Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Why Shares of AerCap Are Up Today

By Lou Whiteman – May 5, 2020 at 12:07PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

First-quarter earnings came in better than expected.

What happened

Shares of AerCap Holdings (AER -0.40%) spiked 19% at the open Tuesday after the airplane leasing specialist reported better-than-expected earnings and laid out its case for why it will survive the COVID-19 pandemic. The stock fell back down after the open but is still handily outpacing the S&P 500 in midday trading.

So what

Shares of AerCap have lost about half their value this year due to fears the company would be dragged down by troubles experienced by its customers. Airlines have been hit hard by the pandemic, and with travel demand down 90% year over year, the carriers are looking to cut costs, including shedding unneeded airplanes.

Many of those planes are owned by AerCap, which buys new planes directly from the manufacturers and leases them to the airlines. With airlines retrenching, AerCap's business is almost certain to take a hit, and investors have reacted by racing to the sidelines.

Tuesday's earnings release suggests that the stock sell-off was an overreaction. AerCap reported first-quarter earnings of $2.14 per share on revenue of $1.24 billion, surpassing estimates for $1.75 per share in earnings on $1.18 billion in sales. Leasing rents and net interest margin were both down slightly year over year, but overall, the business held up well.

A ground worker guides an airplane to the gate.

Image source: Getty Images.

"The COVID-19 pandemic is creating significant challenges for the global aviation industry and for economies around the world," CEO Aengus Kelly said in a statement. "AerCap entered this crisis in a position of strength, with a strong balance sheet and liquidity position, an attractive aircraft portfolio and a high-quality customer base including many of the world's leading airlines."

The second quarter and beyond are likely to be worse, but AerCap is taking steps to prepare. The company has reduced full-year capital expenditures by $2.3 billion in part by revising its new-plane delivery schedule. The company said that all the planes it takes on delivery between now and December 2021 are leased.

The company is also granting lease deferrals of two to three months to try to help its customers through the crisis, which will affect 2020 revenue.

Now what

At quarter's end, AerCap had about $11 billion in available liquidity, with more than $28 billion in unencumbered assets it can borrow against if needed.

More importantly, the planes in AerCap's portfolio are relatively young and will be attractive to carriers once the pandemic is contained and travel begins to return to normal, no matter how long that takes. Given we are likely flying into a recession, it is possible some of the airlines that AerCap does business with will not make it, but hard assets like airplanes will remain in demand by the survivors.

It's a difficult time to have a business tied to the aviation sector, but coming out of earnings on Tuesday, AerCap appears undervalued.

Lou Whiteman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Stocks Mentioned

AerCap Holdings Stock Quote
AerCap Holdings
$60.00 (-0.40%) $0.24

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.