Infinera (INFN) Q1 2021 Earnings Call Transcript
INFN earnings call for the period ending March 31, 2021.
Some of the best investment stories of the past 25 years started with investors who recognized the potential of a small-cap stock. Just think of being an early investor in a company like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), which was a $7 stock in 1998, or Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which had a market cap of just over $1 billion in 2010.
Of course, not every small-cap stock becomes a giant. Investing in the stocks of small companies can be very rewarding, but it comes with risks that investors need to understand. Here’s a closer look at what small-cap stocks are, how to choose the best ones, and how to figure out if they’re right for you.
Small-cap stocks are stocks of companies with a small market capitalization (the cap in small-cap). We say that a stock is a small-cap stock when the total value of all of the company’s shares outstanding -- meaning the shares held by all shareholders, including company insiders -- falls roughly between $300 million and $2 billion.
|Micro-cap companies||Less than $300 million|
|Small-cap companies||$300 million to $2 billion|
|Mid-cap companies||$2 billion to $10 billion|
|Large-cap companies||$10 billion to $200 billion|
|Megacap companies||More than $200 billion|
Small-cap companies are often young companies. They tend to have strong growth potentials, but also generally have less stability and market share than larger, more established companies.
Investing in small-cap stocks may be comparatively risky, but the rewards can also be greater. In general terms, the smaller the company, the greater the risk associated with investing in its stock.Micro-cap stocks -- the stocks of companies with market capitalizations under $300 million -- are considered by many as having too much risk.
Since 2000, small-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks by an average of two percent per year. But over shorter periods (three to five years or so), the same is not always true. The prices of small-cap stocks tend to be more volatile than those of larger companies, and the stocks' values fluctuate more dramatically. The longer the evaluation period, the greater likelihood that small-cap stocks outperform the large-caps.
In early 2020, small-cap stocks' performance was trailing behind that of the large-caps; the small-caps proceeded to lose much more of their value during the stock market crash in March. The small-caps also recovered faster, and their values surged after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) together announced that they had successfully developed a coronavirus vaccine. The stock of online bank Axos Financial (NYSE:AX), formerly considered a small-cap, gained so much value that it has since graduated to mid-cap territory -- a common occurrence for the small-caps.
As further proof that small-cap stocks are performing well in the recovery, the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 Index (RUSSELLINDICES:^RUT) grew by 18.3% in 2020, while the large-cap-focused S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) gained just 16.3%.
Despite the Russell 2000 Index beating the S&P 500 for 2020, during most of last year large-cap companies outperformed the small-caps. Large companies are more likely to be profitable, have more cash on their balance sheets, and can access external capital more easily. All of these advantages make their stocks less risky investments in a crisis like the COVID-19 pandemic. Many investors seeking to protect their portfolios during the early stages of the crisis likely moved money out of small-cap stocks and into the large-caps. The reason that the Russell 2000 Index ultimately outperformed the S&P 500 for the year is because, with the market recovering, investors are buying small-cap stocks again. This resurgence in the popularity of small-cap stocks is causing them to regain lost value faster than their large-cap counterparts.
Many small-cap stocks aren’t household names -- at least not yet. Here are some small caps to consider:
If you don't want to guess at which small-cap stocks are the best for your portfolio, you can instead gain exposure to small-cap companies by investing in a fund that focuses exclusively on small-caps. Here are a couple options:
The Motley Fool’s co-founder, David Gardner, believes that there are six signs of disruptive companies with high growth potential. He calls these kinds of stocks “Rule Breakers.” (For a deeper dive into this concept, check out David Gardner's Rule Breakers podcast.)
We are living through an amazing time of technological growth, Rule Breaking, and opportunity for entrepreneurs and technologies that can do things better than they were once done.David Gardner, cofounder, The Motley Fool
Top small-cap companies often exhibit the six characteristics of disruptive businesses that Gardner defines:
Usually the top small-cap stocks also have histories of earnings and revenue growth. Ones that don't deserve closer scrutiny. Below, find details on each of these metrics.
A stock's price growth tends to follow earnings growth for a company. It's important to track the rate at which earnings have been growing when evaluating a stock. For companies that aren't yet profitable, losses should be shrinking as sales grow. If losses are increasing, then it's important before investing to understand why.
Small-cap companies are more likely to be unprofitable if they compete in fast-growing industries like cloud computing. For these companies, investors are likely to forgive those losses if revenue growth is consistently strong. Investors are relatively patient because they believe that these companies are pursuing opportunities with immense long-term value.
Regardless of whether a company is profitable, its revenue should be growing at a steady pace. Rising revenue indicates that the company's business is working -- and a revenue growth rate that exceeds the growth of more mature companies indicates that the business is working well.
On the other hand, declining revenue is a warning sign. Don't invest until you understand why it's on the decline.
Are you willing to hold an investment for several years? Are you comfortable with stocks in your portfolio experiencing big price swings, both up and down? (Are you sure?)
If yes, then small-cap stocks might have a place in your portfolio. As we've seen, small-cap stocks can boost your portfolio's overall growth rate, as long as you stick with a buy-and-hold strategy. But remember, small companies are more likely to fail than large, established companies, as was recently demonstrated during the coronavirus pandemic. It's important to conduct the necessary research before investing in a small-cap stock.
Of course, you don't personally have to pick individual small-cap stocks to benefit from their presence in your portfolio. Owning a small-cap mutual fund or ETF as part of a diversified portfolio is a viable option for many investors.
INFN earnings call for the period ending March 31, 2021.
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