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Why Virgin Galactic Stock Popped -- Then Dropped Today

By Rich Smith - Jan 25, 2021 at 12:03PM

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Virgin Galactic completes back-to-back test flights ... of the mothership.

What happened

Virgin Galactic (SPCE -0.46%) stock rocketed in early trading Monday, flying to an impressive 13% gain at first -- and then losing it all.

Shares of the space-tourism pioneer actually nosedived to a 6% loss at one point this morning, before recovering. As of 11:20 a.m. EST, the stock is once again on the upswing, notching a 3.5% gain -- but still gyrating wildly.

VMS Eve on the runway preparing for Friday Jan. 22 test flight.

Image source: Virgin Galactic.

So what

What news is driving Virgin Galactic stock today, and why can't investors make up their minds whether it's good news or bad?

Here's the thing: Investors have been waiting for months to see Virgin Galactic wrap up its flight-test schedule, move ahead to letting its founder and CEO take a test flight up to space and back, and then open its space-tourism flights to the general public -- at which point, Virgin Galactic can begin collecting revenue and maybe even make a profit.

Last week, the company announced back-to-back successful test flights, and that probably ginned up some enthusiasm among investors. But here's the other thing: Both of those test flights were of the company's VMS Eve "mothership" aircraft -- the one that carries the VSS Unity spaceplane that will go to space -- and not test flights of the spaceplane itself.

Now what

Investors really want to see successful test flights of the spaceplane. After all, we already know that the mothership flies just fine, as it's done so multiple times. It was Virgin's spaceplane that failed its flight test in December, and that's the news that investors are really waiting for -- a successful trip to space and back by VSS Unity, flying out of its new home spaceport.

In that regard, though, here's the good news: Historically, Virgin Galactic precedes VSS Unity test flights with a couple of VMS Eve test flights, making sure Unity's pilots' skills are sharp before the main event begins. This suggests that a VSS Unity test flight could be approaching rapidly -- and with it, a chance for Virgin Galactic stock to get back on track.

Stay tuned.

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