economics. As a result, we believe that a healthy mix of anchor and lease-up bookings and installs represents the most effective way to drive profitable growth. Uniti acquires or builds new fiber largely for our wireless customers, with attractive long-term anchor cash flow yields in the mid to high single-digits.

We're then successfully adding additional tenants with very high margins and minimal CapEx. Resulting in a cumulative cash flow yield today of 21%, a three-fold increase from the anchor yield of these projects. Slide five illustrates an important part of our healthy business mix. We continue to show that the majority of new bookings are lease-up in nature, and the business mix results in predictable cash flow, with industry-leading monthly churn of 0.3%, and an average remaining contract term of over eight years.

Our continued intentional focus on balancing wholesale, non-wholesale, and anchor lease-up opportunities has resulted in outsized margin enhancement, and AFFO growth. In a business that is relatively immune to swings in the economy, which I will elaborate more later in the call. Turning to slide six, as I've previously stated, although we report Uniti Fiber and Unit Leasing separately, both businesses are marketed to our customers as one consolidated fiber business. Increasing number of customers and network solutions are a mix of Uniti Leasing and Uniti Fiber networks, and we fully expect and encourage that trend to continue.

High capacity, long haul routes are needed by all of our customers, including carriers, hyperscalers, international carriers, MSOs, and large enterprises to connect their disparate markets, data centers, and pipes. Today, Dark fiber in North America is an approximately $1.5 billion dollar annual market opportunity and is expected to grow about 10% annually over the next several years, reaching approximately $4 billion by 2030. With long haul fiber contributing to the majority of these revenues. The continued broadband explosion fueled by 5G, natural fiber, small cells, fiber to the tower, fiber to the home, and even fixed wireless, and satellite broadband, all provide on ramps of demand into the long haul market.

A critical ingredient to being a successful provider for these customers is having a robust national network that as most large customers require multi-route solutions. Having an own national network is a meaningful barrier to entry for competitors Uniti, especially given that it would take billions of dollars and many years to build a new national network. We estimate there are only five truly owned national networks, and two independent fiber providers with national networks in the U.S. today, with Uniti being one of them.

Thus we have a unique opportunity to capitalize on this growing demand in the fiber market. We've created 133 thousand route mile network through proprietary acquisitions at Attractive Economics, with approximately 3 million square miles of fiber available to lease to third parties. We continue to grow that network and have built over 16 thousand route miles of new fiber in the past four years. And our networks are intentionally constructed with high strand fiber in order to capitalize on highly accretive lease-up opportunities.

As a reminder, the economics of long haul fiber are very attractive, with high margin passively managed revenue little to no churn, long-term contracts that routinely have escalators built into them, and minimal CapEx requirements. Since most of our network is Dark today, we also have a great opportunity to grow our business by lighting more of our network in a disciplined manner. Our National Wholesale Network has the added benefit of providing terrific growth potential for Uniti Fiber. As we expand our national Lit network into new regions, the economics of adding Lit metro services enterprise lease-up, in particular, become more achievable.

Turning to slide seven. Although enterprise sales represent less than 5% of our total revenue today, and will likely always represent a minority percentage, it remains a critical element of our [inaudible] strategy. Enterprise new sales bookings and install activity during the second quarter were both the highest levels we have ever achieved in company history. And we expect these strong trends to continue, as we further capture market share and deploy Fiber-Based Lit Services to our customers, and our existing, and new markets.

As a result of our consistent strong bookings activity, enterprise recurring revenue was up 11% in the second quarter from the prior year. As I've mentioned before, we're only offering Lit services in approximately 25 metro markets today with an average market share of only approximately 5%, providing us with a long runway to increase our market share substantially over the next several years. Even more exciting. As you can see from the map, we own metro fiber in nearly 300 markets nationwide, which represents terrific capital and margin-efficient growth potential for enterprise, wireless backhaul, and even small cells.

We only recently acquired access to these markets and our 2020 settlement with Windstream. So we're just beginning to capitalize on the opportunity. Given the proven success of our anchor lease-up strategy and the attractive economics of these enterprise opportunities, with payback periods of about half the initial contract term and cash yields of 50% plus, we continue to actively prioritize these metro markets for expansion in both 2023 and beyond. And looking at our national wholesale network in our 300 metro markets combined, we estimate that less than 5% of our total 7.8 million strand miles of fiber are actually Lit This virtual blank canvas provides us with a terrific runway for disciplined growth without the burden of legacy declining products.

With that, I'll now turn the call over to Paul.

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thank you, Kenneth. Good morning, everyone. Both our Uniti Leasing and Uniti Fiber businesses continue to perform well, and this performance is reflected in our better than expected second quarter results. Despite increased economic uncertainty and volatility within the capital markets, Uniti remains well positioned given our robust level of long-term revenues under contract, our declining capital intensity, along with the work we have done to strengthen our balance sheet and push out our debt maturities.

As a result of the strength of the quarter and our continued confidence in our ability to execute in the second half of the year, we are once again increasing the midpoint of our 2022 outlook for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Please turn to slide eight, and I'll start with comments on our second quarter. We reported consolidated revenues of $284 million. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $227 million.

AFFO attributed to common shares of $115 million and AFFO per diluted common share of $0.44. Net income attributable to common shares for the quarter was approximately $53 million or $0.21 per diluted share. At Uniti Leasing, we reported segment revenues of $206 million and adjusted EBITA of $200 million, up 5% and 4% respectively from the prior year. Accordingly, Uniti Leasing achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 97% for the quarter.

Turning to slide nine, our growth capital investment program continues to make progress and provide positive results for Uniti. Over the past six years, our tenant has invested approximately $1 billion of tenant capital improvements in our network. Uniti continues to invest its own capital in long-term value accretive fiber, largely focused on highly valuable last mile fiber, including fiber and commercial parks, and fiber to the home. Collectively, these investments have resulted in 16,400 round miles of newly constructed fiber, and 22% of the legacy copper network being overbuilt with fiber.

Both of these numbers continue to gradually increase each quarter, and we expect they will increase materially over the coming years. During the second quarter, Uniti Leasing deployed approximately $53 million toward growth capital investment initiatives, with the majority of the investments relating to the Windstream GCI program. These GCI investments added around 1700 route miles of fiber to Unitis' own network across several different markets. As of June 30th, Uniti has invested approximately $400 million of [inaudible] under the GCI program, with Windstream adding around 11,200 route miles and 594,000 strand miles of fiber to our network.

These investments will be added to the master leases at an 8% initial yield at the one-year anniversary of Uniti making such investment. They are subject to a 0.5% annual escalator, and result in nearly 100% margin. The investments we have made to date will ultimately generate approximately $32 million of annualized cash rent. During the quarter, we sold our remaining investment interest in Harmony Towers to Palace Star Capital, formerly known as Mellody Investment Advisors for total cash consideration of $32.5 million, or approximately 35 times our ownership interest in annualized run rate cash flows.

This transaction generated a gain on sale of approximately $8 Million, excluding related tax expense of $7 million. We had previously sold 90% of our U.S. Tower business to Palace in June of 2020. The net effects of this transaction are included within our leasing segment.

At Uniti Fiber, we turned over 459 Lit backhaul, Dark fiber, and small cell sites for our wireless carriers across our southeast footprint during the second quarter. These installed at annualized revenues of approximately $4.9 million, and represent the highest level of wireless gross installs ever for the Uniti. We currently have around 1400 Lit backhaul, Dark fiber, and small cell sites remaining in our backlog that we expect to deploy within the next few years. This wireless backlog represents an incremental $12 million of annualized revenues.

At Uniti Fiber, we reported revenues of $78 million and adjusted EBITDA of $34 million during the second quarter. Both revenues and adjusted EBITDA were higher than expected, largely due to the timing of equipment sales, and early termination fees, and lower costs. We achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 43% for the quarter, a 200 basis point improvement from the prior year period. Uniti Fiber net success base CapEx was $30 million in the second quarter.

We also incurred $2 million of maintenance CapEx or about 3% of revenues. Please turn to slide ten and I'll now cover our updated 2022 guidance. We're revising our guidance primarily for business unit level revisions and the impact of transaction-related and other costs incurred to date. Our outlook excludes future acquisitions, capital market transactions and future transaction-related, and other costs not specifically mentioned here.

Actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Our current full-year outlook for 2022 includes the following for each segment. Beginning with Uniti Leasing, based on better than expected list of success, we now expect revenues and adjusted EBITDA to be $822 million and $800 million respectively at the midpoint, representing adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 97%. Revenue and adjusted EBITDA each include $14 million of cash rent associated with the GCI Investments, and $26 million relating to the straight line rent associated with the One Stream Master Leases and GCI Investments.

We expect to deploy $275 million of success base CapEx at the midpoint of our guidance, of which $250 million relates to estimated Windstream GCI Investments. Turning to slide 11, we continue to expect Uniti Fiber to contribute $309 million of revenues at the midpoint, and adjusted EBITDA of $121 million for full year 2022. When adjusting for the Everstream transaction that occurred in May of 2021, the year-over-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth is 6% and 8% respectively. This strong growth demonstrates our continued success in managing our cost structure, and improving margins while executing on lease-up that leverages our existing dense southeast fiber footprint.

As I previously mentioned, we still expect 2022 to be the peak year for sprint-related churn, which means higher than normal one-time ETL fees related to legacy sprint sites being disconnected as part of the T-Mobile merger. As we turn to 2023, we still expect to realize some ETL fees, but most likely $12 to $13 million less than in 2022. We do still expect that our core recurring revenue in Uniti Fiber will increase by mid single digit percentage rate for full year 2023 when compared to 2022. Net success base CapEx for Unity Fiber this year is still expected to be $120 million at the midpoint of our guidance, a 12% decrease from levels in 2021.

Turning to slide 12. For 2022, we expect full year AFFO to range between $1.70 and $1.77 per diluted common share, with a midpoint of a dollar $0.74 per diluted share, a 4% increase from 2021. On a consolidated basis, we expect revenues to be $1.1 billion, and adjusted EBITDA to be $896 million at the midpoint. Our guidance contemplates consolidated interest expense for the full year of approximately $390 million.

Corporate SG&A, excluding amounts allocated to our business segments, is expected to be approximately $33 million, including $8 million of stock-based compensation expense. We still expect our weighted average diluted common shares outstanding for full year 2022 to be around $267 million shares. As a reminder, guidance ranges for key components of our outlook are included in the appendix to our presentation. Turning now to our capital structure, where the work we have done over the past couple of years to push out our debt maturities, and strengthen our balance sheet, and liquidity position.

We do not have a need to access external capital through the end of 2023. As such, we continue to be opportunistic in our approach to managing our capital structure over the near term. At quarter end, we had approximately $360 million of combined unrestricted cash, and cash equivalents, and undrawn revolver capacity. Our leverage ratios stood at 5.64 times based on net debt to last quarter annualized adjusted EBITDA.

Our consolidated net leverage ratio at quarter end as defined in the indenture governing our 7 and 7/8 senior secured notes stood at 5.71 times, which is below the 5.75 times threshold imposed by the indenture that had restricted our ability to distribute dividends in excess of 90% of taxable rate income. In light of this milestone, our Board will continue to evaluate our dividend policy and the optimal capital allocation strategy going forward. On July 29th, our Board declared a dividend of $0.15 per share to stockholders of record on September 9th, payable September 23rd. With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Kenneth.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Paul. Before turning to Q&A, I'd like to address the current economic backdrop and the implications for Uniti. We're prepared for the likelihood of a recession, or at least a sustained economic downturn, as well as an elevated interest rate environment for some time. With respect to a potential recession, we believe our core business will likely see little to no, noticeable impact given the mission-critical nature of broadband.

Further, the vast majority of our revenue is wholesale in nature with long term contracts, some of which have escalators pegged to CPI. This customer base has proven more resilient than enterprise during downturns. With respect to costs, we're beginning to forecast higher labor and material costs in some areas. With that said, however, we don't expect any meaningful changes to current or forecasted margins or capital intensity.

Given that our business performed exceptionally well during the depths of the pandemic, we would expect to execute at a similar level during any potential recession or economic downturn. The elevated interest rate environment has created capital market challenges for high-yield issuers seeking to finance M&A, or to refinance near-term debt. Fortunately for Uniti, we have no significant near-term maturities. As it relates to potential debt refinancing and M&A, we have the ability to be patient.

To be clear, we remain confident in our intrinsic value and our ability to execute on our strategic options. But we believe better execution could be achieved in more normalized markets. Despite this macroeconomic backdrop, we continue to prioritize investment in our core business. We currently have over $7 billion of revenue under contract with the average remaining term of eight and a half years.

The majority of this revenue is passively managed in the form of Triple net or Dark Fiber [inaudible]. As a result, the operating costs associated with this revenue is de minimis, which results in a cash flow rich business over the mid to long term. We think this is an underappreciated part of our story, especially since by 2030, we expect to have generated approximately $1.5 billion of cumulative free cash flow after dividends if we maintain our current dividend and approximate level of annual capital investment. This trajectory leads to substantial deleveraging, resulting in two and a half to three and a half times net leverage, and more than doubling the size of our non-Windstream fiber business by 2030.

Our network is highly under-utilized presenting profitable growth potential for some time. We expect net capital intensity to decline from our current level of approximately 35% to approximately 10% by 2030. This decline is indicative of accelerating operating leverage in the business and many years of high margin, high yielding [inaudible], including Dark fiber, Lighting unique long haul routes, and expanding deeper into our existing 300 metro markets. With that said, our cash rich MLAs provide great optionality to pay an increasing dividend, and invest even more in our core business in lieu of paying down debt.

As I mentioned in my earlier remarks, regardless of our capital allocation policy, our runway for organic growth appears long and fruitful, especially given strong industry tailwinds. In summary, we believe Uniti is well-positioned with a recession-resistant business, and a terrific opportunity for material value creation with no reliance upon M&A. With that operator, we're now ready to take questions.

Questions & Answers:


[Operator instruction] Our first question comes from Gregory Williams with Cowan. Your line is now open.

Gregory Williams -- Cowen and Company -- Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my questions. First one is just on the solid growth installs. Obviously, impressive here and you're finally chipping away at this backlog.

Is this sort of a function of the better weather you can get out there and [inaudible] we're coming out of the pandemic. And how does that translate to your ability to hire contractors in the workforce? I think about the sustainability of the solid growth installs. And then the second question is just on the M&A environment. I think you noted you're waiting for better execution for a more normalized environment.

How would you characterize your M&A and your appetite? I didn't see any deals today. Does that mean something more transformative is still on the table? Thanks.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

Greg on installs, I'd say it's a result of three things. One, we've just had elevated bookings now for several quarters and just starting, I mean, obviously bookings precede installs. So you're starting to see installs catch up, if you will. Secondly, very active first half of the year with DISH, which I think was probably more active than we expected.

So that was an important contributor. To your question about labor, it continues to be a challenge to get whether it be contract labor or full time labor, frankly. That's one of the reasons we called it out in our prepared remarks. But fortunately, we've been able to staff the positions we need and we actively manage that.

So I think we're confident that that's not going to be a bottleneck for us, although, like we said, there could be some elevated costs associated with it going forward. But at this level of bookings, in this level of installs for us, that's a cost well worth bearing. With respect to M&A, not much more to say than what we had in our prepared remarks. We're just going to continue to be patient and opportunistic like we always have.

We continue to think the trends both in the industry, and in the conversations that we're having are very favorable, and we believe we'll be very fruitful for Uniti in the future.

Gregory Williams -- Cowen and Company -- Analyst

Thank you.


Thank you. And our next question comes from Michael Rollins with Citi. Your line is now open.

Michael Rollins -- Citi -- Analyst

Thanks, and good morning. Two questions. First, on the guidance. The revenue and EBITDA midpoint ticked up a little bit, but AFFO looks unchanged.

If you could just unpack a little bit more of the pluses and minuses in that transition from income statement to the AFFO guide. And then secondly, you talked about the opportunity to deliver over time with the cash that the business can produce. Should that be the base case for investors, that in the absence of any larger transformative transactions, that Uniti is aspiring to deliver to a certain financial net debt target range? Thank you.

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Hey, Michael, this is Paul. Thanks so much for your question. Just some differences, particularly in terms of cash, cash revenue, and translating from EBITDA revenue, and adjusted EBITDA to AFFO between the quarter. So I think that's the primary difference that you're seeing there.

There's a couple other minor things and we can give you some more detail on that, Michael, if you'd like. But I think that just the differences between cash, cash revenue and non-cash revenue is the major contributor to the difference there.

Michael Rollins -- Citi -- Analyst

So just to quickly follow-up on that, so is the benefit in the short term, straight line or deferred revenue? And over time that converts into cash revenue. So therefore, you're getting the benefit in the income statement, but not AFFO. I was curious if it was more that, or if there's just other offsetting items to a change in the cash income statement contributors versus like interest, or some other items like that.

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, I think without getting into too much detail there. I think that a lot of those cast differences do come in when you're looking at straight line revenue. I think you're exactly right there in those differences coming in as you have that role on and off, whether you're new contracts or old contracts. So I think that's the largest contributor.

So I think you're right on target there.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

And Michael, It's Kenneth. With respect to your question about some of the longer term outlook we provided. I doubt we will ever get down to two and a half to three and a half times leverage simply because that's probably under-leveraged relative to the optimal capital structure for our business. What we're really trying to demonstrate is the ability to do that if we chose to.

I think more likely we would use that cash to either pay a higher dividend, or invest more in the business, especially given the trends that we're seeing in the business, and the trends that we're seeing in the industry, or some combination of those things. And I think that's a great place for us to be here, to have the optionality to either invest, pay our dividend, or deleverage or some combination. And by the way, that also sets you up for doing more opportunistic bolt-on M&A with a better balance sheet and more liquidity. So that obviously would factor in.

And with respect to this being the base case, I think, this is the base case. I mean, M&A for us has always been opportunistic, especially transformative M&A. And I think in doing M&A, it's always important to have the ability to be patient. And in order to be patient, you have to have a good business that's performing well, and you have to have a good balance sheet, and a good runway for liquidity, and we certainly have all those things.

Michael Rollins -- Citi -- Analyst



Thank you. And our next question comes from Frank Louthan with Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Frank Louthan -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Great. Thank you. In your slides, you talked about the turn 75 buildings that you pass. What percentage of those are realistic targets to get business from and what's your current penetration? And then what are you doing to try and increase that penetration going forward?

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Hey, Frank. I would say all of them are accessible, and that's really the point. We do a lot of work, both with our own data and outside sources, where it's useful to pinpoint our network and opportunities near that network. So anything on that list, and by the way, that's a list we share with our customers, it's out there for the industry to see.

So we want customers and potential customers to see that. And therefore call us when, when there's opportunities in those buildings. So that's a real number that we're executing on. And I would say with respect to market share, we look at it by market, and we've got some markets where we're approaching maybe 10% market share, but the vast majority in the vast majority of our metro markets, we're well below 5%.

So we're really an insurgent, a share taker, and just feel really excited about the opportunity that we have going forward to continue taking share in the near term.

Frank Louthan -- Raymond James -- Analyst

All right, great. And talk about some other infrastructure [inaudible] just seeing some of their escalators go up as inflation has gone up. Or are you having these similar conversations with new customers, or when you're renewing leases about raising some of the escalators to compensate for that?

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah, absolutely. Escalators have always been important to include whenever we can and especially our long term Dark fiber contracts that have such a long life. But in the current market and current times, escalators are even more important. So yeah, that's we're putting even more focus on making sure our contracts have the escalators that can continue to protect our revenue stream, and insulate it from kind of inflationary pressures going forward.

And as Kenneth mentioned in our comments, we do have some of those escalators are our fixed rates, but some of those escalators are tied to CPI, which is particularly valuable time like 2022 when we've had such an increase in the CPI year over year. So that's been a nice thing for us to have those built-in whenever we can, and we'll continue to put an increased focus on that in a time like this for sure.

Frank Louthan -- Raymond James -- Analyst

All right, great. That's really helpful. And if you can make sure the operator turns my mic off this time, that'd be great.


Thank you. And our next question comes from David Barden with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

David Barden -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks so much. Hey, Frank. Make sure your dogs are quiet down there, please.

So, guys, I guess I got three questions. So the first one could be, Paul, can you remind us just the 2022 termination income that you're expecting from the T-Mobile merger, and what the one timer's contributed to 2Q. And then what you kind of think of leftover for 2023 that we should be thinking about. I think you mentioned that in the prepared remarks.

The second, I guess would be, Kenneth, now that you guys have broken through that covenant barrier, could you give us a timetable and some criteria, either execution, or cash flow generation, or leverage criteria that you think would help us inform a decision about revisiting the dividend payout policy? And then I guess my last question would be,  there is a window to refinance your highest coupon yet. Seven and seven eight is 2025 that started in kind of the mid first quarter and a quarter ago. It would have been a call it a six ish percent type of coupon to refinance it. Now, it's probably north of seven.

So you didn't do that presumably for a reason. And one speculation is that, the reason why you're not coming back to the markets is that this dispute with Windstream about the lease renewal term, and the 2027 arbitration is impacting your decision-making around capital markets access. So I was wondering if you could kind of revisit that topic to please, and thank you so much.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

I think. David, Paul take your first question. So, yeah, we've been mentioning for a while that the sprint churn is going to peak in 2022. So it's definitely having an impact on the financials this year.

So we wanted to provide a little bit more color on that for you guys, and our comments this time. Like I said in my remarks, we expect DTLs in 2023 to be less than in 2022. And like I said, the peak year and we're expecting that to be about $12 to $13 million less than what it is this year. So this year, if you if you look at our page, it breaks  down Uniti Fiber revenue.

You see the $61 million of core non-recurring that we're projecting at you have for 2023, about $25 million of that is expected to be related to ETL and the vast majority of that is associated with the Sprint Dcoms. So, that amount would really kind of be cut close to in half if you look out toward 23 for our expectations. I don't know the exact number for the second quarter. And if you asked that, we can get you that David later.

But it's definitely a contributor to the quarter. I've got the number here. It was about $7 million contribution to the second quarter alone [inaudible] from a revenue standpoint.

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

And David, with respect to your other two questions. On the dividend, obviously, that's a Board level decision. So I don't want to put any parameters around that to get ahead of them. But I certainly had a robust discussion with the Board about it last week, and we'll continue at the board meeting and we'll continue to have that in the coming months quarters.

I think right now we're paying 90% of taxable income. Most reeds pay 100%. There's tax savings associated with that. There certainly would be for us, and so that's an incremental consideration that I'm sure you're thinking about aware of.

But beyond that, I don't want to put any guardrails around it, and get ahead of the board in any way. But it's great to have that covenant cleared so that they have the flexibility to pull that lever on capital allocation if they choose to. With respect to your last question, I don't agree with your conclusion. We certainly did not finance or refinance some of the debt that you mentioned, but there's a lot of factors that go into that.

I won't go into all the ones that we considered, but for starters, we've got a really nice runway before we need to refinance those large maturities, and we actively manage that, and actively discuss with our advisors, including a whole host of financing opportunities. And I can assure you that the renewal issue was not a concern for us. In fact, in some ways, we didn't choose to have this public spat. But the fact that we are actually cause us to put our disclosure out there, and I think a lot of investors and lenders, creditors took comfort in seeing that disclosure.

So I think it's actually probably the opposite of your speculation with respect to any concerns there. Longer term, going back to our prepared remarks at the end about our longer term trajectory in terms of the cash flow generating opportunities in the business, we just feel very confident about the balance sheet and liquidity, and how that gives us a terrific runway to continue fueling the growth in the business.

David Barden -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

All right. Great. Thanks, Kenneth. Appreciate.

Thanks, Paul. 


Thank you. And our next question comes from Simon Flannery with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.

Simon Flannery -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Great. Thank you very much. Good morning. Paul, coming back to the fiber.

Perhaps you could just give us a sense of what the recurring revenue trends are. I think your model suggests it's pretty stable for this year. But any sense of how that looked this quarter? And I know that dish has been a big part of your optimism for 23. What are you seeing from Dish right now? They gave us an update on their call yesterday about continuing to expand to 15,000 towers to hit their June 23 guidance.

So is that starting to flow through to some of your markets or is that more of a 23 factor? And then, Kenneth, you talked about being patient with M&A. You've also talked about potentially exploring a separation to highlight the value of the non-Windstream revenue and cash flow streams. Could you update us on your thoughts there? Thank you.

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Sure, Simon. I'll get started. In terms of recurring revenue, recurring revenue growth is really as expected and even a little bit better than expected, recurring revenues came in a little bit above our projections for the second quarter. And part of that, as Kenneth mentioned, was contribution from from DISH, the only contribution to that, but Dish made a meaningful contribution to that.

So we're continuing to expect the mid single-digit growth in recurring revenue. Some pieces of it are growing even faster. Kenneth mentioned our enterprise recurring revenue grew double-digits, 11%, I think over year-over-year. So we're seeing nice growth in our recurring revenue business, which is really what we put.

Now the majority of our focus on building over the long term. And as we look out into next year, like I said in my comments, we expect that same sort of growth to continue. So very pleased with that, installs where the highest they've ever been for in the second quarter. We had a record quarter both, and the wireless part of our business and enterprise part of our business as well.

So installs as an MRR, monthly recurring revenue number. So that's all about recurring revenue coming on to the business and churn continues to remain low. So the outflow of recurring revenue out the back door continues to remain really low for the business kind of industry-leading, we think, in terms of our churn performance. So we see nice trends there, and we see those trends continuing.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

So, Simon, on your last question. Look, the reason we focused on developing a plan to separate our businesses because we believe there's a conglomerate discount associated with our stock, and it's weighed down by the Windstream part of our business. And so when you look at that, and when we look at the trends in the industry, including in the last quarter and this year, they continue to reinforce that view. And by that, I mean, when we look at private market multiples related to fiber, to the fiber, to the home businesses, those multiples continue to.

A view. And by that I mean when we look at private market multiples related to fiber, fiber to the home, businesses, those multiples continue to improve. And obviously, our Windstream business is an important part of a fiber to the home provider. And so we're emboldened by the operating trends in the industry, and the multiples associated with those businesses, and feel that's another area where it's important for us to be smart and patient about unlocking that value.

And with respect to commercial fiber, which is our bread and butter, that's the core part of our business. We've also seen those multiples elevate with there were a couple of private market transactions announced during the quarter, where multiples were EBITDA multiples were well north of 20 times, EBITDA, in fact approaching 30 times EBITDA. So we feel like that the markets, whether it be private or public but mostly private, are putting the appropriate intrinsic value lations upon our piece parts. And so as a result, we believe it's important to be able to separate those assets and unlock that value for our shareholders in the event there is transformative M&A opportunities.

And so I think maybe coming full circle to your question, we wouldn't separate our assets unless it were in the context of a transformative M&A transaction, or at least that's what we're contemplating today.

Simon Flannery -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Great. Thank you. And anything more on DISH as over the next several quarters, when you really expect that to start scaling?

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah. Sorry, we missed that one. Look, I think this was more active than we expected in the first half of the year. And a lot of that was to help them hit their first targeted date with the SEC.

But candidly, most of the markets they were targeting were not Uniti markets. I mean, they were more tier one in nature, as you know, Simon. And we're generally more in the Tier two ish markets. And so now they're moving on to the second targeted date of mid-year next year.

And we actually think there's going to be more we know there are going to be more opportunities for us in our markets. And so as a result, we do think the second half of this year, and probably the first half of next year in particular are going to be very busy.

Simon Flannery -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Right. Thanks a lot.


Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference back to Kenneth Gunderman for closing remarks.

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. We appreciate your interest in Uniti Group and look forward to updating you for [Audio Gap]


[Operator signoff]

Duration: 0 minutes

Call participants:

Kenneth Gunderman -- Chief Executive Officer

Paul Bullington -- Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Gregory Williams -- Cowen and Company -- Analyst

Michael Rollins -- Citi -- Analyst

Frank Louthan -- Raymond James -- Analyst

David Barden -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Simon Flannery -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

More UNIT analysis

All earnings call transcripts