U.S. home construction starts jumped 22.6% in July, the best gain since October 2016, as builders react to record low interest rates and a resilient economy by increasing residential building.
Residential starts jumped to a 1.496 million annualized rate in July, according to U.S. Census data released Tuesday, beating analyst expectations for 1.25 million. Building permit applications came in at an annualized rate of 1.495 million, better than the 1.3 million consensus estimate and up 18% from June.
Housing starts are a measure of the number of new residential construction projects that began in a month and aren't directly tied to demand. But builders normally increase construction based on inbound interest, implying they are seeing strong demand for new housing.
Single-family home permits increased by 17% to an annualized rate of 983,000, the strongest number since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Multifamily starts, a category that includes apartment buildings and condominiums, surged 58% to 556,000 annualized.
The strength in residential construction is being fueled by low interest rates and increasing consumer confidence that the economy will be able to withstand the pandemic. A 30-year fixed rate mortgage is currently priced at less than 3.2%, and a 15-year mortgage is about 2.66%, giving would-be buyers plenty of reason to go shopping.
The strong permit applications number is an indication that builders intend to be active for a while, and are not just playing catch-up following a few rough months during the pandemic.
The strong housing data should be good news for homebuilders including KB Home (NYSE:KBH), NVR (NYSE:NVR), LGI Homes (NASDAQ:LGIH), and Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH), as well as for home improvement retailers Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Lowe's (NYSE:LOW).