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Why Arista Networks Rose 19.2% in October

By Billy Duberstein – Nov 8, 2021 at 8:17AM

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Turns out, it was just a warmup to an even better November.

What happened

Shares of Arista Networks (ANET 3.89%) rose 19.2% in October, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The company didn't report earnings until November, which proved to be another catalyst. Instead, Arista rose in October on higher sentiment for the tech sector after inflation fears dogged technology stocks in September.

More specifically, a big announcement from a key Arista customer underpinned last month's rise.

Closeup of ethernet plugs going into a network switch.

Image source: Getty Images.

So what

In October, two key customers, Microsoft (MSFT 4.19%) and Facebook (META 3.02%) reported strong results, which was likely to boost Arista's numbers as well. In 2019, those two companies combined for 40% of Arista's revenue, while in 2020, Facebook decelerated its purchases and accounted for less than 10% of sales. However, Microsoft remained a big spender, accounting for 21.5% of Arista's sales in 2020.

During October, however, Facebook reported earnings, and forecast heavy investments going forward as it builds out AR/VR applications for the metaverse. The company guided to 2022 capital expenditures increasing more than 50% over 2021 levels as it builds out its data centers for AI and machine learning -- data centers that will likely be filled with many Arista switches.  

Now what

Arista has already surged another 30% in November on the back of strong third-quarter earnings. Revenue rose 23.7% to $748.7 million, and adjusted (non-GAAP) earnings per share came in at $2.96, up 22.3%. Both figures handily beat analyst expectations, and fourth-quarter guidance also exceeded expectations as well. The company also authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program, boosting sentiment further.

As cloud computing takes off in the 2020s, Arista should benefit... though the stock may take a breather at some point after its rapid two-month surge. 

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Billy Duberstein owns shares of Meta Platforms, Inc. and Microsoft and has the following options: short February 2022 $175 puts on Microsoft, short February 2022 $185 puts on Microsoft, short January 2022 $195 puts on Meta Platforms, Inc., short January 2022 $205 puts on Microsoft, and short June 2022 $145 puts on Microsoft. His clients may own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Arista Networks, Meta Platforms, Inc., and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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