Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

3 Software Stocks You'll Wish You'd Bought Today Five Years From Now

By Chris Neiger, Danny Vena, and Brian Withers - May 22, 2021 at 8:30AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Avoid investment regrets by snatching up these stocks.

Software stocks have been a bit erratic in 2021, but that shouldn't deter investors from looking for fantastic long-term bets. The short-term volatility that some tech stocks have experienced won't last forever and investors will be glad that they scooped up shares when others were panicking. 

If you're in the market for some great software stocks that five years from now you'll really wish you'd bought, then you need to take a closer look at Twilio (TWLO 1.84%), Okta (OKTA 2.63%), and Roku (ROKU 1.63%). Here's why. 

A man looking at a tablet while sitting at a desk..

Image source: Getty Images.

Enabling customer communications, anytime, anywhere

Danny Vena (Twilio): Being able to reach your customers where they are and communicate across a multitude of channels can be the difference between success and failure, a lesson that was hammered home during the pandemic. That's where Twilio comes in.

The company created a framework that developers can use to embed communications tools across their apps and software, allowing customers to reach out in a way that best suits them. Twilio's communications platform as a service (CPaaS) is the industry standard, and works behind the scenes processing texts, chats, phone calls, and even video -- all on the app.

Many consumers have used the service without even knowing it. The text and chat prompts that help you update a lost or expired password, in-app chats with customer service, and the real-time updates you get about the progress of your shopping, food delivery, or ride-share? Many of those customer interactions were facilitated by Twilio's technology.

Businesses don't want to reinvent the wheel, preferring to license Twilio's industry-leading solutions, rather than developing costly and potentially less effective tools in-house. This provides Twilio with a large recurring revenue stream that will only grow larger from here.

The company's revenue grew 62% year over year in the first quarter, accelerating from 57% growth in the same period last year. At the same time, Twilio's adjusted net income nearly tripled. The company's large and growing client base helped fuel the results, with 235,000 active customers, which grew 24%. 

Even more impressive is Twilio's ability to expand its relationship with existing customers. Its dollar-based net expansion rate hit 133% in the first quarter, meaning that its current customers spent 33% more than they did in the year-ago quarter. This process of "land and expand" has been remarkably consistent, as Twilio's dollar-based net expansion rate has remained above 125% in each of the past nine quarters. 

This alone would be enough reason to buy and hold Twilio stock, but because of the ongoing digital transformation, the company has much bigger ambitions. Twilio is working to morph its business into a full-service, end-to-end customer engagement platform, acquiring numerous smaller businesses to help facilitate its evolution. 

Late last year, Twilio acquired Segment, the market-leading customer data platform, which helps businesses move customer data between apps. In recent months, it picked up the pace, snapping up ValueFirst, India's leader in cloud communications, Zipwhip, which allows businesses to text customers from landline phones, and Ionic Security, a leading data security platform. 

This activity has greatly expanded Twilio's total addressable market (TAM), which now clocks in at $79 billion, according to management estimates. When viewed in the light of the company's 2020 revenue of just $1.76 billion, it shows a massive and growing opportunity and why investors will wish they had bought this stock five years from now.

A woman using a computer.

Image source: Getty Images.

In the cloud, your identity is everything

Brian Withers (Okta): In March, Okta announced it was acquiring Auth0, a developer-centric identity management platform, for $6.5 billion. The deal officially closed in May. Auth0's CEO, Eugenio Pace, who will continue to lead his organization, explained the importance of identity in the cloud era at Okta's recent investor day event.

Well, if anything, 2020 has shown us that anything is digital, everything. Education, our healthcare, our entertainment, everything, it's technology surrounding us. And there's one thing that they have in common is that they all need to know who we are. And so the opportunity is massive.

He's right. Okta has barely tapped into its addressable market with 2% penetration into its workforce identity market of $35 billion and 1% into its customer identity addressable opportunity of $30 billion. On top of that, it now has products to reach into the privileged access management and identity governance administration markets, expanding its total addressable market by another $15 billion. Add all that up and Okta's total addressable market is now a massive $80 billion.

In addition to its huge market, this identity management specialist is growing at a torrid pace. In the most recent quarter, top-line revenue grew at a solid 41% year-over-year pace while remaining performance obligations (the total dollar value of contracts not yet fulfilled) grew even faster at 49%. Customers spending more than $100,000 in annual contract value (ACV) grew 33% year over year, but larger customers grew even faster for the year. Customers spending more than $500,000 and $1 million annually both grew more than 50% for the full year.

Metric

Q4 2020

Q3 2021

Q4 2021 

Change (QOQ)

Change (YOY)

Revenue

$167 million

$217 million

$235 million

8%

41%

>$100K ACV customers 

1,467

1,780

1,950

10%

33%

Remaining performance obligations

$1.2 billion

$1.6 billion

$1.8 billion

14%

49%

Data source: Okta earnings reports and earnings calls. Note: Q4 2021 ended Jan. 31, 2021.

But even with all of this positive news, the stock is down more than 20% from its high in February. With cloud software becoming the norm for businesses, Okta's identity management platform tools will become a "must-have" for large company information technology teams. This platform-as-a-service company announces its Q1 results next week, but regardless of short-term stock swings after earnings, savvy investors would do well to take a bite of Okta's stock today. Your future self will thank you.

A woman sitting on a couch and pointing a TV remote.

Image source: Getty Images.

The best way to play the video streaming wars 

Chris Neiger (Roku): There's no shortage of video streaming services these days, with Apple, Amazon, Hulu, Walt Disney, Netflix, HBO, and a host of others vying for viewers' attention. 

But what if there were a company that could benefit from all of these services at once, no matter which was creating the best content? Well, there is, and it's Roku. The company makes money every time a user signs up for a streaming service on its platform -- and business is booming

Roku's revenue skyrocketed 79% in the first quarter to $574 million and the company posted a surprise profit of $0.54 per diluted share, which blew past analysts' consensus estimate of a loss of $0.13 per share. 

Viewers are spending more time than ever streaming video on Roku's platform and in the first quarter total streaming hours reached 18.3 billion hours, up 49% year over year.

And those viewers aren't just spending more time watching TV through Roku's platform, they're also spending more on the platform as well. The company's average revenue per user (ARPU) increased 32% to $32.14.

Some investors may think Roku is just a stay-at-home stock that benefited during lockdowns and strict social distancing last year, but that view is a bit shortsighted. Roku has become one of the leading connected TV platforms and has plenty more room to grow. 

Consider that Roku is just beginning to tap into a connected-TV advertising market, which is expected to double in size in the U.S. between 2020 and 2024.

As Roku expands into this fast-growing advertising market and continues to benefit from its phenomenal growth in the shift from traditional TV to streaming services, this stock looks like a fantastic bet for long-term investors.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Brian Withers owns shares of Okta and Twilio. Chris Neiger owns shares of Apple. Danny Vena owns shares of Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Okta, Roku, Twilio, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Okta, Roku, Twilio, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1,920 calls on Amazon, long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple, short January 2022 $1,940 calls on Amazon, and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Okta Stock Quote
Okta
OKTA
$107.22 (2.63%) $2.75
Twilio Inc. Stock Quote
Twilio Inc.
TWLO
$86.48 (1.84%) $1.56
Roku Stock Quote
Roku
ROKU
$83.60 (1.63%) $1.34

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
377%
 
S&P 500 Returns
123%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 08/09/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.