If you don't think mutual funds are exciting, think again. Funds can surge and plunge, just like stocks, but a rising fund won't necessarily keep doing so. Still, volatility isn't a reason to rule out a fund. Just look at the Forester Value (FVALX) fund.
When the gruesome year 2008 ended, Forester Value stood alone as the only U.S. stock fund still in the black. Fund manager Tom Forester managed that by avoiding the free-falling financial sector in favor of defensive stocks such as McDonald's and Johnson & Johnson
Part of Forester's success was also tied to being heavily in cash for part of the year, thereby avoiding losses with that money. He was reportedly heavy on cash again recently, to the tune of 18% of the fund's assets as of the end of March. If the market surges soon, being in cash could hurt him. Still, a good investor follows his or her convictions, and as of late March, Forester seemed to expect bigger bargains in the future.
The next chapter
After Forester Value's terrific 2008 performance, many people would have expected its success to continue. But the best fund one year can easily be the next year's big loser. Forester wasn't exactly a loser, but it did drop from being in the top 1% of peer-group funds in 2008 to the bottom quarter of the pack in 2009. This yo-yo effect is nothing new: The fund went from first to last between 2003 and 2004.
That said, Forester has beaten the market over the past three, five, and 10 years. When the market has dropped sharply, the fund has often fared especially well, smoothing the overall ride for shareholders.
The future matters most
In Fortune magazine, Forester recently waxed bullish on Hewlett-Packard
Forester has explained: "I'm basically a low P/E buyer. Low-valuation stocks generally get the best performance over a full market cycle." He's made Bristol-Myers Squibb
If you want a conservative, value-focused manager at the helm, then Forester Value is a fund worth considering -- provided you've got the stomach for its ups and downs.
Microsoft is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. Johnson & Johnson is a Motley Fool Income Investor selection. Motley Fool Options has recommended buying calls on Johnson & Johnson and a diagonal call position on Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.
More from The Motley Fool
No Holiday Reprieve for 2 of the Biggest Retail Train Wrecks
Most department store chains have posted surprisingly strong results for the 2017 holiday season. However, these perennial laggards couldn't capitalize on the uptick in consumer spending.
3 Stocks That Could Put Amazon's Returns to Shame
These three tickers could be better bets than Amazon for new investors right now.
Will This iPhone Supplier’s Terrific Run Continue in 2018?
Lumentum's growing momentum in 3D sensing could help it overcome the weakness in the telecom segment.