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Does Bill Miller Think McGrath Rentcorp Is Attractive?

By David Meier - Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 12:11PM

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This master investor has a formula for big returns.

Bill Miller seems befuddled. In his July 2010 commentary, he wonders why investors keep purchasing 10-year Treasuries yielding about 3%, when companies like ExxonMobil offer much higher potential returns.

His formula for Exxon is straightforward: "A sum of the dividend yield, growth rate and share shrink could represent an attractive annual return even if the valuation stays the same, and the valuation is among the lowest the company has traded at in years." When you add up the components, Exxon could offer 16.4% returns per year in a low-return environment.

I'm no less baffled than Miller by investors' preference for bonds, but I do think he's on to something. To see whether more Miller-like opportunities like Exxon were out there, I looked for companies with:

  • A dividend yield greater than the 3% 10-year Treasury yield.
  • A five-year track record of dividend growth.
  • A history of repurchasing shares.
  • A price-to-earnings ratio less than 25.

Here's what I found:

Company

Yield

5-Year Dividend Growth

Share Shrink

P/E

McGrath Rentcorp (Nasdaq: MGRC)

3.9%

15.1%

0%

17.0

United Rentals (NYSE: URI)

0%

0%

0.3%

NM

Mobile Mini (Nasdaq: MINI)

0%

0%

0%

33.0

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

From the table above, McGrath Rentcorp fits Miller's criteria perfectly. It pays a 3.9% dividend that has been growing 15.1%, on average, for the past five years. The company also trades at 17 times earnings and produces plenty of cash flow to repurchase shares. As you can see from the table above, United Rentals and Mobile Mini don't pay a dividend to shareholders. So they don't make the grade for this exercise.

Foolish bottom line
Would Bill Miller consider investing in McGrath Rentcorp? It meets all the criteria above, and it could offer a 19% return over time -- although it will be hard for the company to maintain such a dividend growth rate. In today's low-return environment, that's pretty attractive. I don't know why the market is offering up this opportunity, but as long as it is, McGrath Rentcorp could be worth pursuing further.

Million Dollar Portfolio associate advisor David Meier does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. Mobile Mini is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. The Motley Fool owns shares of ExxonMobil. The Fool's disclosure policy never goes out of style.

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Stocks Mentioned

Mobile Mini, Inc. Stock Quote
Mobile Mini, Inc.
MINI
McGrath Rentcorp Stock Quote
McGrath Rentcorp
MGRC
$84.07 (-0.14%) $0.12
United Rentals, Inc. Stock Quote
United Rentals, Inc.
URI
$321.19 (-0.69%) $-2.24

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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