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Why Compass Stock Lost 29% in May

By Jeremy Bowman - Jun 9, 2021 at 2:40PM

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Shares of the real estate brokerage fell as the IPO cooled off and its first earnings report underwhelmed.

What happened

Shares of Compass (COMP -0.43%), the real estate brokerage that went public in April, fell 29% last month as the post-IPO hype faded and the company's first earnings report failed to impress investors.

As you can see from the chart below, the stock steadily fell over the course of the first half of the month before stabilizing later in May.

COMP Chart

COMP data by YCharts

So what

The Softbank-backed real estate brokerage went public in April in a splashy debut, taking advantage of a boom in the residential real estate market during the pandemic. 

A realtor talking to a couple outside a house.

Image source: Getty Images.

The company is now the country's second-largest real estate brokerage, and fetched a valuation near $10 billion when it began trading, more than Redfin and more than four times higher than Realogy, the country's largest brokerage, which owns brands like Century 21, Coldwell Banker, and Corcoran. That sparked some concerns that it was overpriced, though it's now valued below $6 billion.

In its first earnings report as a public company, Compass reported 80% revenue growth to $1.1 billion as it lapped the initial pause in home sales during the early stages of the pandemic. That figure topped estimates at $968.7 million. Meanwhile, gross transaction value rose 75% to $43.8 billion, and the company's market share improved from 3.8% to 5.2%. However, Compass continued to lose money, posting an adjusted EBITDA loss of $31 million, though that was an improvement from a loss of $102 million. On the bottom line, it finished the quarter with an adjusted net loss of $64 million, compared to a loss of $69 million a year ago.

CEO Robert Reffkin said: "I am thrilled by Compass' outstanding first quarter financial and operational results, our first as a public company. In Q1, we executed against our growth strategy, thoughtfully expanded our business geographically and added new functionality to our end-to-end platform for agents."

Now what

Unlike Redfin or Zillow, Compass is not a digital-first company. It's a traditional real estate brokerage that says its digital platform gives it a competitive advantage. The company has grown quickly since its 2012 founding thanks to a series of expansions and acquisitions, and now operates in at least 45 cities.

Compass' growth has been impressive, but like Uber and DoorDash, two other Softbank-backed companies, the top-line growth may be covering up a flawed business model as the company has spent lavishly to attract star agents in a way that seems unsustainable. For now, this stock is best avoided until the valuation becomes more reasonable or the company takes meaningful steps toward profitability.

 

Jeremy Bowman owns shares of Redfin. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Redfin, Zillow Group (A shares), and Zillow Group (C shares). The Motley Fool recommends Softbank Group and Uber Technologies and recommends the following options: short August 2021 $65 puts on Redfin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Stocks Mentioned

Compass, Inc. Stock Quote
Compass, Inc.
COMP
$4.68 (-0.43%) $0.02
Realogy Holdings Corp. Stock Quote
Realogy Holdings Corp.
RLGY
$12.46 (-3.26%) $0.42
Zillow Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Zillow Group, Inc.
ZG
$39.05 (-1.56%) $0.62
SoftBank Group Corp. Stock Quote
SoftBank Group Corp.
SFTBF
$43.83 (4.08%) $1.72
Uber Technologies, Inc. Stock Quote
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER
$32.49 (0.06%) $0.02
Zillow Group, Inc. Stock Quote
Zillow Group, Inc.
Z
$39.06 (-1.44%) $0.57
Redfin Corporation Stock Quote
Redfin Corporation
RDFN
$11.89 (-6.82%) $0.87
DoorDash, Inc. Stock Quote
DoorDash, Inc.
DASH
$77.76 (0.50%) $0.39

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