WD-40 (WDFC) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

WD-40 (WDFC 0.14%)
Q3 2023 Earnings Call
Jul 10, 2023, 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Good day, and welcome to the WD-40 Company third-quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

At the end of the prepared remarks, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] I now would like to turn the presentation over to the host for today's call, Ms. Wendy Kelley, vice president of stakeholder and investor engagement. Please proceed.

Wendy Kelley -- Vice President of Stakeholder and Investor Engagement

Thank you. Good afternoon and thanks to everyone for joining us today. On our call today are WD-40 Company's President and Chief Executive Officer  Steve Brass and Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Sara Hyzer. In addition to the financial information presented on today's call, we encourage investors to review our earnings presentation, earnings press release, and Form 10-Q for the period ending May 31, 2023.

These documents are available on our Investor Relations website at investor.wd40company.com. A replay and transcript of today's call will also be made available at that location shortly after this call. On today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures. The descriptions and reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures are available in our SEC filings, as well as our earnings presentation.

As a reminder, today's call includes forward-looking statements about our expectations for the company's future performance. Of course, actual results could differ materially. The company's expectations, beliefs, and projections are expressed in good faith, but there can be no assurance that they will be achieved or accomplished. Please refer to the risk factors detailed in our SEC filings for further discussion.

Finally, for anyone listening to a webcast replay or reviewing a written transcript of this call, please note that all information presented is current only as of today's date, July 10th, 2023. The company disclaims any duty or obligation to update any forward-looking information whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Steve.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Wendy, and thanks to all of you for joining us this afternoon. Today, I'll begin by discussing our sales results for the third fiscal quarter of 2023. I will also provide you with an update on our Must-Win Battles. Sara will review some financial topics with you, including a review of our FY '23 guidance.

I'm happy to share with you that after two quarters of flat to down sales, we've returned to solid top-line growth in the third fiscal quarter. Today, we reported net sales of 141.7 million for the third quarter, which is up 15% compared to the same period of last year and a new record for the company. Translation of our subsidiaries' results into the U.S. dollar had an unfavorable impact on our consolidated net sales in the third quarter.

On a constant-currency basis, third-quarter sales would have increased $21.9 million, or 18%, compared to the third quarter of last year. Furthermore, we've seen bottom-line growth as well with net income of 18.9 million compared to 14.5 million last year, reflecting an increase of 30% year on year. While we continue to experience some disruptions linked to the price increases that we've put into place over the last 12 months, the impact is beginning to abate and we saw volume-related sales growth this quarter at a consolidated level. We estimate sales volume declined about 1.5 million in the Americas and 3.5 million in EMEA in the third quarter, but this was more than offset by sales volume increases in Asia-Pacific of 5.5 million in the quarter.

Year to date, we reported net sales of 396.8 million, which is up 2% compared to the same period of last year. Translation of our subsidiaries' results into the U.S. dollar also had an unfavorable impact on our consolidated net sales year to date. On a constant-currency basis, year-to-date sales would have increased $27.3 million, or 7%, compared to the same period of last fiscal year.

Now, let's take a closer look at the third-quarter results in our trade blocs, starting with the Americas. Sales in the Americas, which includes the United States, Latin America, and Canada were up 16% in the third quarter to 71.1 million. Maintenance product sales in the United States increased 21% in the third quarter. This increase in sales was driven primarily by strong sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product in the United States, which increased 20% in the quarter, mainly due to the impact of price increases on revenue, which was partially offset by slightly lower demand, which resulted in decreased sales volume.

Strong sales of 3-IN-ONE and WD-40 Specialist also contributed to the increase in sales and grew 77% and 13%, respectively. The increased sales of 3-IN-ONE were due to increase production capacity and improved availability due to adjustments we have made in our supply chain. I'm very happy to report that, in the Americas, we recently achieved an on-time full-service score of 98.6%. After the many hardships brought on by the pandemic, this service score represents grit, determination, persistence, and an incredible effort across numerous functions throughout our Americas trade bloc.

WD-40 Specialist sales increased primarily due to price increases implemented during the last 12 months. Maintenance product sales in Canada decreased 23% in the third quarter, primarily due to lower sales volume. In the corresponding period of last year, we experienced very strong sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product due to high level of demand for our products in the industrial channel. This level of demand in the channel was not repeated in the third quarter of this year.

Maintenance product sales in Latin America were up 18% in the third quarter when compared to last year, primarily due to marketing distributors purchasing a higher level of our product in advance of a price increase that went into effect in June 2023. Sales in our direct market in Mexico also increased because of price increases and the favorable impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates. These favorable impacts in our direct market in Mexico were partially offset by purchasing activity associated with prior price increases. Sales of our homecare and cleaning products in the Americas were relatively flat in the third quarter compared to the prior year.

We consider our homecare and cleaning products as harvest brands that continue to generate consistent contributions and cash flows, but are generally expected to become a smaller part of our business over time. In total, our Americas segment made up 50% of our global business in the third quarter. Over the long term, we anticipate sales within this segment will grow between 5% to 8% annually. As a reminder, the compound annual growth rates associated with our trade blocs reflect our long-term growth expectations and may not always align with short-term trends and results.

Now, let's take a look at what happened in EMEA, which includes Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. Last quarter, I shared with you that we had gotten off to a rocky start in the first half of fiscal year 2023 in EMEA. Pricing actions we'd taken, as well as the loss of sales in Russia and Belarus, resulted in sales declines over that period. I'm happy to share with you today that we're seeing a strong recovery in EMEA, and sales were up 6% in the third quarter to 52.5 million.

Currency fluctuations negatively impacted our sales in EMEA and, on a constant-currency basis, sales would have increased 13% compared to the third quarter of last year. This growth is in line with our long-term expectations for this segment, which is sales growth of between 8% to 11% annually. And as you know, we sell into EMEA through a combination of direct operations as well as through marketing distributors. Sales in our EMEA direct markets, which accounted for 68% of the region's sales in the third quarter, increased by 2% compared to last year.

This increase in sales was primarily driven by the impact of price increases on revenue. The favorable impacts were significantly offset by unfavorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates. In addition, weaker market and economic conditions, as well as a lower level of customer orders and promotional activity, have led to reduced volume period over the period. Sales in our EMEA distributor markets, which accounted for 32% of the region's sales in the third quarter, increased by 16% compared to last year.

This increase in sales was driven primarily by the timing of customer orders, as well as the impact of price increases on revenue, particularly in India and Turkey where sales were up 106% and 103%, respectively. In addition, this is the first time in four quarters that our decision to suspend sales of our products to our marketing distributor customers in Russia and Belarus toward the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2022 has not negatively impacted our sales comparison on a year-over-year basis. In total, EMEA segment made up 37% of our global business in the third quarter. Now, on to Asia-Pacific.

Sales in Asia-Pacific, which includes Australia, China, and other countries in the Asia region, are up 42% in the third quarter to 18.1 million. In our Asia-Pacific distributor markets, sales are up 151% compared to last year. The products we sell in this region are sourced from a third-party manufacturer in Shanghai. In the comparable period of last year, we experienced severe supply chain disruptions caused by lockdowns that have been put in place in Shanghai due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

All regions in our Asia distributor markets experienced higher sales this quarter because similar disruptions did not take place this year. In addition, sales were positively impacted by sales price increases from period to period. The same dynamic also impacted China where sales were up 39% compared to last year. In addition, sales were favorably impacted by price increases.

Sales in China were unfavorably impacted by changes in foreign currency exchange rates. On a constant-currency basis, sales would have increased by 50% compared to last year. Partially offsetting these sales increases in Asia-Pacific was a decline in sales in Australia where sales declined 14% in the third quarter. This decline was due to a decrease in sales volume of both homecare and cleaning products and maintenance products driven by weaker market and economic conditions, as well as unfavorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates and the impact of price increases.

On a constant-currency basis, sales for Australia would have decreased by 6% compared to last year. In total, our Asia-Pacific segment made up 13% of our global business in the third quarter. Over the long term, we anticipate sales within this segment will grow between 10% to 13% annually. Now, let's talk about our global growth aspirations in Must-Win Battles.

One thing I've learned in my years as a business leader is that we have no control of the volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity around the world. Constant, unpredictable change is now the norm. As a global company with more than half of our revenues generated outside the U.S., we're exposed to the effect of changing foreign currency exchange rates, geopolitical unrest, and other economic fluctuations. Against that backdrop and since we're close to wrapping up fiscal year 2023 and will embark into fiscal year 2024 very soon, we believe it's an appropriate time to review our 2025 revenue targets.

Originally set in 2015 as long-term aspirational goals, we're now just a little over two years away from the end of fiscal year 2025. There were several things prompting us to revisit our 2025 growth aspiration, which, as a reminder, was to drive net sales of between 650 million to 700 million by the end of fiscal year 2025. First, since March of 2022, we've lost a significant amount of revenue due to our suspension of our sales into Russia and Belarus and disruptions in Ukraine due to the military action in that country. Second, we've recently experienced significant headwinds from foreign currency exchange rates.

Third, we'll soon be exploring options to further de-emphasize our homecare and cleaning brands. De-emphasizing these brands over time will create headspace for our tribe to bring an even greater focus to our higher-margin maintenance products. We are not establishing a new 2025 revenue target today. Instead, we're committing to target a compound annual growth rate for maintenance product revenue in the mid to high single digits on a non-GAAP constant-currency basis.

The bulk of that growth is expected to come from sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product to geographic expansion, increased penetration, premiumization, and supported by our continued investment in digital commerce. These Must-Win Battles are the primary areas of action that will enable us to deliver against our revenue growth targets. These hyper-focused actions are the key drivers of revenue growth. Our largest growth opportunity and first Must-Win Battle is geographic expansion of the blue and yellow can with a little red top.

In the third quarter, sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product were up 16%. I'm also happy to share with you that global sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product have returned to growth year to date. We've seen strong year-to-date sales in the United States, China, and Mexico, where sales of our flagship product were up 15%, 14%, and 14%, respectively. Those increased sales have been almost entirely offset by flat sales in our European direct market and losses in Russia, India, as well as in Latin America.

We continue to estimate the potential global growth opportunity for WD-40 Multi-Use Product is greater than $1 billion, and we have a high level of confidence that the WD-40 Multi-Use Product will finish this fiscal year in growth. A second Must-Win Battle is to grow the WD-40 Multi-Use Product through premiumization. Premiumization creates opportunities for revenue growth and gross margin expansion. Year to date, sales of WD-40 Smart Straw and EZ-Reach, when combined, were 142.2 million, up 1% compared to the prior-year period.

Sales of premiumized products represented 47% of global sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product year to date. Sales of premiumized products were up 13% in the Americas and 30% in Asia-Pacific. Those increased sales were almost entirely offset by low sales of premiumized products in EMEA. By the first quarter of FY '24, we expect to have fully implemented WD-40 Smart Straw next-generation capacity within the Americas and EMEA, and we will be able to expand sales of premiumized products more rapidly.

A third Must-Win Battle is to grow WD-40 Specialist. Sales of WD-40 Specialist were up 7% in the third quarter and 11% year to date. We saw solid growth for WD-40 Specialist across all three trade blocs this quarter with the Americas, EMEA, and Asia-Pacific experienced growth of 6%, 6%, and 15%, respectively. We're pleased that WD-40 Specialist is fully leveraging our most iconic assets: the blue and yellow brand with a little red top.

A final Must-Win Battle is focused on digital commerce. E-commerce sales were up over 35% both in the third quarter and year to date, primarily due to strong growth in the Americas. As I've shared with you in the past, our digital commerce strategy is about more than driving online sales; it's about driving awareness of our brands and teaching end users how to use them. With that end in mind and in support of one of my three strategic priorities pivoting the company toward a more sustainable future, I'm excited to share with you that we've recently launched our first global online marketing campaign that unites 30-plus markets under one message: Repair, Don't Replace.

The social media campaign is a perfect opportunity for us to inspire millions of doers, makers, fixers, and builders to use our products to extend the lifespan of their tools, worn-down equipment, bicycles, cars, or just about anything else, and keep them in circulation for longer, thus reducing waste, preserving valuable resources, and leaving a positive lasting handprint on the world. You can learn more about this global campaign by visiting our company website. Now, I'll turn the call over to Sara who'll provide you with a financial update on the business.

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Steve. Thank you for that overview of our sales results. I am pleased that we are once again experiencing top-line growth. Although currency and pricing-related disruptions continue to be a headwind for us, we believe our top-line growth will continue into the fourth quarter and that we will end the fiscal year in growth mode.

Let's start with a discussion about our business model and the long-term targets we use to guide our business. We target our gross margin to be at or above 55% of net sales. Our goal is to drive our cost of doing business, which is our total operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization, toward 30% of net sales over time. Finally, we target EBITDA to be at 25% over time.

We saw a strong period-over-period gross margin recovery this quarter driven by actions we have taken as part of our margin restoration plan. However, our gross margin has declined slightly sequentially. We know we still have a lot of work to do to return our margins to our targeted levels. Restoring our gross margin requires a systemic approach, and we have focused our efforts on such an approach over the last several quarters.

We continue to believe our full-year gross margin will be between 51% and 52%. Let's take a closer look at gross margin this quarter as compared to the third quarter of last year. In the third quarter, our gross margin was 50.6%, compared to 47.7% last year. This represents an improvement of 290 basis points year over year.

Price increases, which have been implemented over the last 12 months across all our markets and geographies, positively impacted our gross margin by 740 basis points year over year. In addition, we experienced decreases in miscellaneous other input costs and changes in foreign currency exchange rates, which positively impacted our margin by 210 and 60 basis points, respectively. The currency impact is due to fluctuations in the exchange rates for the euro against the pound sterling in our EMEA segment. The euro strengthened against the pound sterling, resulting in a favorable foreign currency transaction impact.

These positive impacts to gross margin were partially offset by changes in major input costs. Higher costs associated with specialty chemical costs and aerosol cans both negatively impacted our margin by 300 basis points each. Gross margin was also negatively impacted by 100 basis points from higher filling fees paid to our third-party contract manufacturers, primarily in the Americas. It can sometimes be helpful to look at our gross margin by trade bloc as well.

We continue to see sequential improvement in our Asia-Pacific trade bloc where our gross margin was 56.3% in the third quarter, up 100 basis points compared to the second quarter. While EMEA's gross margin of 52% was down slightly when compared to the second quarter, EMEA's gross margin has improved 700 basis points since its lowest level in the fourth quarter of 2022. Finally, the Americas gross margin was 48.2% in the third quarter, relatively constant compared to the second quarter, but has improved 240 basis points since its lowest level in the third quarter of 2022. As sales volumes continually improve and we continue to work our way through the inventory that remains on our balance sheet in the United States, we will realize more benefits of both price increases and slightly lower costs, which we expect will positively impact our gross margin in the Americas as we move into fiscal year 2024.

Our gross margin target of 55% is a critical component of our business model, and Steve and I remain committed to restoring gross margin to our target of 55% over the mid to long term. This completes the gross margin discussion. Now, on to the 30, the cost of doing business. In the third quarter, our cost of doing business was 32% compared to 31% last year.

Much of our cost of doing business is comprised of three areas: investments in the tribe, investments in brand building, and freight expense to get our products to our customers. Our cost of doing business increased by 6.3 million, or 16%, due to higher employee-related expenses, increased professional services fees, and increased costs associated with the implementation and licensing of cloud-based software systems. Travel and meeting expenses were also higher this year due to the reduction in travel restrictions related to the pandemic compared to last year. The investments we are making in marketing, advertising, and promotion increased period over period.

As a percentage of sales, our A&P investment was 5.4%, and in line with our expectations. This brings us to EBITDA, the last of the 55/30/25 measures. EBITDA is 20% of net sales this quarter, which is up from 17% compared to last year. We have sequentially improved EBITDA each quarter this year as our volumes have improved, but EBITDA continues to be under pressure due to the current inflationary environment.

Prior to fiscal year 2022, we had consistently delivered EBITDA between 20% and 22%. As I have shared with you in the past, my first priority is to get us back above 20% as we continue to focus on rebuilding our gross margins and look for sales volumes to recover post-price increases. Once we are consistently back at our historic 20% to 22% level, then we will look to leverage the business over the long term toward our 25% aspirational target. That completes the discussion on our business model.

Now, let's discuss some items that fall below the EBITDA line. Net income for the second quarter was 18.9 million versus 14.5 million in the prior year, reflecting an improvement of 30%. Changes in foreign currency exchange rates had an unfavorable impact on net income. On a constant-currency basis, net income would have improved 35% compared to the third quarter of last year.

Diluted earnings per common share for the quarter were $1.38 compared to $1.07 for the same period last year. Now, a word about our balance sheet and capital allocation strategy. The company's financial condition and liquidity are strong even as we continue to navigate a complex and uncertain global economic environment. Our capital allocation strategy includes a comprehensive approach to balance investing and long-term growth while providing strong returns to our shareholders.

I indicated earlier this year that we may elect to slow down our stock purchases under our current share buyback plan and utilize that cash to repay a portion of our current debt during the remainder of this fiscal year. Our cash flow from operations this quarter was 34.6 million, and we elected to use 20 million of that cash to pay down a portion of our short-term higher interest rate borrowings. In addition, we continue to return capital to our shareholders through regular dividends and buybacks. On June 20th, our board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.83 per share payable July 31st to stockholders of record at the close of business on July 14th, 2023.

During the third quarter, we repurchased approximately 10,000 shares of our stock at a total cost of approximately $1.8 million under our current 75 million share repurchase plan. I'm happy to share with you that our board of directors recently approved a new share repurchase plan so that we can continue our share repurchase activities over the next two fiscal years. Under the new plan, which will become effective September 1st, the company is authorized to acquire up to 50 million of its outstanding shares through August 31st, 2025. Historically, our business model has been asset-light, which has typically required low levels of capital investment roughly between 1% and 2% of sales.

In fiscal year 2023, we expect to invest about 7 million in capital projects, which is down approximately $2 million from our prior expectations. I am also pleased to share with you that our inventory levels continue to improve as expected. Our inventory levels have gone from approximately 109 million at the end of the second quarter to 95 million at the end of the third quarter, which is a reduction of over 12%. We anticipate our inventory levels will continue to decline for the rest of this fiscal year.

While we don't plan to be at pre-COVID inventory levels anytime soon, I am pleased with our progress and with the flexibility that we have built into our global supply chain. We are now moving into a space where we can focus on optimizing our network instead of rebuilding it. So, with that, let's turn to guidance. As Steve indicated earlier, we are pleased to have returned to solid top-line growth in the third fiscal quarter.

While we are reiterating our guidance today, we do continue to operate in a volatile environment, and we will likely come in at the low end of our guidance range. We expect, assuming foreign currency exchange rates remain close to current levels, net sales growth is projected to be between 3.5% and 7.5%, with net sales between 535 million and 560 million. Gross margin for the full year is expected to be between 51% and 52%. Advertising and promotion investments is projected to be between 5% and 5.5 % of net sales.

The provision for income tax is expected to be around 21%. Net income is projected to be between 64.5 million and 68.5 million. And diluted earnings per share is expected to be between $4.80 and $5 based on an estimated 13.6 million weighted average shares outstanding. Our projections for fiscal year 2023 reflect fluctuating foreign currency exchange rates.

Without those currency headwinds, our sales growth projection would have been between 6.5% and 11.5% of net sales. We also want to remind everyone that there are dynamics outside our control that may impact our fiscal year 2023 results. This guidance does not include any future acquisitions or divestitures. That completes the financial overview.

Now, back to Steve.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Sara. In summary, what did you hear from us on this call? You heard that net sales in constant currency were up 18% for the quarter and 7% year to date. You heard that we saw volume-related sales growth this quarter at a consolidated level. You heard that sales of WD-40 Multi-Use Product were up 16% for the quarter and have returned to growth year to date.

You heard that sales of WD-40 Specialist were up 7% for the quarter and 11% year to date. You heard that we continue to make outstanding progress in digital and e-commerce and that our e-commerce sales have grown 35% in both the quarter and year to date. You heard that we recently launched our first-ever global online marketing campaign that unites 30-plus markets under one message: Repair, Don't Replace. You heard that although we continue to experience pressure on gross margin, we are making progress on our margin restoration plan and remain committed to restoring margins to our target of 55% over the mid to long term.

You heard that we continue to return capital to investors through regular dividends and buybacks, that our board of directors recently approved a new share repurchase plan. You heard that inventory levels continue to improve and we anticipate they will continue to decline for the remainder of this fiscal year. You heard that, long term, we are targeting a compound annual growth rate for maintenance product revenues in the mid to high single digits on a non-GAAP constant-currency basis. And you heard that while we are reiterating our guidance today, we do continue to operate in a volatile environment, and we will likely come in at the lower end of our guidance range.

Thank you for joining our call today. We'd now be pleased to answer your questions.

Questions & Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] One moment please for the first question. Your first question comes from the line of Linda Bolton-Weiser with D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Yes, hello. Congratulations on a strong quarter. So, I was wondering about how we should think about the next quarter in terms of you're starting to anniversary the first of the big price increases. So, we had Americas sales up about 25% due to pricing in last year's fourth quarter.

So, I'm kind of wondering, you know, how we should think about that. Are we still going to be expecting to see strong sales growth overall in the Americas, just for example, or is that going to really flatten out because of the hard comparison? Any color on that would be very helpful.

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Linda, this is Sara. Can you hear me OK?

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Yes, yes. Uh-huh.

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, yes, we do. We are lapping the larger price increase in the Americas that started to affect the business in the fourth quarter of last year. But EMEA is a quarter behind, so we actually are anticipating there still to be, you know, some impact of price, not at the same levels globally that we've seen through the first three quarters. So, we will, in the fourth quarter, believe that there will be price increase, just not at the same level that we're seeing this quarter, offset by some of the volume declines that we have been guiding to, I think, for the full year, which is in the high -- high single digits, really low double digits is where we think we'll end the year from a volume loss perspective, and that includes Russia.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

And can you just -- Sara, I don't know if you said it, in the quarter, what was the -- what was the core volume, excluding Russia, year over year? And what was the price overall year over year in the quarter?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So, during the quarter, year over year, price had a 17% impact, and volume was -- was actually pretty close to flat. So, we had the significant volume growth in our Asia-Pac region, and then that was offset by volume losses in both the Americas and EMEA, but again, at much lower levels than what we've seen in the first and second quarter. So, the trend kind of on that turnaround we're really starting to see this quarter.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

OK. So, then, in fourth quarter, it would seem like the price element will come down and the volume --

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yes.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Will be better. Is that the way to think about it?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think -- go ahead, sorry.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Linda, I think -- this is Steve. Yeah, I think, overall, it's exactly what -- so, I mean, if you look at our U.S. market, which is our furthest market kind of ahead on the price increase gain, our volumes in Q3 at point of sale, so what's actually selling out in the market, actually turned neutral. And on Multi-Use Product, they actually turned positive.

They're up 3% for the quarter at point-of-sale level. So, we did absolutely begin to see a turnaround in our volumes. And so, we're cautiously optimistic that -- you know, that will be reduced to a volume level loss in the high single digits for the full fiscal year.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

OK. And then, you know, just on the cost elements, you know, I think you renegotiate your can contracts toward the beginning of each calendar year, and I just would like to kind of backtrack. And I mean, I would think the negotiation for early 2023 was favorable. And if that's the case, do we still have a quarter or something before that flows in? I'm just wondering why we're still seeing such an unfavorable can cost comparison?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, the can cost that was negotiated for this year on a -- on a global basis was actually pretty neutral. So, we saw two different things happening in two different regions. In one region, we had some small decreases in the can cost, and in the other region, we had small increases. So, they are offsetting.

So, we aren't really globally seeing that much relief on the cost of the -- of the actual tin plate can that's -- this sell for -- for this fiscal year. And really, we won't -- we won't see that until we get well into next calendar year. Assuming the spot prices stay where they are today, we'll have an opportunity to renegotiate those prices. But even at the spot prices, there are still -- the increase of the tin plate and the cost to convert that into our can is still running higher with labor and overhead costs.

So, it's not -- it's not a one-for-one decrease when you look at spot on its own. So, that's kind of the other piece of this inflationary environment that is -- is hindering us in the recovery is just the -- the overhead and labor costs to convert everything is higher and those are sticking.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

OK. And then, I was a little bit interested to hear you say that -- something about your homecare and cleaning that you're sort of de-emphasizing it. Or I mean, are you thinking of actually divesting some product lines or something? Or can you give more color on that statement?

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so we have no firm plans to -- to exit any of those brands that are under the household brand kind of category. What we're saying is we're going to take a strategic look. And so, as we think out long term and to our long-term kind of future, I mean those brands are now a $33 million revenue stream. They were significantly more than that.

And so, we've kind of, you know, harvested them for the last few years. So, I think we're taking a look at the future of those now. And you know, as we think about having to kind of innovate for sustainability in the future, then we need to create more head space within the organization to -- to achieve that. So, no firm plans as of today.

We're just signaling to investors that we are taking a strategic look at those brands.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

OK. And then, one last one for me. I mean, I was trying to read your comments or your -- your tone about the debt paydown. Are you kind of signaling that you did some? And then -- so, for now, that's enough, that paydown, and you're going to switch a little bit more back to share repurchase? Or how should we read into that?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, we -- we were very pleased with the cash flows that came in this quarter and -- and really, the $20 million was -- was used to pay down just this quarter. We do anticipate -- if you look at where our debt balance is today and compare it to where we were a year ago, we're still running about $10 million higher as a result of those investments that we made in the supply chain. So, I would like to see us pay down a little bit more debt over the next quarter or two and then be able to -- to increase -- and increase our share repurchases, assuming that's what we decide to do with our excess capital.

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

OK. That sounds good. Thank you very much.

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Great. Thanks, Linda.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Rizzo with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Dan Rizzo -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Hi, guys. Thank you for taking my question. So, with all things being equal on the input cost front, if things don't get markedly worse, I just -- do we have a kind of a general idea when -- when possibly we can get back to 55% gross margins? Is it two years, five years? I mean, is there anything to kind of how to think about that?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, we do believe -- you know, price has been the primary driver in the margin recovery to date. And at this point, we are moving into really optimizing our supply chain, and those strategic drivers to move from where we are today to get back up to the 55 are going to take some time to execute on, and then see results in the business. So, we do not believe we'll be at the 55% next fiscal year, but I do believe we will be making strides and step changes to get closer to that 55%. So, we're not going to -- it's hard to pinpoint a time when we're looking out beyond a year.

So, I'm not going to commit to a date yet, but we will be making progress next year. And I think you're looking at longer than a year to get there.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

And, Daniel, if I can just add to that -- if I can just add to that, this is Steve. You know, if you look at it by trading bloc, it helps as well, right? So, if you look at where our Asia-Pacific trading bloc is, we're at 56% now. So, we're already back up above that 55% target. So, you know, that's, you know, strong increase off the low that they had in Q4 of last year of 500 basis points, I believe.

You know, EMEA has recovered very strongly, 700 basis points of their low in Q4, as Sara kind of highlighted. And so, they're at 52% at the end of Q3. So, it's really about the Americas. And the real kind of drag in the Americas is the fact that we have these high inventory levels, which were purchased at higher cost prices between six and nine months ago, and so we're waiting for that to flow through.

And so, that's going to be a big kind of kicker to gross margin as is reverting to our more strategic gross margin strategy of premiumization, international expansion, WD-40 Specialist, etc.

Dan Rizzo -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Got you. That's very helpful. And then, in -- so, Asia was fairly strong. I know, in the past, there's been some order timing that kind of made the quarter stand out.

I was wondering if there was any benefit in -- in Asia-Pacific from order timing in the third quarter.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Oh, yes, there was. So, we had this strange kind of goings on between last year with the lockdown in Shanghai where we had a very poor third quarter. So, the comparable kind of quarter performance this year, you know, looks -- looks better than that. It was because of the poor prior year.

You know, it was a strong performance all the same. So, yes, there's that factor between Q3 and Q4 in Asia in terms of that whole lockdown dynamic when some of the business last year moved into Q4, right?

Dan Rizzo -- Jefferies -- Analyst

OK. That's helpful. And then, I just noticed that there was some inventory -- a little bit of inventory write-down in the quarter. I don't know, is that something that's -- that's kind of ongoing that? Or is that just -- just a small thing that's kind of more usual?

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, that's just a small thing. I wouldn't -- I wouldn't expect that to continue as we continue to expand our filler network. We do go through testing to bring those fillers online. And as you can imagine, sometimes, you know, you're going through testing, and it's -- you need to work through the kinks in order to get the product to come out and pass all the quality tests.

So, there was just a little bit of write-down associated with the final test that we're running through our -- one of our third-party fillers in the Americas.

Dan Rizzo -- Jefferies -- Analyst

OK. All right. Thank you very much.

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

You're welcome.

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 0 minutes

Call participants:

Wendy Kelley -- Vice President of Stakeholder and Investor Engagement

Steve Brass -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Sara Hyzer -- Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Linda Bolton-Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Dan Rizzo -- Jefferies -- Analyst

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