Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Why Virgin Galactic Stock Tumbled Today

By Rich Smith – Oct 18, 2021 at 4:15PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As Blue Origin soars, Virgin Galactic looks stuck.

What happened

Shares of Virgin Galactic (SPCE 2.60%) stock tumbled 4.2% as of 9:50 a.m. EDT Monday morning. Just a few days earlier, rival space tourism pioneer Blue Origin scored a public relations coup by sending Star Trek star William Shatner to space aboard its New Shepard suborbital spaceship.

He made it home safely, by the way. I saw him hale and healthy just this weekend at the Indianapolis ComicCon.

William Shatner addressing an audience at ComicCon Indy.

Image source: Author photo.

Last week, this PR win by its rival contributed to a 13.5% decline in Virgin Galactic's stock price. Today, however, Virgin Galactic's troubles come from another source: Swiss megabank UBS.

So what

As StreetInsider.com reports today, UBS has just downgraded Virgin Galactic stock to sell and cut its price target on the shares nearly in half, to $15.

Repeated delays in the start-up of Virgin Galactic's own space tourism operations are the reason for the downgrade, the analyst explained. As Blue Origin was preparing to conduct its second successful tourism flight, Virgin Galactic was falling behind: "In early September, what was supposed to be a late Sept powered flight [for Virgin] was delayed to late Oct following a supplier part issue. Late last week, that next powered flight was pushed to 3Q22 with commercial service starting in 4Q22, driving our estimates lower."

Now what

Neither Virgin Galactic nor Blue Origin is currently a profitable operation. As such, the value of the companies will for the foreseeable future be driven by PR events such as Blue Origin's Shatner launch last week. But as Blue racks up PR win after PR win, Virgin Galactic's "event path" looks "disjointed," says UBS.

"For the better part of the next year," warns UBS, there is little chance of Virgin Galactic having much good news to announce. The company may be able to report progress on its "Delta class design" -- an improved version of its SpaceShipTwo spacecraft -- in November. In the meantime, however, Blue Origin will be the company making the most progress, selling tickets, launching tourists to space, and collecting revenue from a booming business.

All while Virgin Galactic stays stubbornly stuck down here on Earth.

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.